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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJP's MLB Winner's Circle (Tuesday---June 28th, 2011)
twodigitz
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twodigitz
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#176
Posted: 6/28/2011 11:32:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HugeBallz:

  • Red Sox/Phillies OVER 7 (-105)
  • Houston Astros ML (+150)

BetJamaica needs to balance their action on the Red Sox/Phillies Total and the Astros/Rangers Game, so I'm going to take the Phillies/BoSox Over and Houston Astros ML to help them out.


Thank you for indirectly paying my bills through these games




SJP also made bodio look bad by only posting one of his picks that she liked...you knew once she agreed that pick was going to be
If you were smart you should have either stayed away from hou or played tex.
I'm pretty sure if bodio saw that she "endorsed" his houston play he would of jumped right off hou and had a solid 2-1 day.
Well like I said earlier you made me feel real good about my tex bet today! so for that THANKS A BUNCH SJP!!!
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BigGame90
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#177
Posted: 6/28/2011 11:53:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by twodigitz:



Nope...look at the thread, that kc series should not have counted since it qualified(im lost???, if it qualifies it is a play) but should not have been a play since it didnt pass the filters but since the creator of the system played the series, he recorded as a loss. I played the series very very small and also hedged it with +1.5 on minny so the damage was done but not even close to 95%of the winning, made it all back with the next series. Once again money management brother


Please enlighten us on your "system" because from the way it sounds you just keep doubling up hoping to not lose 4 in a row? When you do, your going to lose your entire bankroll. At what point do you sell your house to make the 4th play?
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#178
Posted: 6/28/2011 11:59:26 PM
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twodigitz
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#179
Posted: 6/29/2011 12:07:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigGame90:



Please enlighten us on your "system" because from the way it sounds you just keep doubling up hoping to not lose 4 in a row? When you do, your going to lose your entire bankroll. At what point do you sell your house to make the 4th play?


READ THE THREAD...if you have a question about the system ask about it in the THREAD this is not the place to be doing it. RESPECT SJP's thread and ask ?s on the thread your ? relates to.

I am done with this thread, was only in here to bother SJP since I was getting tired of her cloggin up the forum with her nonsense. Now since I have a life unlike SJP, you probably won't here from me in any of her threads any more.  Unless im super bored like today on my day off.
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#180
Posted: 6/29/2011 12:36:52 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by twodigitz:





SJP also made bodio look bad by only posting one of his picks that she liked...you knew once she agreed that pick was going to be
If you were smart you should have either stayed away from hou or played tex.
I'm pretty sure if bodio saw that she "endorsed" his houston play he would of jumped right off hou and had a solid 2-1 day.
Well like I said earlier you made me feel real good about my tex bet today! so for that THANKS A BUNCH SJP!!!

 

wow, if you are going to bash, at least get your stuff right... bodio was 1-3 today so by "jumping off houston" that would make him 1-2, not 2-1 (no offense to bodio, he does really good stuff).. just take that junk elsewhere clownbag....

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#181
Posted: 6/29/2011 12:45:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by twodigitz:





SJP also made bodio look bad by only posting one of his picks that she liked...you knew once she agreed that pick was going to be
If you were smart you should have either stayed away from hou or played tex.
I'm pretty sure if bodio saw that she "endorsed" his houston play he would of jumped right off hou and had a solid 2-1 day.
Well like I said earlier you made me feel real good about my tex bet today! so for that THANKS A BUNCH SJP!!!


Haha I didn't even have money on Texas. Only the Under in the BoSox game. Still, she paid Vegas for them to pay me.

I don't ever follow or fade. I just drink beer and bet on games I like. I know they are all 50-50 at the end of the day. Whatever gets my adrenaline flowing.
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#182
Posted: 6/29/2011 12:51:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by HugeBallz:



Haha I didn't even have money on Texas. Only the Under in the BoSox game. Still, she paid Vegas for them to pay me.

I don't ever follow or fade. I just drink beer and bet on games I like. I know they are all 50-50 at the end of the day. Whatever gets my adrenaline flowing.

co-sign

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BigGame90
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#183
Posted: 6/29/2011 1:02:52 AM
twodigitz- that post makes no sense
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.- I know why-- after the 3rd loss you lost most of your bankroll and you do not have enough to cover the 4th game action, most likely you can not get that type of action.

  If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.

   If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

Basically playing the top 4 teams against the bottom 5.
Any top 5 teams is going to be at least a -170 fav against the bottom 5 teams, no matter if they lost the first 2 of the series.

So first game(A) you lay 170 to win 100
You lose
Now in-order to get back to even you need to lay around 300 on the second game aka-B ( assuming the line stays around -170) to win 170  now your back to even if B wins.
Lets say you lose B
Now you have to lay roughly 800 to win roughly 470 and you will be back to even.
( this is why the guy doesn't play game 4, he wont be able to afford it but lets just see what would happen if he HAD to play gm 4 at around -170)
Now you need to lay roughly 2200 to win roughly 1300.

Lets see how you need to play to make a profit;

If he ONLY played it to the max of 3 games, assuming he lost all 3 he would be down roughly 1300.
If he wins game 1 hes up 100...however....
If he loses game 1 hes now playing to break even with game 2(B) or game 3(C).
The theory of this play is the need to win game 1. If you lose game 1 now you have to risk a large amount to break even.
(If he chased and lost the 4th game hes down roughly 3,500)


this season its 30-1 check it our yourself dumb dumb
When you say 30 are you counting games A,B AND C ( just not counting the game A or B loses because one of the 3 games will be a winner, in which case do you give yourself another W?) and is the 1 a game 3-C loss? 


My whole point is you will ONLY make a profit with a game 1 win ( whats that record??). If game 1 loses, you should not count it as a W because you WILL NOT win anything, you will now hope to get back to even and not lose everything in the next 2-3 games.  So tell us what that the record really is.  
 1 game 1 win=100
 1 3 game losing streak = -1300

you need to go 13-0 on game A for every 1 3 game losing streak ( assuming juice is roughly 170). Remember game B or game C wins do not count towards that 13 win, because there is no profit. If you had to chase to get to game 4 you now need to go 34-0 On Game A to make a profit ( for every 4 game losing streak). 30-1 and your a loser.

I'm assuming most places will not take game 4 action, pretty sure he wont get game 3 either.  



 






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#184
Posted: 6/29/2011 3:02:52 AM
Final Results:

  • San Francisco Giants ML (-121) ***WINNER***
  • Red Sox/Phillies OVER 7 (-105) ***LOSER***
  • Houston Astros ML (+150) ***LOSER***

Sometimes, you gotta give back to the books so they don't come and off you.


SJP
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LasVegasLord
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#185
Posted: 6/29/2011 3:29:26 AM
Turn it around tomorrow my friend.  GL.
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