Posted: 3/18/2013 2:09:08 PM
Originally Posted by DNorman702
My buds know this is as the "Norman-Gale".
I learned of the real Martingale story couple years ago. Then I thought that should be applied to the NFL because teams very rarely cover 3 times in a row. This is profitable, especially when a team goes 0-2 ATS at any point, the likelihood of them going 0-5 ATS is bottom basement low, the numbers evade me. I then applied this strategy starting after last years all star break and had enormous success. I started choosing a home team for a 3 or 4 game series betting the first game and doubling up as the series progressed if they were to lose. Of all the "home favorites" I chose none were swept at home.
I then pondered what else this wonderful system could do. Add in the O/U and TTR you find your self with an insane amount of options. Take for example the Angels coming off a 4 game series in which they didn't score more than 4 runs in any of the games. Law of probability states they will score more than 4 in one of the next 3 games simply because they are an offensive powerhouse and they score runs. And if they don't, well hell, that's gamblin'.
Before one were to undertake such a thing you must commit your self to following through. For example, if you choose the Braves as your series and they lose the first 2 games, you will then be looking at a massive wager for the 3rd game. If you decide to use this system then you cannot bow out on those huge 3rd game wagers. No matter what.
I don't know much about baseball but this sounds like a great way to make money. I was just going to bet 3 teams that I know score and take the over everyday, that was going to be my strategy but I never thought about taking a whole series. Thanks for the info!