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Author: [College Football] Topic: Big Breaking News!
TreyInventor send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 8/19/2012 7:35:44 PM
Bonilla I can agree with you that WEEK ONE is a great time to lay a ML parlay just for reassurance for some easy money because the probability  that those teams will LOSE is very very slim. COvering ATS is one thing but LOSING is extremely slim. I can agree to that. But at the end of the day its just too risky and it doesnt pay well. Nonetheless I like your ML parlay but I would take out South Carolina on the road and Tennessee. Vandy at home is a live dog and MIGHT just MIGHT win that game. Tennessee could also lose to NC State. If you are looking for more of a sure bet IMO I would put in UCLA and UCF. Just my opinion tho. I personally am not too fond of parlays even tho I did hit a 8 team parlay last year. Got very lucky tho. Beware of SC and Tennessee if you want for 95% for sure cash
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#27
Posted: 8/19/2012 8:47:13 PM

Looks good to me bonilla!! GL this season

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#28
Posted: 8/19/2012 8:48:37 PM

I think WV -23.5 is your strongest bet! dont need 3 points!

WV       63

Marshall 17

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#29
Posted: 8/19/2012 8:58:39 PM
Georgia and USC ml are -54000
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#30
Posted: 8/19/2012 9:57:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

lololol ok now i just got back on here and i read all of ur feedback.. i 1st, i want to say that i do appreciate the feedback as thats what covers should be about and i dont by no means take it personal. However, i cant help but to notice nothin but plain negativity toward my play. i mean, i did state clearly that this was 1 of about 6 or so bets i will have and that this was particularly my week 1 strategy so to speak.. i didnt say that i will just do this week in and week out. And all im reading is that i will lose and i wont last. well, let me say this, if u say the o/u for me this year is 4.5.. than ur behind is grass if u play the under! i believe in all my plays no matter what.. u guys here are just terrified and traumatized of parlays cause u just dont have the testicular fortitude to bet one. so u just bet those str8 bets in complete denial like u cant get backdoored and fucked with 1 team as u can wit 3 teams..anyway guys ive explained myself enough and we will see when kickoff comes in 1.5 weeks and u will swallow ur words.Now, if u haters dont mind, i will now post my 2nd play of week 1 cfb.      thanku  Pannywastes!

I am really nor trying to bust your balls here and I do realize that as you stated (and I for sure hope) you will not be doing 7 team parlays all season. But - please look at the part that I bolded and underlined above.

This is COMPLETE BULLSHIT and THE WRONG way to think. In very simple language this is basically saying that winning a straight bet is just as easy as winning 3 straight bets. Or to use a non-sports analogy it is like saying that the odds of flipping a quarter and having it land on heads once is the same as having it land on heads three times in a row.

I really have no desire to get into basic stats etc. but I hope you realize that this is wrong. If you do not realize that this is wrong than please reconsider betting all together. 
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#31
Posted: 8/20/2012 9:28:38 PM
na biuddy what i really meant is that by using the moneyline with 3 tms that are the better teams, than betting a st8 bet ats.. u can lose the 3 tma by 1 team fkn u, but u can also lose an ats bet by .5 pt and be done just as well.. same garbage..
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#32
Posted: 8/20/2012 9:31:00 PM
btw heres my 3rd play of cfb weelk 1 guys..  3 tm parlay- 1.)Texas a&m..2)UCLA -13...3. UCF -20.5..Just another WINNER!!!!!
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#33
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:04:51 PM
wow wat a shocker. another parlay where you buy points...


your bankroll is going to go up in

F
LAMES!!
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#34
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:06:25 PM
3 plays, 0 strait wagers. not the way to win at this long term.


Bonilla please reconsider buddy.


you are done after week three otherwise.
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#35
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:35:12 PM
I DONT HAVE A million dollars to spread out on str8 bets unfortunately, but its ok ive won like this plenty of times.. i have alot of fun . btw str8 wagers  r fuckin boring and can backdoor the garbage outta u too.. it goes both ways.. we are not fkn sidekicks guys. and i literally have no chance of being done by week 4.. this is my week 1 plays, i will make adjustments as the season goes on.. and yes ill play some str8 wagers too, but for week 1 in particular, this what i feel like doing.. and thats the bottom line cause bonilla420 said so!
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#36
Posted: 8/21/2012 10:00:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

I DONT HAVE A million dollars to spread out on str8 bets unfortunately, but its ok ive won like this plenty of times.. i have alot of fun . btw str8 wagers  r fuckin boring and can backdoor the garbage outta u too.. it goes both ways.. we are not fkn sidekicks guys. and i literally have no chance of being done by week 4.. this is my week 1 plays, i will make adjustments as the season goes on.. and yes ill play some str8 wagers too, but for week 1 in particular, this what i feel like doing.. and thats the bottom line cause bonilla420 said so!


Good luck. But once again this is REALLY THE WRONG THOUGHT PROCESS.

Of course a single game can back door you but do a quick google search and see what the odds are on the following...

1) Flipping a quarter once and having it land on heads
2) Flipping a quarter three times and having it land on heads each time
3) Flipping a quarter seven times and having it land on heads each time


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#37
Posted: 8/21/2012 10:43:37 AM
BONILLA----  u should keep yourself betting boxing , see ya next year nice try
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#38
Posted: 8/21/2012 10:59:07 AM

I have a feeling that you may be creating a few of these threads this season, once your "style" of betting fails miserably.

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101250422

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#39
Posted: 8/21/2012 12:03:33 PM

  How do I apply for the Bonilla bookie position??? 

 

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#40
Posted: 8/21/2012 12:35:47 PM
Hey Bonilla, How about playing at least 1 or 2 straight bets week 1?
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#41
Posted: 8/21/2012 10:31:58 PM
Thanks capper007 at least u ain't like everyone else in here.they r all a bunch of hatin basterds who will feel stupid when I nail all these fuckin plays! I can't wait!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#42
Posted: 8/24/2012 3:48:26 PM
looks good
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#43
Posted: 9/2/2012 12:15:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

now just to let you know, my style is not to bet the same way every week so the following bets you see here will not be a typical routine evry single week strategy i use.. its just for week 1,week 2 will be week 2, then week 3, and so on..now with no further a do.. here we go!!!                                                 The 1st bet of the 2012 cfb season for bonilla420: A 7 tm parlay-1)Ohio state-20.5........ 2)West Virginia -20.5.......3) Florida -23.5....4)Georgia ml... ................5)LSU Ml....6)Oklahoma ML......7) Usc ml.... easy moneylines r included to make up for a couple of pts i bought on my spreads..also, y not take easy money when u can as none of those teams realisticly will lose.. and if they some how fkn did, then my take on it is that i just wasnt truely meant to win the bet.. but ill take that risk with these any day of the week 10 times on saturday.. all these games will be a winner,i repeat all will win! thanku and stay tuned for my next big play..                                                

                   


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#44
Posted: 9/2/2012 12:31:14 PM
well so much for that idea Fl failed to cover. Guess you should learn about progressive parleys.
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#45
Posted: 9/2/2012 1:12:07 PM
I had a lot of winners too spread around teasers and parlays mixed with spread and ML.  NV, bama, Clemson, HI, Northwestern, Rory in golf, Serena and Kerber in tennis but some losers mixed in like Stanford and Okl. Did not cover teaser spreads and Penn St. Lost outright hurt me.  Straight wagers may be the answer but your capping skills need to be good, I am not good and look through threads forr picks.  CBB was fun, NBA ok, bases so-so.  Hopefully football will be great!
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#46
Posted: 9/2/2012 1:21:44 PM
I forgot Navy hurt me too!
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#47
Posted: 9/2/2012 1:21:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bonilla420:

wiseguys- thank u very much i appreciate that buddy..u seem like a real cool son of a girl sir. i wish u nothin but the best too     NOW! here is my 2nd bet for week 1 cfb! a 12 tm parlay- All on the moneyline- 1)Bama. 2)Tennessee. 3)South Carolina.. 4)Georgia..5)Florida..6)Ohio st..7)Usc..8)OU.9)lsu..10) OREGON ..11)W.VIRGINIA...12)Texas...all 12 WILL WIN!!!!!! WITHOUT A FKN DOUBT..




Good job Bonilla.  All these fuckin' haters.  I like JD to point out your 7 teamer going up in flames but not saying anything about him hitting this 12 teamer.  Stay classy
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#48
Posted: 9/2/2012 1:49:43 PM
Congratulations Buddy, Keep up the good work!!
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