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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: ***NFL PLAYS FOR WEEK 12***
TorontoJoey send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 11/25/2009 6:09:51 PM
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#27
Posted: 11/25/2009 6:29:15 PM

Adding:

 

(Miami -3 at Buffalo),  Miami (5-5) is coming off a nice & most needed win at Carolina. Miami is sitting 2 games behind the Patriots & need another win vs the Bills. The Bills (3-7) fired their coach after coming off a bye week & getting smashed to the hot Titans. Last week with their interim coach, they had the lead most of the game vs the Jaguars but ended up losing the game after the Jags scored a td in the last seconds to win the game by 3 points. Miami has won 3 of their past 4 games since having the meltdown vs the Saints. Miami seems to beat the bad & average teams & lose to the good teams. Miami has the Patriots on deck next week & is playing for a wildcard spot. Miami could be looking past the Bills & ahead to the Patriots. The Bills are not going anywhere this season but are they still playing for pride? Trends for this game are: Bills are 15-1 ATS at home in November vs an opponent off a SU & ATS win. Bills are 9-1 ATS <.500 vs division opponent off a SU dog win. Miami is 3-13 ATS in November off non-division game vs a division opponent. Miami is 12-1 ATS away off a SU win vs an opponent w/revenge. Miami is 2-7 ATS last 9 games vs Bills & 0-4 ATS past 4 on the road at Buffalo. Betting edge: Bills +3, Bills ML, Bills teasers, Bills parlays.

 

(Titans -1.5 vs Arizona),  Titans are the hottest (4-6) team & the talented Vince Young is carving his opponents with his elusiveness & ability to find open receivers. The Titans have the Colts on deck next week but I doubt they are looking ahead at 4-6. Fisher is having his team play each game as if it meant a playoff spot. Arizona (7-3) is playing great ball after starting the season 1-2. Arizona has won 6 out of 7 games coming off their bye week. Kurt Warner took a hit to his head last week vs the Rams & Leinhart came in to finish the job. When Warner got hurt, Arizona had a commanding lead but let the Rams creep back & gave them a shot to tie the game but ended up holding them off on defense. Warner is probable but if he plays, I dont see him being 100% & I see Arizona playing catch up in this game as the Titans take the lead & dont look back. Arizona has the Vikings next week at home & then travel to San Fran for a Monday night showdown so I see Arizona looking ahead, besides that, they can afford a loss as they are ahead of the 2nd place 49ers by 3 games. Betting edge: Titans -1.5, Titans in parlays.

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#28
Posted: 11/25/2009 7:34:25 PM

gl PTime!

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#29
Posted: 11/25/2009 9:25:05 PM
If Orton does not play, Broncos get rolled
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#30
Posted: 11/25/2009 10:09:48 PM
The Pitts teasers just killed me last week
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#31
Posted: 11/26/2009 12:00:19 AM
BOL Prime
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#32
Posted: 11/26/2009 12:26:32 AM

Adding:

 

Official play for turkey day:

3 team 10 point teaser: Packers -1.5, Dallas -3.5, Giants +4

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#33
Posted: 11/26/2009 1:45:34 AM

Adding official plays for thanksgiving day:

 

G Bay -11.5

Giants -6

G Bay/Lions Over 47.5

2 team 6 point teaser: G Bay -5.5 & Giants Pk

 

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#34
Posted: 11/26/2009 2:41:03 AM

Don't know how you think Houston will beat Indy. That defense is too slow. Indy will win and cover. Houston at home just not the same. Give me Payton all day long.

Like most of your other plays though. Giants are scary

 

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#35
Posted: 11/26/2009 6:37:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

I lost my college & NFL POY this season & it only goes to show, even when you think you cant lose, you can always lose in betting. Also, my money management skills are worthless & I dont recommend anyone following my plays based on how much I wager on them but with the beat down I took last night, I will only post my write-ups & betting edge & what side I feel will cover. No more posting how much I bet on games because it influences others on how they bet the game. I recommend betting all games evenly. Also, I would like to commend Vince Young on a great game. He burned me quite a few times his rookie season & did so Monday night. The guy is simply the x-factor on the Titans because without him, the Titans wouldnt have won the past 4 games. Defenses just dont know how to contain him & if the Texans dont beat the Colts this week, maybe the Titans will. The guy simply has a scary ton of talent & you could see it even when passing 50 yards down field while being chased out of the pocket & throwing off his back foot. Enough praising of VY & lets get on with the plays.



(Gbay -11 at Lions),  Gbay had a huge lead vs the 49ers but let it slip away & I believe the Packers pushed on the clsoing spread of -6 & the Lions won their 2nd game of the season but at the expense of Stafford getting injured. Gbay being an 11 point favorite is a bit scary considering they play the Ravens the following Monday night in Gbay. Will Gbay look ahead of this Thanksgiving feast? The Packers will have 10 days of rest before playing the Ravens so I doubt they will be looking ahead. The Lions are nothing to write home about but with the injuries piling up, the Packers have a slim chance of losing this game outright. Betting edge: Packers -11, Packers in 3 team 10 point teasers & Packers ML in parlays.

 

(Dallas -13.5 vs Raiders),  Dallas has only scored 2 td's past two games. What is wrong with their offense? The Raiders were down 0-14 early vs the Bengals & came back to win the game with help from the Bengals. I watched the whole game & the Bengals did everything in their power to give the game to Oakland & Oakland should have lost the game. The Raiders are just not a good team but they do have a pretty good defense & maybe the new qb has given them the spark they needed. The Raiders show up to play whenever they feel like it but I dont know how to gauge their new qb just yet until I see him play several games. Dallas is playing their 2nd consecutive home game & it remains to be seen if Romo shows up to play. The Raiders previously won 2 games this season & have followed that win with a blowout loss the following week, 3-23 & 0-38. Imo, Dallas will wake up from their offensive coma & put some points up. The Raiders play at Pittsburgh next week & Dallas plays at the Giants. Betting edge: Dallas in 13 point teasers (if you can get it) & Dallas ML in parlays, I dont trust Dallas laying the full 13.5 points.

 

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#36
Posted: 11/26/2009 7:55:46 AM

RIDER + 2 1/2                                            

#738     VIR    ML - 145                            

#751    DUQ - 1 1/2                               

#769    T-MART   + 7 1/2                        

#767  OKL  - 8 1/2                              

#740   KENTUCKY -9                          

#728  L-TECH   - 9                               

#772  SAN FRAN   - 6 1/2                  

# 759  ALCORN ST + 23 1/2                

# 731    SDS - 1                                  

 

2ND HALF

 

ORAL ROBERTS - 4                                                 WINNER  

COL - 8 1/2                                                                 WINNER 

 

5-6  CBB   1-1 NBA      6-7 TODAY       139 AND 153 LAST 292

LOST THREE BIG PLAYS LAST SATURDAY ON RUTGERS, NOTRED DAME AND NORTHERN  ILLINOIS, AGAIN ON HOUSTON ON MONDAY NIGHT MINUS 2.5 BUYING 1 FOR 145 JUICE AND HIS LIST THREE TEASERS, A TWO TEAMER MONDAY NIGHT AND BOTH THREE TEAMERS AS WELL

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