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[College Football] Topic: 7th Big Play of the Year......5-1 ytd |
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#1 Posted: 10/6/2012 2:02:28 PM
Just about a perfect storm of factors here.
Firstly, if this game were played week 1 I think SMU would be about a 7 point favorite. That means either SMU must've played worse than expected so far or UTEP has exceeded expectations. For the most part I think both have done about what one would expect. SMU is 2-2 ats and UTEP is 2-3 ats. I know UTEP backers will say they played Oklahoma and Wisconsin close but I'm not sold. They ended up losing to Oklahoma 24-7 and their only score was a punt blocked returned for a touchdown. They lost 37-26 to Wisky as 17.5 point dogs but it's clear it's a down year for the Badgers.
SMU's only bad loss was vs Texas A&M where they were clearly outmatched. They only loss to TCU by 8 last week by 8 despite 6 turnovers. Gilbert has been moving the ball well but does need to cut back on his interceptions. I think he will be able to put up points with relative ease against UTEP's secondary.
Second, the public is all over UTEP with 63% of the covers community picking them to cover. This plus the fact that the line is 2.5 (my favorite number to take a dog) makes it seem like Vegas is begging for money on UTEP. I think SMU will start conference play with a TD+ win on the road but will gladly take the 2.5 points insurance.
BOL
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sungod95 |
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#2 Posted: 10/6/2012 2:06:57 PM  |
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#3 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:17:53 PM |
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#4 Posted: 10/6/2012 6:17:57 PM |
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DynastyOne |
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#5 Posted: 10/6/2012 9:04:09 PM  |
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JMUstud |
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#6 Posted: 10/6/2012 9:30:26 PM |
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#7 Posted: 10/6/2012 11:24:47 PM  |
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sungod95 |
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#8 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:25:23 AM  |
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Maddogvachon1 |
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#9 Posted: 10/7/2012 10:44:21 AM |
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#10 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:58:41 AM |
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#11 Posted: 10/8/2012 1:28:29 PM Nice work DBobs!!!
I missed your pic but appreciate what you do!! Keep 'em coming!!
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sooner59 |
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#12 Posted: 10/11/2012 11:18:48 PM |
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