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Author: [Las Vegas] Topic: Baseball Lines
six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
six5juice
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#1
Posted: 12/4/2012 12:52:24 AM
Aloha friends! I'll probably be in Vegas during spring break and was curious what sports book has the best lines/odds for baseball? I did pretty well this past season through my local, but looking to place a few small wagers when I'm in Sin City. Thanks!
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gratefulbets
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#2
Posted: 12/20/2012 11:40:47 AM
You're betting baseball in Dec.? I know Hi is 4 hours behind LV, not 4 months.
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#3
Posted: 12/20/2012 1:51:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gratefulbets:

You're betting baseball in Dec.? I know Hi is 4 hours behind LV, not 4 months.


Learn how to read bro...Details are key.
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Gooey_911
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#4
Posted: 12/21/2012 11:30:08 PM
Best baseball lines are typically found at LVH.  Worst baseball lines are offered at any casino on the strip - stay away.  However, when betting underdogs, you can usually find value at other out of the way books.  The reason being is, many books usually will put up higher lines on a favorite, particularly public favorite (i.e. Stations will do this but so long as it is a ten cent line, you can sometimes find a little more value on the underdog than what would be offered at the LVH).

Best thing to do is tour the LVH, any Station casino, Southpoint, etc and grab the lines the night before and compare.  Good luck and maybe I will see you there.
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#5
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:22:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gooey_911:

Best baseball lines are typically found at LVH.  Worst baseball lines are offered at any casino on the strip - stay away.  However, when betting underdogs, you can usually find value at other out of the way books.  The reason being is, many books usually will put up higher lines on a favorite, particularly public favorite (i.e. Stations will do this but so long as it is a ten cent line, you can sometimes find a little more value on the underdog than what would be offered at the LVH).

Best thing to do is tour the LVH, any Station casino, Southpoint, etc and grab the lines the night before and compare.  Good luck and maybe I will see you there.


Thanks man! I appreciate the info!
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six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 12/22/2012 3:28:23 AM
Gooey,

What strategy do you use to bet baseball? Do you play dogs/favs? Like to play ML? Or over/under?
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Gooey_911
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#7
Posted: 12/22/2012 9:02:21 AM
I attempt to find value in the money lines, but I really do look for value on underdogs.  If you can bet dogs at +130 or higher, you can win money in the long run by hitting just 40% of your bets.  Also alternative run lines can be profitable as well (it's where you pick one team (fav/dog) -1 1/2 runs which gives you a much higher return.  When I really like a play, I typically put 80-85% of my wager on the ML and the other 20-15% on that teams alternative run line.  (There was a couple that would come into the LVH right before night games went off and when they bet, they bet $2500 on the underdog alternative run lines.  I did not see them often but when I did, I learned to tail their bets, as the worse they ever did was go 1 for 3 and still made over 3k that night)

As far as totals, I rarely play them.  One reason is I dislike cheering for teams to score or not score.  But I am also objective enough to say betting totals is not my strong suit either.  However, when I do play them based on what I think is a good bet, it's usually on teams playing within their division the day after those teams had long/late games and/or where they just traveled 800+ miles to get to the game being played (these situations do not happen that often). 


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#8
Posted: 12/22/2012 9:37:36 AM
I never played alt run lines, but thanks for giving me the scoops about them. I usually played first 5 innings on game totals when I liked the pitching of both teams.

I tended to bet underdogs, especially in this past seasons playoffs and it seemed to work well. Before that, I used to bet favs (which was hard to find value) since the lines were so inflated.

I'm going to read up about your strategy of ML and alt lines. Sounds very interesting!
Posted using a mobile device.
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six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#9
Posted: 12/24/2012 7:07:26 PM
Gooey,

Read up on alt lines. Great strategy. Looking forward to trying that this upcoming season!
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#10
Posted: 1/15/2013 5:48:14 PM
Don't forget the Cantor sportsbooks. They offer 10 cent lines.
Cantor sportsbooks are at Ventian/Palazzo, Cosmopolitan, Tropicana, Hard Rock, Palms, and M Resort (which is off the strip).

But I also agree that LVH and Stations will have good lines too
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#11
Posted: 1/19/2013 9:08:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rocksaki:

Don't forget the Cantor sportsbooks. They offer 10 cent lines.
Cantor sportsbooks are at Ventian/Palazzo, Cosmopolitan, Tropicana, Hard Rock, Palms, and M Resort (which is off the strip).

But I also agree that LVH and Stations will have good lines too


Thanks bro!
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#12
Posted: 1/22/2013 9:48:06 PM
Great info. With a group of casinos belonging to the same property (Ex:  Hard Rock and Palms both are Cantor). If I bet a game at the Palms and it wins can I cash the ticket at the Hard Rock because they are the same property or do I have to go back to the Palms to cash it?
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Pendo
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#13
Posted: 1/23/2013 2:06:47 PM
Great Gooey_911 tips.  use all of them myself in slightly modified ways:

find Run Line bets on dogs.  
Wagering successfully a two-thirds of the time on dogs of greater than or equal = +123 is long run profitable.
And alternate & reverse run lines ±1 1/2 runs yield higher returns.  

proprtions of Gooey's are also very solid: 75-85% ML w/ remainder on that team's alternate RL.  

I do play totals, but less frequently in any sport, because the good bets are themselves less frequently found. 

I'd don't always bet totals, but when I do, I drink undies...
Stay scoreless my teams.

It's easier to miss hitting a gopher pitch right down the middle of the pike fair, than it is to put it on the board.

I like seeing I'm winning right from the beginning w/ unders, and love it when I spot arms not to be scored upon (or, occasionally scored on w/o bull for an over). I also bet on the under when a team's going to play a division rival, and just had a long extra inning, or late starting game, and/or where they've had to  travel 800+ miles to get to where they'll play the game.
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Rocksaki send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
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#14
Posted: 1/24/2013 11:38:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by go_opp:

Great info. With a group of casinos belonging to the same property (Ex:  Hard Rock and Palms both are Cantor). If I bet a game at the Palms and it wins can I cash the ticket at the Hard Rock because they are the same property or do I have to go back to the Palms to cash it?

Sadly no, because Cantor has an independent contract with each of those casinos
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go_opp
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#15
Posted: 1/24/2013 11:51:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rocksaki:


Sadly no, because Cantor has an independent contract with each of those casinos

Thanks for the advice.

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Pendo
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#16
Posted: 1/25/2013 12:46:28 AM
@Rocksaki, it depends what the betting slip says on the back of it.
Most times the answer is yes, you can cash it at another sports book run by the same management.  I know because I'm from here, Lost Wages Nobada.  But don't take my word or the Texan's word, call their toll free # and ask for the manager at the sports book - because the writers (that's what the betting slip cashier is called here in vegas) oft times don't know Jack Shite above their station, 
sad but true.

So the answer again is almost always YES - this is Vegas baby, we're always cooperative to giterdun
to please the customer with customer service
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Pendo
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#17
Posted: 1/25/2013 12:50:08 AM
OOPs

@go_opp

Your inquiry's addressed in my previous post.


CHEERS !
p
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#18
Posted: 1/28/2013 2:18:15 PM
PHUCK OFF DBAG
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six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#19
Posted: 2/2/2013 10:49:45 PM
Going to be in LV before the start of the season. Looking to buy a few futures. What do you guys think?

I'm thinking Angels. Any advice?
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#20
Posted: 2/3/2013 12:43:33 AM
I've been thinking about this as well....call me crazy but 2 teams where I think you could get pretty decent odds are the Braves and Nationals (yes, I know they are in the same division) but I think you could get solid odds on both. The Angels will probably be the favorites and no one likes betting the faves hahaha....I actually think the WS will be Detroit vs. Atlanta or Detroit vs. Washington. 

I don't have any stats or anything to back up my prediction, just something fun I have thought about over the last couple weeks. Let us know what you decide 
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#21
Posted: 2/3/2013 12:56:47 AM
Scratch the above....I just saw the following......

Nationals are 8/1
Angels are 9/1
Braves are 12/1
Tigers are 9/1


Surprised to see that Toronto is the favorite at 7/1....NO WAY that's happening in my opinion.

Nice looking longer shots......

Reds 14/1
Yanks 14/1
Cards 22/1
Rays 25/1
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six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#22
Posted: 2/10/2013 12:04:38 AM
I think I might have to take the Angels and Yanks (just because they are the Yanks). Don't play futures, so I won't be dumping a large amount of money on these tickets.
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SportsFan9698
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#23
Posted: 2/12/2013 1:45:44 PM

Best lines... worst lines... I really think you are splitting hairs to run all over.  Most all lines are within a fraction of each other.

Play your futures where you are, and where you want to be. 

I do like to shop lines when playing 1000 games over the course of a season... but for this purpose I don't see the point.

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#24
Posted: 3/31/2013 3:25:41 AM
Lets get things rolling!
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