Quote Originally Posted by phixer:
went 3-1 yesterday on nba and mlb altogether
wash -2 1.1k
miami -1.5 1.1k
under 207 in dallas 2.2k
under 8 in houston 1.15k (didnt post the sum meaning played my minimal k)
3-1 +2.9k
50-34-3
+33,460 $
36-18-2 solid big plays +33930 $
4-6-1 medium plays -390 $
10-10 small plays -80 $
Similar day 5-1 yesterday all NBA- lost same game you lost.
The way I see it we and others on Heat made the right call. Two things we could not account for was Melos's big night I mean the guy had a string to the bottom of the net- I think all his shots were net shots he did not even glaze the rim. Another was the poor play half way through 4th quarter, the Heat did not score a basket for about 4 of the last 5 minutes which included about 4 passes that did not touch the receiver and another that well, was thrown to the ref (he must have looked like ray allen- That being said the reasoning for this pick was
" I think they will get a good energetic defensive effort from the Heat. If the heat manage to not just resort to the 3pt ball and the knicks cool down a bit specially their 3pt game- this could be close- Even with the King I was leaning Knicks +9 with the B2 because I thought the Heat would rest the big guys at the end if they were ahead. "
This is just what happened first half heat defended well (except melo but I think he could have shot over the empire state building and still swish. Also the Heat did not just result to the 3pt game (in the first half) they had about 24pts in the point in the 1H which means they were posting up and driving to the basket, I say teams have to do this with a lead at all times but I am not the teams. Now what went wrong in the 2H the knicks played some zone and made the Heat resort (or at least allowed them) to take all the threes they wanted and they did not make them. This change in game plan or lack of plan execution shows where experience comes into play and allen or battier should have been the play setters not cole. Cole accounted for about 5 bad shots in the last 5 minutes not counting the bad passes (he is def no chalmers)
Good Call and Wrong Outcome
The other games where just as predicted as well
"Was plays well at home, Bulls have been squeaking by as of late. The trends at home favor Washington, while they have nothing to really play for neither do the Bobcats, Hornets and they like the Wizards have taken on the challenge of big teams. This write up applies in part to the Lakers as the Mavs have also been squeaking by. The Lakers and Mavs both need this game bad and they both rely on the 3 ball, who gets them to fall? This could get ugly either way depending on who has the touch. I think the Lakers have home advantage and also can play defense when needed I don't think the Mavs will continue to win games in the final minutes as they did with the Bulls, Clips and Lakers, hard to beat three good teams (or teams playing well) in a row. It can happen it is the NBA but I am going with the Lakers here."
Not much explaining there- two teams that have been winning games on whim last minute, you can't do that forever and it showed last night.
I like Phixer also had the under but on live bet at 204 and then took the under 2H at 101.5 - Neither team really had it last night the score was inflated by about 15 pts because of the foul shooting game the mavs were trying to play on howard and they paid dearly for it.
I took the under because I was leaning under as stated in other post pre game and then when I saw a few minutes on how baskets were just not falling either way and that the lakers were ahead (usually means they play D most of the way after that) I took it at 204 and then the system am working on suggested under 101.5 was the play.