Posted: 4/2/2012 12:40:17 AM
Boston Under 90.5 (-130)
I just feel their lineup has a ton of question marks.. A-Gon and Ortiz should regress some, Crawford will be bothered by his wrist for the forseeable future, can Youkilis stay healthy?.. Their rotation is weak after Lester and Beckett, and chronically injured Bailey is a step down from Papelbon as closer.
Atlanta Under 86.5 (-120)
The division is tougher now and their lineup will struggle if Heyward doesn't step forward. Their rotation has a ton of question marks as Hudson will miss the first month, Hanson and Jurrjens can never stay healthy, Beachy has an innings limit and I'm not sold on Minor as a consistent option yet.
Cleveland Under 78.5 (+100)
Not really sold on the team. They have some young hitters that will improve, but apparently Asdrubal is out of shape. Their pitching is below average, Masterson should regress some, Ubaldo should improve, but some people view too highly on him and the rest of their staff is poor. I would also not be suprised if Perez blew a few more saves this year.
LA Dodgers Under 81.5 (-140)
Last year, this team was basically Kershaw and Kemp, and I feel both should regress (especially Kemp). The rest of the team is very weak and did not do enough to improve in order to conted in an improved NL West.
Milwaukee Over 85 (-130)
Milwaukee to Win NL Central +260
Their lineup should still be productive without Fielder, and they still have the best staff in the division and a solid bullpen. The Reds have a less effective bullpen without Madson, and there is a chance Carpenter misses most of the season for the Cardinals, so I view them as the favorites in the division.
LA Angels Over 92.5 (+110)
Everyone knows about the additions of Pujols and CJ Wilson, but Morales could be almost as important. They now have what is probably the top rotation in the AL. I have them as the best team in the league and winning 96 games but this is still a high numer to bet on.
San Diego Over 73.5 (-120)
I like the addition of Alonso, and several guys in their lineup really underachieved last year. Their pitching staff won't be too bad if Volquez gains some control and Stauffer and Luebke continue last year's success.
Any opinions on these leans?