Messages

Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 5 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems
QBUN send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
QBUN
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 2190
Location: California
#101
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:49:02 PM
quote
ROVIN56 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ROVIN56
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 2934
Location: Florida
#102
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:50:59 PM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

if there was a "Hard Knocks"  for Covers  the cameras would be rolling here....... this is the down and dirty real-life calisthenics we gamblers go through and the world at large....CLUELESS.....   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

quote
malkin
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
malkin
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 4297
Location: Ontario
#103
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:51:00 PM
ahh football tommorrow through monday - I need my fix
quote
ROVIN56 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ROVIN56
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 2934
Location: Florida
#104
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:52:50 PM
darn  hope they don't charge me by the column inch   sorry     my head was near exploding i guess
quote
cardifkill send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
cardifkill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 2488
Location: California
#105
Posted: 8/15/2012 11:22:09 PM
Keep up the good work Win All Sports.
He is one of the better cappers on here from what I've seen.
quote
LeBronJamison86 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
LeBronJamison86
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 7
Location:
#106
Posted: 8/16/2012 9:49:10 AM
you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum
quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#107
Posted: 8/16/2012 10:48:23 AM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by LeBronJamison86:

you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum

I have those too. Just no time to post everything I have...I have > 5,000 systems.
quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#108
Posted: 8/16/2012 10:54:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeBronJamison86:

you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum

Road teams on 3 days of rest after playing at home are 33-52 ATS and 51-34 for the under.
quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#109
Posted: 8/17/2012 1:09:43 AM
NFL teams in week 10 or later than won last week by 4-16 and stoped a losing streak of at least 7 games are 20-0 ATS against teams that did not lose by 25 or more last week. 
quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#110
Posted: 8/18/2012 2:53:30 AM
When in the playoffs the home team with better record is not favored by more than 5, the record for the home team is 9-21 ATS.
quote
_SocraticMethod send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Las Vegas Hotel and Casino |
_SocraticMethod
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 13
Location: Nevada
#111
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:38:41 AM

How do you explain the following?

Ind @ Hou Week 1, 2011

1st Qtr: Hou 17  Ind 0
2nd Qtr: Hou 34  Ind 0
Final: Hou 34  Ind 7
Hou wins by 27 and wins ATS the following week.

quote
_SocraticMethod send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Las Vegas Hotel and Casino |
_SocraticMethod
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 13
Location: Nevada
#112
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:45:07 AM

You posted: "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

How do you explain the following?

Ind @ Hou Week 1, 2011

1st Qtr: Hou 17  Ind 0
2nd Qtr: Hou 34  Ind 0
Final: Hou 34  Ind 7
Hou wins by 27 and wins ATS the following week.

quote
cardifkill send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
cardifkill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 2488
Location: California
#113
Posted: 8/20/2012 3:42:54 AM
quote
RobJames72 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RobJames72
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 16
Location:
#114
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:54:14 AM

_SocraticMethod - WinAllSports posted "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

From the stats you then posted Houston were winning 17-0 at the end of the 1st quarter which is not "more than 17" as WinAllSports posted for his system.

quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#115
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:52:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RobJames72:

_SocraticMethod - WinAllSports posted "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

From the stats you then posted Houston were winning 17-0 at the end of the 1st quarter which is not "more than 17" as WinAllSports posted for his system.


Exactly.
quote
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WinAllSports
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 382
Location:
#116
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:54:31 PM
Not much time these days...have to take some time off. Will be back soon.
quote
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Burly
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 638
Location: Canada
#117
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:12:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

System of the day (Thursday) 26/7

NFL teams in weeks 4 and later after scoring 0 points at home:

32-11 ATS

NCAA teams in weeks 3-10 on the road after scoring 0 pts at home:

82-52 ATS (28-9 ats last 37)

 

you also had a system with high win % of teams coming off being shutout, what about road teams being shutout??

quote
cardifkill send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
cardifkill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 2488
Location: California
#118
Posted: 8/20/2012 4:41:50 PM
quote
shaps17
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
shaps17
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 897
Location: United States
#119
Posted: 9/11/2012 7:05:10 PM
I truly appreciate you sharing these trends with us and I'm sure there are a lot of others who feel the same.  Either appreciate the info or move along.  He took the time to research and was kind enough to share the info.  There is absolutely no reason to hate these type of informative posts.  
quote
jefff send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jefff
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: May 1999
Posts: 2097
Location: Texas
#120
Posted: 9/11/2012 7:30:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


I find this one hard to believe. That's a very high % for such a vanilla criteria. And why would an upcoming bye affect a Team's play? Certainly coming off a bye is a big deal.

Can you post a link to a list of the actual games?

Thanks for your systems. I too am looking for trends like these.


this one is very much forreal and one many of us have followed.  Books have really caught on of late though and jacked up the number on these teams and decreasing value
quote
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Burly
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 638
Location: Canada
#121
Posted: 10/4/2012 12:26:28 AM

So far Arizona did not cover after a dog win and home dog win and dallas also won week 1

come back WinAll you rock!!!

quote
Ed-Collins send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Ed-Collins
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 997
Location: California
#122
Posted: 10/4/2012 1:56:13 AM
Nothing personal, but every one of these trends are garbage, as already pointed out by one or two others.

Complete garbage.  Total garbage.

They are what I refer to as, "after the fact" trends/stats.  You can come up with all kinds of trends for games already played.  It's actually quite easy.

Furthermore, I didn't see a single trend backed with actual data.

Some of these trends are just downright comical:

After week 5, NFL teams are 37-11 ATS after being shutout while rushing for at least 84 yards in that game.

Week 5?  Why not Week 3 or 4?  And 84 yards?  Are you serious?  Why 84?  Why not 100?  Why not 83? 

I'll tell you why.  Because Week 3 and Week 4 didn't "fit" into the system.  Because 83 yards and less didn't "fit" into the system.

Road NFL favorites of 5 pts or less against non divisional opponents are 1-17 ATS after sweeping a divisional opponent and winning last game by 4-12 points.

Listen to what you are saying:  ROAD NFL favorites (not just any favorite) of FIVE points or less (not 6 or 7 or anything else) against NON divisional opponents (they can be divisional foes) are 1-17 ATS after SWEEPING (they had to win both) a divisional opponent (had to be divisional) and WINNING (they can't have lost) last game by 4-12 (not 1, not 2, not 3, not 13 or more) points.

I could go on, but I think my point is made.  These trends are garbage and no one has made any money off of them, or will make any money off of them.  They were all created "after" the fact. 

Finally, for every trend that you can come up with that favors Team A, for example, I can come up with a different trend that will favor Team B for the same game.
quote
Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 5 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.