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Author:	[NFL Betting] Topic: WEEK 5 - NFL Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#51 Posted: 10/5/2012 10:22:08 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69: People are playing the Rams tonight just because they think it's a 'sharp' play or because Arizona is due to 'come back to earth'. Neither of these are sound reasons to make a bet. Handicap the match-up. How many offensive touchdowns do the Rams have this season? Not disagreeing with you bro, but you have to look at everything when betting on football. Letdowns, lookaheads, shorts weeks etc.....it all adds up. Its never as easy as simply looking at stat sheets. bol I definitely agree. A team that gives 110% can overcome huge statistical disadvantages if their opponent is only giving 90%. Determining who will want it more - is one of the toughest jobs in professional football handicapping.
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Paidonjok	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: bet365 \|
Captain Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 7986 Location:	#52 Posted: 10/5/2012 11:24:24 AM Did ARI came to play last night? All I saw was Kolb on the ground most of the time. He was running for his life throughout the game. Kid gotta learn to throw the ball away every now and then....
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Paidonjok	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: bet365 \|
Captain Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 7986 Location:	#53 Posted: 10/5/2012 11:25:30 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: Few games I'm leaning on: Indy +8 Denver +7 / ML Baltimore -6 Cleveland +10 (-120) Philadelphia +3.5 / ML Seattle +3 / ML I like the points for INDY. I can't mess with NE. This team is just crazy at times. Liking Cleveland a lot too. BOL to you, Si1ly.
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MrECapps	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 105 Location: California	#54 Posted: 10/5/2012 12:59:38 PM Great work quantifying the data and presenting it in nice tabular format. You could take it a step further by adding some graphics (see Tufte). There's money to be made from those edges!
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dimndimn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Aug 2006 Posts: 2784 Location: California	#55 Posted: 10/5/2012 4:27:20 PM Do you plan to have MLB playoff stat sheets?
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#56 Posted: 10/6/2012 7:01:36 AM
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kikkoman10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 45 Location:	#57 Posted: 10/6/2012 11:27:10 AM Enjoy ur MLB play.. I c value on the wild card game last night. I took two dogs and got paid $$$ .. All thx to ur sheets post on the regular season. Learn a lot and helpful too. I looking forward on the nfl season ... Thx again . Si1ly ....
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#58 Posted: 10/6/2012 12:03:16 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by kikkoman10: Enjoy ur MLB play.. I c value on the wild card game last night. I took two dogs and got paid $$$ .. All thx to ur sheets post on the regular season. Learn a lot and helpful too. I looking forward on the nfl season ... Thx again . Si1ly .... I just posted a thread in the MLB forums for my sheets during the postseason. I have the play-in games uploaded and I will be adding games on a daily basis as needed.
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kikkoman10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 45 Location:	#59 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:05:53 AM It work is greatly appreciate.... Thx
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NYBUILT	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 891 Location: South Carolina	#60 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:25:45 AM Been following since baseball, helped turn my season around. Looking forward to a profitable NFL season....
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#61 Posted: 10/7/2012 2:17:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NYBUILT: Been following since baseball, helped turn my season around. Looking forward to a profitable NFL season.... 14-2 on the season so far. I'm looking over a few plays tomorrow. Currently eyeing WASH +3.5, ATL@WAS Over, SEA ML, PHI +3.5, CLE +10 (-120), IND +8
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minhstan	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 203 Location:	#62 Posted: 10/7/2012 2:28:19 AM
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NYBUILT	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 891 Location: South Carolina	#63 Posted: 10/7/2012 9:28:31 AM Already have Bmore ML on back end of parlay..Your sheet likes them, any reason its not one of your leans?
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JMUstud	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Nov 2011 Posts: 36 Location: Virginia	#64 Posted: 10/7/2012 9:44:24 AM Can't wait to see your plays for today. Stay hot! BOL
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lovinhockey	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 8496 Location: Pennsylvania	#65 Posted: 10/7/2012 9:47:54 AM like em all but philly gl bro
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#66 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:06:24 AM Still going over a few things. I'll have my plays for the 1 o'clock games finalized in the next hour or so.. Somebody asked why Baltimore isn't a lean.. and it's because I don't like laying a touchdown of road chalk no matter what the numbers say.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#67 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:14:43 AM Locked in: 4:05 EST - Seattle Seahawks +3 (-115)
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BJaRz	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 2409 Location: New York	#68 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:17:51 AM
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bobby007	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jul 2007 Posts: 7411 Location:	#69 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:20:02 AM
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Barnstorm	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Aug 2006 Posts: 4223 Location: North Carolina	#70 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:21:06 AM Seahawks went down to +2 a little bit ago. Your local not very smart. Or you just moved the line! GL
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gary69	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2011 Posts: 130 Location: Indiana	#71 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:23:10 AM Intelligent and informative, thank you very much.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#72 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:25:25 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm: Seahawks went down to +2 a little bit ago. Your local not very smart. Or you just moved the line! GL Bought in this morning around 7:00 EST. He had the price at +2.5 (+105) so I bought the hook and played it at 3. I almost played the moneyline here.. I don't think the spread will come into play. Carolina doesn't have the run defense to contain Seattle's offense. I also expect a let down after last weeks crushing last minute loss to the Falcons.
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luckyly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jun 2007 Posts: 2738 Location: Indiana	#73 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:29:45 AM cross over sunday,,,will the home teams win,,,hmmmm.. ck out the last 15 yrs
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#74 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:36:57 AM What do you mean luckyly? Elaborate..
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nbafan88	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BookMaker \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Mar 2008 Posts: 26297 Location: New Jersey	#75 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:43:44 AM on the atl/wash over 51 wouldnt at all be surprised to see this reached midway through the third quarter marshawn lynch will not be able to be contained today...
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