Streak Strategies

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/10/2012 6:15:42 PM

Feb 10

FLA (4-3-3) NO PLAY AGAINST NJ (6-2-2)

Teams on streaks: PHX, VAN, MTL

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/13/2012 12:08:37 AM

FEB 13

PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3)

Teams on streaks: PHX, MTL, STL, NYR, FLA, DET,

wizzy69 PM wizzy69
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Posted: 2/13/2012 1:38:01 PM

  i have no idea how to figure out what the play is. i read this thread at least 5 times,lol. can you post what the play is ?. for ex: nyr -125  / when you say  teams on streaks are those the plays?  or when you say

PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3)   what does this mean, pho wudda been the play?    i would appreciate a better way to know what the plays are . ty vm

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/13/2012 1:44:23 PM

ok i will change how i post from now on i will post like this:

PHO (6-3-1) vs VAN (6-1-3): PHO NO PLAY

the teams on streaks are teams we are watching to lose one game then we may bet against them if it fits the filter.

hope that helped

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/14/2012 11:12:04 PM

FEB 15

BOS (4-5-1) VS MON (6-4): BOS NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: DET, NYR, FLA

wizzy69 PM wizzy69
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Posted: 2/15/2012 5:51:27 AM

so then boston no play = play on montreal ?

i ask bcuz many of your post say no play. which makes it seem like there is no play every day. sorry if i seem like im busting balls but just wanna understand what ur saying.

wizzy69 PM wizzy69
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Posted: 2/15/2012 5:59:59 AM

also do you have a record of wins and losses?

in the pho/van game in your post it says (no play against van) but van won. i takit as play van. like todays game bos/mon -no play bos = play mon

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/15/2012 7:34:52 AM
no i would not recommend playing the reverse, i will update the win loss tonight
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/16/2012 12:03:44 AM

wow just looking back at my last posts ive been messing up as 4-3-3 is over .500 cause it is 11 points of 20 possible points so I missed wins on PHI and FLA, i also missed posting BUF ended a streak and lost to NJ.

Since these plays did follow the rules they will be included in the record update which is:

31 A wins 12 B (chase) wins 2 A+B losses

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/16/2012 12:26:03 AM

Next Play

Feb 16

NYI (5-3-2) VS STL (6-3-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYI

PHO (6-2-2)(ended streak) VS LA (4-4-2): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: NYR, DET, ANA

Teams ended streaks (future plays): FLA (FEB 17)

wizzy69 PM wizzy69
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Posted: 2/16/2012 6:21:30 AM

much better burly,  in todays plays pho was the lean but became a no play? it seems we are playing teams that end a certain streak? so possible future plays can be on nyr ,det, ana ,correct?.sorry, but im finding this system very interesting

oh bos did win  in soot out i believe. i was like damn burly made it a no play but you had your reasons

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/16/2012 9:23:58 AM

actually the play would have been LA, we are betting against teams that have a three or more game winning streak and then loss one game.

yea I was surprised when BOS was a NO PLAY but it went to a SO so my -0.5 play on favorites would have lost.

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/16/2012 11:31:41 PM

NYI

I want to look back and see if the very high home favorites should be avoided possibly at -200 or above but I will wait and see if the chase hits.

Feb 17

WAS (3-4-3) VS FLA (6-3-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: DET, ANA

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/18/2012 12:07:48 AM

CHASE GAME: MIN VS STL: PLAY MIN

Be careful with this play as STL was a huge fav in game A this is more of a

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/18/2012 5:34:53 PM

ok so with the STL 4-0 win, a certain line will be set I just have to look back and see at what odds the losses are.

 

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/19/2012 6:27:21 PM

The NYI vs STL game A would have fit the fade A+B filter from earlier in the year, from what ive seen the fade can be played as a -1.5 on the home team to eliminate the high price.

Todays Play

CLB (4-6) VS NYR (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYR -1.5

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/19/2012 11:27:29 PM
Rangers won but didnt cover, i think that the odds that have covered so far have been between -215 and -249.
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/19/2012 11:46:52 PM
Teams on streaks: DET, VAN, NJ, WIN
wizzy69 PM wizzy69
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Posted: 2/20/2012 11:48:08 AM
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/23/2012 9:21:51 AM

Feb 23

TB (5-3-2) vs WIN (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY TB

For the following play, both teams ended their streaks, in past same situations the team with the better last 10 record has won

VAN (7-1-2)(ended streak) vs DET (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY VAN

Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, TB, PHX, CHI

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/23/2012 11:43:44 PM

TB

VAN

FEB 25

CHASE AGAINST WIN: PLAY STL

TB (5-3-2)(ended streak) vs PIT (5-4-1): PLAY PIT

CHI (4-6-0)(ended streak) vs LA (2-6-2): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, PHX

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/23/2012 11:44:54 PM
Also there is no chase play against VAN as they had only one loss in last 10 so we would not have played against them.
Blasto79 PM Blasto79
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Posted: 2/24/2012 3:33:01 PM
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 2/25/2012 6:37:51 PM

STL

PIT easy

UPDATED RECORD:

33 A wins 13 B (chase) wins 3 A+B losses

I am about halfway through backchecking odds to see if a reverse can be used on teams who are highly favored that ended streaks, looks promising so far.

Upcoming Plays:

Feb 26

This play fits what should be the system fade, home team highly favored (-160 or higher, -160 might change after i've completed backcheck), and road team last 10 record under .500.

TB (4-5-1) vs NJ (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NJ

Teams on streaks: PHX, OTT, BUF, DAL

Burly PM Burly
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quote#100
Posted: 2/26/2012 7:52:49 PM

NJ

new system fade 0-1

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