Posted: 11/25/2009 6:29:15 PM
(Miami -3 at Buffalo), Miami (5-5) is coming off a nice & most needed win at Carolina. Miami is sitting 2 games behind the Patriots & need another win vs the Bills. The Bills (3-7) fired their coach after coming off a bye week & getting smashed to the hot Titans. Last week with their interim coach, they had the lead most of the game vs the Jaguars but ended up losing the game after the Jags scored a td in the last seconds to win the game by 3 points. Miami has won 3 of their past 4 games since having the meltdown vs the Saints. Miami seems to beat the bad & average teams & lose to the good teams. Miami has the Patriots on deck next week & is playing for a wildcard spot. Miami could be looking past the Bills & ahead to the Patriots. The Bills are not going anywhere this season but are they still playing for pride? Trends for this game are: Bills are 15-1 ATS at home in November vs an opponent off a SU & ATS win. Bills are 9-1 ATS <.500 vs division opponent off a SU dog win. Miami is 3-13 ATS in November off non-division game vs a division opponent. Miami is 12-1 ATS away off a SU win vs an opponent w/revenge. Miami is 2-7 ATS last 9 games vs Bills & 0-4 ATS past 4 on the road at Buffalo. Betting edge: Bills +3, Bills ML, Bills teasers, Bills parlays.
(Titans -1.5 vs Arizona), Titans are the hottest (4-6) team & the talented Vince Young is carving his opponents with his elusiveness & ability to find open receivers. The Titans have the Colts on deck next week but I doubt they are looking ahead at 4-6. Fisher is having his team play each game as if it meant a playoff spot. Arizona (7-3) is playing great ball after starting the season 1-2. Arizona has won 6 out of 7 games coming off their bye week. Kurt Warner took a hit to his head last week vs the Rams & Leinhart came in to finish the job. When Warner got hurt, Arizona had a commanding lead but let the Rams creep back & gave them a shot to tie the game but ended up holding them off on defense. Warner is probable but if he plays, I dont see him being 100% & I see Arizona playing catch up in this game as the Titans take the lead & dont look back. Arizona has the Vikings next week at home & then travel to San Fran for a Monday night showdown so I see Arizona looking ahead, besides that, they can afford a loss as they are ahead of the 2nd place 49ers by 3 games. Betting edge: Titans -1.5, Titans in parlays.