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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Bet the Best!
sambuca frank
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sambuca frank
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#51
Posted: 4/20/2009 4:36:09 PM
tate thanx for the input! according to covers, if you played the cubs,bost,nym,nyy,laa,lad and tb you would be -521 {moneyline]and -1170 {run line]. these are probably the 7 most PUBLIC teams. it's always been a debate ml vs rl. right now ml is the way to go. as far as vig goes, it's the same whether it's one game or a 1000 games.
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sambuca frank
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#52
Posted: 4/27/2009 8:56:36 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb  24-24  -711 amt. bet=7170 roi= -9.92%
 
all sports combined: 517-424 +2210 amt. bet=115,797 roi=+1.91%
 
this weeks teams: blue jays,red sox,dodgers
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#53
Posted: 4/27/2009 9:50:40 AM
sambuca, Im curious, again with bases, (and hockey) Playing on the BEST team for every game that week,, geesh,, tough nut to crack,

I havetn backtested it but I wonder, if you bet the best team to win thier first game?!?!

or again, Possible, a PROGRESSIVE BET on a -1.5 runline?? that would put JUICE on your side, and allow you to reasonably progressively bet 2-3 games in search of 1 win?  Please accept this as constructive criticism, I rreally dig the angle here, and want to just try and throw some ideas around.

tater
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sambuca frank
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#54
Posted: 4/27/2009 12:19:49 PM
tate,thanks again for your response. this system is in a experimental stage. in fact i'm tracking this for 2000 games.
i realize it takes a 3rd grade education to play this system!
 
i will then analyze the results and perhaps add filters where needed. i'm sure 95% of the people in this forum believe i will bottom out at 50% ats because i'm playing so many games.
they could be right!
 
i noticed that good teams cover more than bad teams through out the years. the problem with this system is i'm not always playing the best teams. after a season is over there are many teams i've played which were not the best. this brings down the winning pct.quite a bit.
 
who knows this could be a system to fade when it's all said and done.
 
unlike most people, i will continue to post whether it tanks or not!!!
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#55
Posted: 4/29/2009 7:54:35 AM
cheers
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sambuca frank
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#56
Posted: 5/4/2009 7:08:43 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 36-33  -445  amt. bet=9833 roi= -4.52%
 
all sports combined:529-443 +2476 amt.bet=118,460 roi+2.09%
 
this weeks teams:lad,stl,tor
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sambuca frank
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#57
Posted: 5/11/2009 9:41:45 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 47-43  -536  amt.bet 12,549 roi= -4.43%
 
all sports combined: 540-443 +2365 amt.bet=121,176 roi= +1.95%
 
this weeks teams: tor,bost,stl.
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sambuca frank
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#58
Posted: 5/18/2009 8:09:27 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 54-52  -994 amt. bet 14737 roi= -6.74%
 
all sports combined: 547-453 +1927 amt.bet=123334 roi=+1.56%
 
cards& redsox killed us !
 
this weeks teams:lad,cubs,tor
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sambuca frank
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#59
Posted: 5/25/2009 9:18:07 AM

WEEKLY UPDATE

mlb 59-66 -2104 amt.bet 17047 roi= -12.3%

all sports combined:552-467 +817 amt.bet=125544 roi+0.65%

now i know what david ortiz and milton bradley feel like!!

this weeks teams: nyy,bost,tb

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sambuca frank
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#60
Posted: 6/1/2009 10:17:22 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 69-76 -2214 amt.bet:19,441 roi: -11.4%
 
all sports combined:562-477 +707 amt. bet=127,927 roi= +0.55%
 
this weeks teams: nyy,bost,tor
 
i guess will find out if texas is for real this week!!
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sambuca frank
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#61
Posted: 6/8/2009 10:45:48 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 80-83 -2104 amt.bet 22,198 roi= -9.5%
 
all sports combined:573-485 +817 amt.bet=129,674 roi=0.63%
 
this weeks teams:det,milw,cubs
 
great week for baseball as all the best teams are playing each other!! gl
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sambuca frank
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#62
Posted: 6/15/2009 4:10:22 PM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 87-96 -3003 amt.bet 24,709 roi= -12.1
 
all sports combined:580-498 -82 amt.bet 132,185 roi=-0.06%
 
after 1,078 games were finally in the red!!!
 
this weeks teams:laa,tb,phil
 
bost,lad,nyy are probably the 3 best, but can't lay those high prices!   gl to all.
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sambuca frank
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#63
Posted: 6/22/2009 10:05:45 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 94-107 amt. bet 27013 roi=-13.9%
 
all sports combined: 587-509 amt. bet 134,489 roi= -0.06%
 
1 winning week and 10 losing weeks thus far!!
 
this weeks teams: tb,cubs,laa
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#64
Posted: 6/22/2009 7:31:44 PM
For curiousity sake.. how long do u plan on testing this for? There must be a cut-off point after so many losing weeks?

Have u thought about adding filters, like only playing these teams at home? Or possibly running a Chase on the Top 3 starting each week. I bet if u back tested the Top 3 teams on Chasing each week to win 1 game the results would be damn near 100%, maybe even 100%??

I am currently running a System where I play only the top Home Teams. There are filters involved, and it produced huge results so far.

Food 4 Thought

BOL 
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#65
Posted: 6/22/2009 7:34:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sambuca frank:

tate,thanks again for your response. this system is in a experimental stage. in fact i'm tracking this for 2000 games.
i realize it takes a 3rd grade education to play this system!
 
i will then analyze the results and perhaps add filters where needed. i'm sure 95% of the people in this forum believe i will bottom out at 50% ats because i'm playing so many games.
they could be right!
 
i noticed that good teams cover more than bad teams through out the years. the problem with this system is i'm not always playing the best teams. after a season is over there are many teams i've played which were not the best. this brings down the winning pct.quite a bit.
 
who knows this could be a system to fade when it's all said and done.
 
unlike most people, i will continue to post whether it tanks or not!!!


Just noticed I missed this post.. guess you're testing for 2000 games.

This must be 2000 games combined in all Sports?
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sambuca frank
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#66
Posted: 6/22/2009 8:11:21 PM
thanks kreature for the response. yes filters be be applied beginning at the start of ncaaf. that will be our 1 year anniversary for this thread. don't care to chase. been there done that!!!
 
right now my biggest filter is don't play baseball!!! however this system does better after the all star break.
 
the 3 commandments in sports betting:
patience, perserverance,discipline
gl
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kreatture send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#67
Posted: 6/22/2009 8:45:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sambuca frank:

thanks kreature for the response. yes filters be be applied beginning at the start of ncaaf. that will be our 1 year anniversary for this thread. don't care to chase. been there done that!!!
 
right now my biggest filter is don't play baseball!!! however this system does better after the all star break.
 
the 3 commandments in sports betting:
patience, perserverance,discipline
gl


Exactly right my friend.. you will lose some battles along the way, but it's the War we really care about.

Continued Success
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sambuca frank
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#68
Posted: 6/29/2009 10:18:41 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 105-115 amt. bet 29,387   -3499  roi= -11.9%
 
all sports combined: 598-517  -578 amt bet 136683 roi= -0.4%
 
this weeks teams: tb,laa,lad
 
 
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sambuca frank
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#69
Posted: 7/6/2009 10:03:19 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE
 
mlb 115-124 amt. bet 31908  -3605 roi= -11.3%
 
all sports combined:  -687  amt.bet 139394 roi= -0.4% 
 
this weeks teams: the healthy cubs,laa,fla
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#70
Posted: 7/6/2009 11:01:14 AM
hey frank what happened to the JJ system u were playing that was doing  so well?remember he was playing opposite the percentages at Sportsbook spy?????
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sambuca frank
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#71
Posted: 7/6/2009 4:38:26 PM
king, its still going on. jimmy started a new thread a few weeks ago but keeping the same system. i believe it"s doing good after 500+- games. he post every day. i think it's up around 2200+-
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sambuca frank
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#72
Posted: 7/20/2009 5:19:15 PM
WEEKLY UPDATE THRU 07-19
 
missed a week of updating due to work(thank god)
 
mlb 132-138   -3433 amt bet 35497 roi= -9.7%
 
all sports combined:625-540  -515 amt bet 142983 roi -0.3%
 
this week we drew out of the hat: tb,col,lad
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sambuca frank
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#73
Posted: 7/27/2009 3:16:30 PM
WEEKLY UPDATE THRU 07-26
 
mlb 143-146 -3285 amt. bet 38265 roi= -8.6%
 
all sports combined 636-548 -367      amt.bet 145751 roi= -0.2%
 
this weeks teams: tex,col,phil
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sambuca frank
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#74
Posted: 8/4/2009 10:26:07 AM
WEEKLY UPDATE THRU 08-02
 
mlb 155-155  -3203 amt. bet 41116 roi= -7.8%
 
all sports combined  648-557 -285    amt. bet 148602 roi= -0.1%
 
this weeks teams: cubs,cws,tb
 
should get some decent prices this week!
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