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Author: [College Football] Topic: Putting 80% of My 2012 Bankroll into Futures--Do you Like these ?
DoubleUp4Life
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#26
Posted: 6/1/2012 9:51:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nc1capper:

Good luck this season Sir

Best of Luck to you Brother Sir 
quote
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#27
Posted: 6/1/2012 9:54:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I like the Clemson plays

I Hope they Don't Clemson me 


BOL this season Brother Train ...

Looking for some nice Value as a Dog in SEC play for your Boys 
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#28
Posted: 6/1/2012 9:57:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crocnzeeba:

 

Along those lines I dropped $20 on Wisky at 50-1.  I think an undefeated season is quite possible, and if the top teams each lose one the Badgers could sneak into the NC game.  Worth a shot...it all comes down to O'Brien.


Like the Badgers as well and 50-1 , might put $20+ on them ,,, thanks for the Push Brother
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#29
Posted: 6/1/2012 9:57:42 PM
d4life-

always love reading your stuff year in and year out. glad to be back and cannot wait for the season to start   I have not started running my numbers for the year, plan on starting that next week. But like you, i throw the majority of my roll in futures. there is a lot of value to be found if you look  Here's too another great season cover brother 






GL to all 
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#30
Posted: 6/2/2012 8:38:22 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by dugie243] d4life-

always love reading your stuff year in and year out. glad to be back and cannot wait for the season to start   I have not started running my numbers for the year, plan on starting that next week. But like you, i throw the majority of my roll in futures. there is a lot of value to be found if you look  Here's too another great season cover brother 






GL to all 
[/Quote

Hello Brother ...Great to hear from you...

May you have a Fantastic Summer 

Glad you like betting Futures as well, Love the DEGEN action they provide ....

Please drop by after you start running your numbers 


quote
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#31
Posted: 6/2/2012 8:41:36 AM
NFL Season Wins Bet 

Kansas City Chiefs Under 8 Wins -105
$210 to Win $200

Do not see how they win 9+ games in the very tight AFC WEST..  Injuries did bit them early last season .  Love the LOW juice on this number 
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#32
Posted: 6/2/2012 8:45:16 AM
 Long shot BCS Championship Bets 

(Plan on donating $50-100 on Schools that have a slight chance to make it there but I Love the LOADS of DEGEN action these Bets provide ....

Also Plan on  betting Large $350+ on USC but I want better than the 5-1 currently Offered

Florida 60-1 $25
Anything can happen in the SEC East this season and Georgia seems vastly overrated , although they do have a easier schedule

Wisconsin 62-1  $25 



Boise St 100-1   $12.25  Cake schedule and the Broncos are very good with first year starting QB's 33-2

Oklahoma St 120-1   $8.50  Winning the BIG 12 is not out of the ???

BYU  250-1   $8    If they Go 12-0 they might get to the Championship with a schedule that features 3 PAC 10 Foes, Notre Dame,Ga Tech and Boise St


Louisville 300-1  $7.25  Have them in my Top 30 coming in ...

USF 300-1  $4.50   Someone has to Win the BIG EAST

NC St   300-1  $4     Came on Late last season 

UCLA 350-1   $2.90    LOL almost the same cost as a $1 EX key with 1 horse over 3 at some track that I know nothing about 


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#33
Posted: 6/2/2012 1:30:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

To Win BIG 10

Purdue 52-1  $20

Ok so they are a real long shot and this might just be a donation ... It's sort of like calling $20 Pre Flop with 9-5 off , But with Ohio St. not competing for the Leaders crown anything is possible ..Boilermakers do Catch Division rivals Wisconsin and Penn St at home this season . Like the 15 Starters returning .  If somehow they win 5 games in BIG 10 play Purdue could be playing for the Championship. DT Kawann Short is a beast and will lead a very up and coming Defense .  Will Likely put another $20-50 on them to win the Leaders when released (hoping for 20-1 or better )



E Kent - sure win and smart scheduling to start the year with a softie

@Notre Dame -  will be great for their confidence if they can win this game, and ND plays in Dublin the week before.

EMU - this is smart scheduling.  Win or lose, this is a letdown spot the week after ND

bye - bye comes at the perfect time

Marshall - easy win

Michigan - first tough game at home

Wisconsin - this game could determine the Div Champ

@Ohio St - 3rd tough game in a row

@Minny - probably will be a tougher game than you'd think

Penn St - who knows how good Penn St will be?

@Iowa - very tough game or is Iowa having a down year?

@Illinoi - another tough road game

Indy - shootout or blowout?


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#34
Posted: 6/2/2012 1:49:15 PM
I'm considering these teams.  Around 100 units wagered

Florida St +1200  - best D Line in the country - 25 units

USC +500 - best QB/WR combo in the country  - 40 units

Bama +625 - most talent in the country - 20 units

Florida +6000 - I expect better coaching this year and if they win the SEC East this is a good hedge for Bama - 5 units

Texas +3400 -  Gilbert may be the scapegoat if Texas rebounds - 1 unit

Wiscy +6200 - Pretty easy path to the BCS if Obrian is good - 2 units

Mich +3600 - 1 unit

Mich St +9000 1 unit

TCU +6600 offense is great, if defense rebounds they could contend - 2 units

WV +3400 - 1 unit

VA Tech +3000 1 unit

Kansas St and Missou +12500 half unit each

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#35
Posted: 6/4/2012 8:21:00 PM
DoubleUp,

How ya been man?  I agree with the majority of your plays, a lot of value there.  Purdue at that price is worth a flyer, the Big Ten is pretty open this season.  Good luck man, look forward to chatting with ya this Fall 
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#36
Posted: 6/5/2012 9:11:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thorpe:

I'm considering these teams.  Around 100 units wagered

Florida St +1200  -Would want 20-1 ...  best D Line in the country - 25 units

USC +500 -  will be going for At least $350+ best QB/WR combo in the country  - 40 units

Bama +625 - most talent in the country - 20 units

Florida +6000 -  already on for $25 I expect better coaching this year and if they win the SEC East this is a good hedge for Bama - 5 units

Texas +3400 -  Gilbert may be the scapegoat if Texas rebounds - 1 unit

Wiscy +6200 - already on for $25 Pretty easy path to the BCS if Obrian is good - 2 units

Mich +3600 - 1 unit

Mich St +9000 1 unit

TCU +6600 offense is great, if defense rebounds they could contend - 2 units

WV +3400 - 1 unit

VA Tech +3000 1 unit

Kansas St and Missou +12500 half unit each... would be better off betting them to win their conf.


Hoping the Local has USC at 7-1 or better ... would put $400-600 down 


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#37
Posted: 6/6/2012 10:38:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bense197969:

DoubleUp,

How ya been man?  I agree with the majority of your plays, a lot of value there.  Purdue at that price is worth a flyer, the Big Ten is pretty open this season.  Good luck man, look forward to chatting with ya this Fall 

Great to hear from you Brother  

 Yeah Purdue is a real Long shot ...Why not at 52-1, Never mind they have not Beat Wisky in 6 years and lose by a Avg of 31 PPG...Ouchhh... But yeah for $20  

Hope you have a excellent Summer 


Looking forward to talking Football this fall


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#38
Posted: 6/6/2012 10:59:27 AM
Long shot BCS Championship Bets 

(Plan on donating $50-100 on Schools that have a slight chance to make it there but I Love the LOADS of DEGEN action these Bets provide ....

Also Plan on  betting Large $350+ on USC but I want better than the 5-1 currently Offered

Florida 60-1 $25
Anything can happen in the SEC East this season and Georgia seems vastly overrated , although they do have a easier schedule

Wisconsin 62-1  $25    Guess Danny O'Brien will determine how far they go ? Running game will put up sick numbers again behind the Huge O-Line..  At Nebraska is the scariest game on the schedule   



Boise St 100-1   $12.25  Cake schedule and the Broncos are very good with first year starting QB's 33-2

Oklahoma St 120-1   $8.50  Winning the BIG 12 is not out of the ???

BYU  250-1   $8    If they Go 12-0 they might get to the Championship with a schedule that features 3 PAC 10 Foes, Notre Dame,Ga Tech and Boise St


Louisville 300-1  $7.25  Have them in my Top 30 coming in ...

USF 300-1  $4.50   Someone has to Win the BIG EAST

NC St   300-1  $4     Came on Late last season 

UCLA 350-1   $2.90    LOL almost the same cost as a $1 EX key with 1 horse over 3 at some track that I know nothing about 

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#39
Posted: 6/6/2012 7:50:54 PM
usc usc usc usc usc usc usc
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#40
Posted: 6/7/2012 5:54:24 PM

What do you think about Tennessee at 6.5 wins - 180 over

They are returning 19 starters. From those startes 10 on Offense. Tyler Bray looks like a top 5 QB in the NCAA he just needs to stay health if Tennessee wants to get somewhere. There WR core is pretty soild with Justin Hunter and Da'Rick Rogers.This year they are moving to the 3-4.

NC STATE - Netural Site - I say this is about a 60% chance to win. I say if they lose this game this year mite get ugly. They really need to win this game.

GEORGIA STATE - Home - Do I really need to say something. 100% win

FLORIDA - Home - Tennessee really can't seem to win vs Florida @ home or even @ Floirda. I would give this about a 40% chance to win

AKRON - Home - I would say about 100% chance to win but look for Akron to cover the spread.

GEORGIA - @ - I would give this a 30% chance to win. Georgia is returning a good amount of players back and they are the favorite to win the East.

BYE

 MISSISSIPPI STATE - @ - I would give this a 60% chance to win. The thing I hate about this game is that MSU is unbelievable at home sometimes. I would say this is another must win for Tennessee.

ALABAMA - Home - I would give this about a 30% chance to win. It would be lower but there at Home. Alabama is once again stacked and them and LSU will fight it out to see who wins the SEC.

SOUTH CAROLINA - @ - I'll give this a 40% chance to win. South Carolina returns 14 and offense and if RB Lattimore can get over his injury looks for the chance of this year to rise.

TROY  - HOME - Like I said before with the Akron game Tennessee will win this one but Troy mite cover the ATS. 100 % chance to win.

MISSOURI - HOME - 70% chance to win. You never know how good a team is going to be when the chance conference. I gave this a little more to Tennessee since it is at home.

VANDERBILT - @ - This game can go either way. I will give this edge to Tennessee so about 60% chance. Just like Mississippi State Vanderbilt plays pretty well at home.

KENTUCKY - Home - 80% chance. At home and college football does matter if you at home.

 

Tell me what you think they thing that I hate is the juice is pretty bad at -180 thats the thing that I hate

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#41
Posted: 6/7/2012 7:28:16 PM
double question for u...do u know what d % is of a team that wins d natl championship is ATS for that year? im thinking its on d high end...thanks in advance
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#42
Posted: 6/7/2012 7:53:40 PM
I was on Tennessee last preseason ...Had several Over futures on them ... The Bray injury was brutal to their chances...They caught a bad break last season catching the Best 3 from the West as well (LSU,Bama,Arkansas).   Should be better this season but so should a few of the rivals in the East .  Don't like laying that kind of juice ... maybe wait and see if it come downs 

NC STATE - Netural Site - 58%   Might be plenty of points scored , excited to see this matchup 


GEORGIA STATE - Home -  100%


Florida   47%    Gators should be much improved this season ... might be a coin Flip at best 

AKRON - Home - 

at GEORGIA - 33%   will neeed to catch some breaks for a shot at out right win  ..Must Split to have any shot at winning the east with Fla,Ga 

BYE

at  MISSISSIPPI STATE - @ -  41%   Nice spot coming in off a Bye , but I would give the Bulldogs almost a TD for Home Field. Might also get caught looking ahead to Hosting Bama Next week

ALABAMA - 34%      Nice spot ... Like Catching Tide after they play at Missouri , still gonna be a tough one...Give me more than 2 TD's and I play the Vols ats  

SOUTH CAROLINA - @ - 30%  Don't like this spot at all ..

TROY  - HOME - 84%   Might be Bowl game for Trojans .

MISSOURI - HOME -  65%    Looking forward to seeing what the Tigers bring to the SEC

VANDERBILT - @   61%   Just seem to own the Doores...

KENTUCKY - Home - 87  UK looks down again this season


7-5 sounds right to me ... Maybe they can pull a upset or 2 might they might Lose a couple that look like Winners ... The Most I would pay for over 6.5 is -125...




quote
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#43
Posted: 6/7/2012 8:15:25 PM
Local Came out with some Conference odds ... Same thing as online you Must have the money down in advance...Good thing otherwise I would have too much in .

BIG 10                5 Dimes        Local
Michigan            +200               +225
Wisconsin           +220              +250
Nebraska             +450              +425 
Michigan St          +525              +650
Penn St                 15-1               12-1
Iowa                       19-1               18-1 
Illinois                     15-1               24-1
Northwestern          31-1              35-1
Purdue                     45-1              42-1
Indiana                      52-1             65-1  
Minnesota                100-1             100-1

BIG12
Oklahoma                  +105             -110
Texas                        +400               +450
West Virginia             +500              +600
TCU                            +525              +700
Oklahoma St                21-1              18-1
Kansas St                  +1050           12-1
Texas Tech               27-1               25-1
Baylor                        33-1               45-1
Kansas                   140-1                150-1

Big East 
Louisville                   +205               +250
USF                            +350                +400
Cincinnati                    +500               +650
PITT                          +575                 +700
Syracuse                   18-1                 12-1 Plenty of Orange bettors   
UCONN                      15-1                20-1
Temple                        18-1                25-1

SEC
LSU                               +200               +250
Alabama                         +210               +200
Georgia                          +500              +600
Arkansas                       +700                +850
SC                                 +1050               +975
Florida                           15-1                  18-1
Auburn                            23-1                  27-1
Miss St                            28-1                 30-1
Tennessee                    35-1                   32-1
Missouri                         36-1                   40-1
A&M                               44-1                   45-1
Vanderbilt                      55-1                    75-1
UK                                 150-1                    170-1
Ole Miss                         175-1                 200-1





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#44
Posted: 6/8/2012 2:38:50 PM
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#45
Posted: 6/8/2012 3:57:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Local Came out with some Conference odds ... Same thing as online you Must have the money down in advance...Good thing otherwise I would have too much in .

BIG 10                5 Dimes        Local
Michigan            +200               +225
Wisconsin           +220              +250
Nebraska             +450              +425 
Michigan St          +525              +650
Penn St                 15-1               12-1



That's a very nice price on MSU
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#46
Posted: 6/9/2012 9:17:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SatNightFever05:



That's a very nice price on MSU

Not bad right ... But truth be told I am waiting for his Division odds ... Like the Badgers at anything +110 or more ....
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#47
Posted: 6/9/2012 9:25:16 AM
Adding 

Florida to Win SEC 18-1  
$40 to Win $720

Again looks like a Long shot ... Give them a pretty good chance to win the East and likely will double back around and bet them to win the Division (hoping for 7-2 or better )   Maybe Bama, LSU or Arkansas lays a egg in the Championship Game ???
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#48
Posted: 6/12/2012 6:13:16 PM
Adding 

South Carolina Under 8.5 Wins +125
$300 to Win $375

Love the +++ Odds ... SC lost a lot from last seasons 11 Win squad ... 5 of top 10 Tacklers gone Ingram,Allen,Gilmore,Paulk,Robertson.. Losing DC Ellis Johnson should sting .... Will Latimore be 100% ??   Not a big fan of QB Conner Shaw... Schedule looks very tough (steele 13 overall)

Schedule Breakdown with Win %

at Vanderbilt 59%   W7+/L1+    Nothing would shock me here 

ECU  81%    W14+    Might name their score but Pirates are capable of pulling upsets in these spots

UAB   92.5%   W20+

Missouri  60%   W7+/L1+    Tigers will pull share of upsets in SEC this season 

at UK  72%    W10+      Cocks do have Georgia on deck

Georgia 49%   L3+/W1+    Maybe Dawgs are just the better team 

at LSU   18%    L 16+     Bad spot 

at Florida   24 %      L11+    1-12 in swamp 

Tennessee 50%   L1+W1+    rough finale to Brutal 4 game stretch 

Arkansas 48%  L4+/W1+    Might not have enough offense to keep up 

Wofford  100%

at Clemson 50%   L2+/W1+    Seems like they own Tigers lately , BUT this is a coin flip at best

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#49
Posted: 6/12/2012 8:53:51 PM
Adding some Super Bowl Long shots with the Local  (Up $890 right now and would rather blow some on Futures then bet NBA or Joke MLB) 

Chicago Bears 35-1   $30 to Win $1050
Sure they will liekly have to do it as a WC but this carries some value for a team that started 7-2 LY

Atlanta Falcons 32-1   $30 to Win $960
would likely need HF advantage and many breaks 

Buffalo Bills to Win AFC  33-1   $40 to Win $1320
Why not ??? huge off season adding a pass rush ... If they avoid injuries that hit last season maybe they make the playoffs for the first time in 14+ years
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#50
Posted: 6/14/2012 8:56:45 PM
Adding Week 1 Wager

Nebraska -13 -120
$120 to Win $100

Love this line ... Not a big fan of betting games at -120 but this line is off by a TD IMNHO .... Southern Miss losses a ton from last season HC gone , QB Gone . Top 2 targets Gone, 10 of top 16 Tacklers on defense Gone ...Hoping to add more to this Bet soon ...Might be my Largest wager week 1

Prediction 38-13

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