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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies |
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Burly |
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#76 Posted: 2/10/2012 6:15:42 PM Feb 10
FLA (4-3-3) NO PLAY AGAINST NJ (6-2-2)
Teams on streaks: PHX, VAN, MTL |
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Burly |
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#77 Posted: 2/13/2012 12:08:37 AM FEB 13
PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3)
Teams on streaks: PHX, MTL, STL, NYR, FLA, DET, |
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wizzy69 |
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#78 Posted: 2/13/2012 1:38:01 PM    i have no idea how to figure out what the play is. i read this thread at least 5 times,lol. can you post what the play is ?. for ex: nyr -125 / when you say teams on streaks are those the plays? or when you say
PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3) what does this mean, pho wudda been the play? i would appreciate a better way to know what the plays are . ty vm |
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Burly |
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#79 Posted: 2/13/2012 1:44:23 PM ok i will change how i post from now on i will post like this:
PHO (6-3-1) vs VAN (6-1-3): PHO NO PLAY
the teams on streaks are teams we are watching to lose one game then we may bet against them if it fits the filter.
hope that helped |
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Burly |
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#80 Posted: 2/14/2012 11:12:04 PM FEB 15
BOS (4-5-1) VS MON (6-4): BOS NO PLAY
Teams on streaks: DET, NYR, FLA |
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wizzy69 |
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#81 Posted: 2/15/2012 5:51:27 AM so then boston no play = play on montreal ?
i ask bcuz many of your post say no play. which makes it seem like there is no play every day. sorry if i seem like im busting balls but just wanna understand what ur saying. |
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wizzy69 |
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#82 Posted: 2/15/2012 5:59:59 AM also do you have a record of wins and losses?
in the pho/van game in your post it says (no play against van) but van won. i takit as play van. like todays game bos/mon -no play bos = play mon |
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Burly |
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#83 Posted: 2/15/2012 7:34:52 AM |
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Burly |
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#84 Posted: 2/16/2012 12:03:44 AM wow just looking back at my last posts ive been messing up as 4-3-3 is over .500 cause it is 11 points of 20 possible points so I missed wins on PHI and FLA, i also missed posting BUF ended a streak and lost to NJ.
Since these plays did follow the rules they will be included in the record update which is:
31 A wins 12 B (chase) wins 2 A+B losses |
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Burly |
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#85 Posted: 2/16/2012 12:26:03 AM Next Play
Feb 16
NYI (5-3-2) VS STL (6-3-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYI
PHO (6-2-2)(ended streak) VS LA (4-4-2): NO PLAY
Teams on streaks: NYR, DET, ANA
Teams ended streaks (future plays): FLA (FEB 17) |
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wizzy69 |
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#86 Posted: 2/16/2012 6:21:30 AM much better burly, in todays plays pho was the lean but became a no play? it seems we are playing teams that end a certain streak? so possible future plays can be on nyr ,det, ana ,correct?.sorry, but im finding this system very interesting
oh bos did win in soot out i believe. i was like damn burly made it a no play but you had your reasons |
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Burly |
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#87 Posted: 2/16/2012 9:23:58 AM actually the play would have been LA, we are betting against teams that have a three or more game winning streak and then loss one game.
yea I was surprised when BOS was a NO PLAY but it went to a SO so my -0.5 play on favorites would have lost.
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Burly |
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#88 Posted: 2/16/2012 11:31:41 PM NYI 
I want to look back and see if the very high home favorites should be avoided possibly at -200 or above but I will wait and see if the chase hits.
Feb 17
WAS (3-4-3) VS FLA (6-3-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY
Teams on streaks: DET, ANA |
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Burly |
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#89 Posted: 2/18/2012 12:07:48 AM CHASE GAME: MIN VS STL: PLAY MIN
Be careful with this play as STL was a huge fav in game A this is more of a  |
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Burly |
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#90 Posted: 2/18/2012 5:34:53 PM ok so with the STL 4-0 win, a certain line will be set I just have to look back and see at what odds the losses are.
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Burly |
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#91 Posted: 2/19/2012 6:27:21 PM The NYI vs STL game A would have fit the fade A+B filter from earlier in the year, from what ive seen the fade can be played as a -1.5 on the home team to eliminate the high price.
Todays Play
CLB (4-6) VS NYR (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYR -1.5 |
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Burly |
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#92 Posted: 2/19/2012 11:27:29 PM |
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#93 Posted: 2/19/2012 11:46:52 PM |
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wizzy69 |
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#94 Posted: 2/20/2012 11:48:08 AM   |
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Burly |
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#95 Posted: 2/23/2012 9:21:51 AM Feb 23
TB (5-3-2) vs WIN (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY TB
For the following play, both teams ended their streaks, in past same situations the team with the better last 10 record has won
VAN (7-1-2)(ended streak) vs DET (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY VAN
Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, TB, PHX, CHI |
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Burly |
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#96 Posted: 2/23/2012 11:43:44 PM TB
VAN
FEB 25
CHASE AGAINST WIN: PLAY STL
TB (5-3-2)(ended streak) vs PIT (5-4-1): PLAY PIT
CHI (4-6-0)(ended streak) vs LA (2-6-2): NO PLAY
Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, PHX |
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Burly |
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#97 Posted: 2/23/2012 11:44:54 PM |
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Blasto79 |
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#98 Posted: 2/24/2012 3:33:01 PM |
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Burly |
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#99 Posted: 2/25/2012 6:37:51 PM STL
PIT easy
UPDATED RECORD:
33 A wins 13 B (chase) wins 3 A+B losses
I am about halfway through backchecking odds to see if a reverse can be used on teams who are highly favored that ended streaks, looks promising so far.
Upcoming Plays:
Feb 26
This play fits what should be the system fade, home team highly favored (-160 or higher, -160 might change after i've completed backcheck), and road team last 10 record under .500.
TB (4-5-1) vs NJ (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NJ
Teams on streaks: PHX, OTT, BUF, DAL |
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Burly |
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#100 Posted: 2/26/2012 7:52:49 PM NJ
new system fade 0-1 |
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