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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA Totals - Tuesday 2-21-12
rlawson send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#51
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:50:21 PM
T9X -
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Boston23 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#52
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:55:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

YTD (Overall): 28-19 / 59.6% (+13.9)
4 Unit Bets: (1-0)
3 Unit Bets: (1-0)
2 Unit Bets: (4-2)
1 Unit Bets: (22-17)
 
Today's Lines / Mine (Actual):
 
Cleveland vs. Detroit / 190.8 (192.0)
 
Indiana vs. New Orleans / 182.3 (180.5)
 
Miami vs. Sacramento / 195.5 (203.5)
 
Memphis vs. Philadelphia / 183.1 (180.0)
 
Portland vs. San Antonio / 190.0 (190.0)

Under Mia/Sac looks promising here... Might play 1 unit, gonna wait till closer to game time. GL 
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#53
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:02:49 PM
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#54
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:13:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

FINAL PLAYS:

Cleveland vs. Detroit UNDER 193 (1 unit)

Miami vs. Sacramento UNDER 202 (2 units)

I finally bit because I've got to get some work done this afternoon and probably won't get a chance to check in on it again. Had this gone back up to 203.5, I would have made it a 3 unit bet, but here we are. My prediction for the final score is 109-87, which is still a bit closer than I'd like it to be. There's no reason for Miami to get up for this game, but that doesn't mean they won't shut them down. Sacramento can explode on offense from time to time, but tonight will not be one of those times. I can't see any match-up on Sacrament's offense that favors them, besides maybe Cousins in the post - but if you're going to tell me that Cousins will lead them to triple digits, I'll let you take that bet all day long.

good luck mate. looks like you have a following now

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#55
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:13:58 PM
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#56
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:48:03 PM
rlawson and cashinsports..

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#57
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:53:21 PM
just started this..i hope to help u guys in picks and analysis.. i like those two picks but i also like cleveland -1.5..detroit has been on a winning streak but it ends tonight..If cleveland makes few turnovers tonight..im thinking they will beat detroit by 7 plus points and kyrie irving after his win against sacremento is looking to capitalize on this one..any thoughts?
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#58
Posted: 2/21/2012 6:58:42 PM
How the heck can't miami offense score on sac D? Only way it stays under is if sac implodes-it's all up to sac.
I feel like sac gonna show up tonight
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rlawson send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#59
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:07:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jebroni:

How the heck can't miami offense score on sac D? Only way it stays under is if sac implodes-it's all up to sac.
I feel like sac gonna show up tonight

Not sure if you're referring to me, but if anything I said came across that way, then I misspoke. Miami will be able to score all night, but I'm counting on their defense to hold Sacramento in check and under 90 points.

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#60
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:19:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

Not sure if you're referring to me, but if anything I said came across that way, then I misspoke. Miami will be able to score all night, but I'm counting on their defense to hold Sacramento in check and under 90 points.



I agree as well, Miami could put up 110 tonight, nobody is denying that.  I am with Lawson however, I dont see the Kings dropping more than 90 and I wouldnt put it past them to fail to reach 80.
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#61
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:22:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rlawson:

FINAL PLAYS:

Cleveland vs. Detroit UNDER 193 (1 unit)

Miami vs. Sacramento UNDER 202 (2 units)

I finally bit because I've got to get some work done this afternoon and probably won't get a chance to check in on it again. Had this gone back up to 203.5, I would have made it a 3 unit bet, but here we are. My prediction for the final score is 109-87, which is still a bit closer than I'd like it to be. There's no reason for Miami to get up for this game, but that doesn't mean they won't shut them down. Sacramento can explode on offense from time to time, but tonight will not be one of those times. I can't see any match-up on Sacrament's offense that favors them, besides maybe Cousins in the post - but if you're going to tell me that Cousins will lead them to triple digits, I'll let you take that bet all day long.



Went with your Final Plays again and can't wait for the results.  I love both games tonight and feel pretty comfortable... LETS ROLL RLAWSON!!!  Keep up the great work and we will keep this thread going #SWAG
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#62
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:29:49 PM
Pistons and Cavs cant miss! What the hell is going on?!?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#63
Posted: 2/21/2012 7:52:57 PM
Miami decided tonight is not the kind of night to play defense!!!
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#64
Posted: 2/21/2012 8:03:54 PM
Good thing is it is early and things are going to turn around for the better... oh yaa!!!
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#65
Posted: 2/21/2012 8:45:06 PM
Anyone looking at halftime lines right now????

MIA -7
O/U 100

Any Thoughts?!?!?!

Should I try bet the UNDER to save my money that I will prob lose from beginning or count my losses?
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#66
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:36:17 PM

FINAL PLAYS:

Cleveland vs. Detroit UNDER 193 (1 unit)

Miami vs. Sacramento UNDER 202 (2 units)

Bad calls on both parts; nice call to those who took Detroit (+1.5) though. The boys in South Beach have probably already checked out for All-Star break and Cleveland & Detroit are both just friggin terrible. Back at it tomorrow.

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#67
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:40:55 PM
tough day my friend we will bounce back tomorrow.
Turtle
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rlawson send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#68
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:42:34 PM
I took Memphis based on my advice above - hopefully that hits and helps someone!
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#69
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:43:54 PM
Also chasing with one unit on the Portland team total OVER 97.5.
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#70
Posted: 2/21/2012 11:01:13 PM
Looks like portland tt over will hit and already hit memphis so looks like about an even day.
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#71
Posted: 2/21/2012 11:08:21 PM
I got in on cashin's 1st quarter line, too, so as long as this TT hits for Portland, it will be profitable. I'm still disappointed in going 0-2 today; I can accept a 1-1 but this is the 2nd winless day I've had in the last three. This All-Star break will give me more time to investigate my system without having to worry about plays. Despite today's results, there are two things I'm hypothesizing:

(1) This system works better for UNDERS than OVERS and
(2) My record is better with a full schedule compared to a night like tonight with just five games.
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#72
Posted: 2/22/2012 12:27:57 AM
Bigger schedule = more games to choose from = get to choose your best games.

I just changed my "system" a little bit after tonight. Changing point differentials a little. Wouldn't have mattered tonight because both Miami/Sac and Clev/Det went way over but I think what I am doing now will help me avoid certain games like these two.

Let's get the books tomorrow!

Glad you had a profitable night
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