Posted: 4/13/2012 6:40:51 PM
Hello all, hope everyone is doing well.
I will try to post when I can. It won't be as regularly as I used to because life is just too busy. In any event, I wish you all a profitable season.
1 unit = $500.00
First posted play:
Baltimore v. Toronto over 8.5 -103 5.15 units to win 5
I never liked Morrow pictching at Rogers Centre. He sported a 6.31 ERA in home games last season. Career ERA of 4.46 vs the Orioles.
Tommy Hunter goes for the O's tonight. 6.75 career ERA in 8 starts vs. the Jays. 5.65 Road ERA last season including 4.15 ERA in two starts at Rogers Centre last year. 6.32 lifetime ERA at Rogers Centre.
Both pitchers though do get a lot of run support, perhaps because they are forced to always seem to play catch-up when they are on the mound. Hunter is perhaps the weakest pitcher the Jays have faced so far this season which should get them back on track hitting. I look for Bautista to get going tonight after a horrible Boston series. Encarcion and Escobar have feasted on Hunter and although he's had Bautista's number, Bautista should break out of his slump to start the season.
Both pitchers are in bad spots vs. Bad opponents. Both teams should be able to notch 4 spots against these starters and we should hit the over with the bullpens.
Over is 32-15-4 in BAL last 51 road games.
Over is 9-1-1 in Hunters last 11 starts overall
Over is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 11-4-1 in Orioles last 16 games as an underdog.
Over is 26-10-3 in Orioles last 39 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Morrows last 6 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 5-1 in Morrows last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Over is 4-1 in Morrows last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Morrows last 8 home starts.
Over is 5-2 in Morrows last 7 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Over is 5-2-1 in Morrows last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 16-7-1 in Morrows last 24 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 33-15-4 in Blue Jays last 52 games following an off day.
First play of the season for me is a biggie. Jays vs. Orioles over 8.5. Good luck.