MRBator You might want to read this

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Author: [The Archives] Topic: MRBator You might want to read this
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 10:58:08 AM
Mr. B,
 
You advice has made me money this year and I feel I owe
it to you to give you fair warning on your Colts play versus the Pats.
 
There is a trend going in the post season that says the Pats are the play.
 
The trend is this:
 
If the teams playing have faced eachother during the regular season play as follows.
 
Two pointspread wins= play the team that has covered twice.
 
Split two meetings against the spread= play the team that failed to
cover the most recent meeting.
 
Played each other once= play the team that failed to cover.
 
This system is perfect this year (NYG +6.5 vs Philly, NE -9 vs Jets, Philly +5 vs New Orleans,
and Seattle +9 versus Chicago.
 
It was also a perfect 4-0 last year.
 
I know you are not a trend player and you are a MUCH better handicapper
than me but I want a clear conscience(?) before I bet against you
Tom
 
Thanks again for everything
panther123 PM panther123
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:06:38 AM
panther123 PM panther123
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:07:30 AM
You better call him in case he doesnt read this... I am sure he would be PISSED to no end if he doesnt
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:09:49 AM
Hey Panther I'm just putting this out there, no need to be a wiseass
UrdaddyinAZ PM UrdaddyinAZ
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:10:07 AM
Past results have absolutely nothing to do with the future. It's all math, if you refine things down far enough there is a trend that is undefeated. Take the Colts and go to bed, it's their year.
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:12:16 AM
URDaddy,
 
Past results provided four pointspread winners.
 
Those who ignore history are condemned to repeat it.
panther123 PM panther123
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:16:12 AM
just sayin..he may be pissed..
tdnguru PM tdnguru
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:21:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TomCurtisNY:

Hey Panther I'm just putting this out there, no need to be a wiseass
 
80% of his hall of fame posts are wiseass posts  w/ little to zero content.  He offers nothing to this forum based on what I've read.  Most of his posts are about he's the king of the forum and all of those who were around after him are worthless.....he just made a good friend w/ his recent remarks he's going to wish he didnt make
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:24:20 AM
Hey Guru thanks for having my back but "Lighten Up Francis"
alwayswin PM alwayswin
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:27:24 AM
There was another thread about in here about a 21-1 system that went 0-3 over the weekend.  A system is simply that, a system.  It doesn't take into account injuries, momentum, point-spread value, etc. 
 
Instead of relying on systems, I try and recognize the better team.
 
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:33:40 AM
Always,
 
Sorry I just disagree.
 
If a trend is winning I play it the trend until it loses.
 
Even if what you said was true about the 21-1 system, you would still
be 21-4 after going 0-3.
 
You can NEVER go 21-4 just picking the better team.
 
Trends rub people the wrong way because there is no logical
reasoning behind them.
 
IMO that is just pure ego getting in the way.
 
Don't look a gift horse in the mouth is my motto.
 
Even if the Pats hit the crapper, the worst I can do on sides in
this year's playoffs is 4-1.
 
I will take that every time.
tdnguru PM tdnguru
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:37:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TomCurtisNY:

Hey Guru thanks for having my back but "Lighten Up Francis"
 
i will, i just hate the almighty king capper attitude that some have
roofustheempero PM roofustheempero
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:39:45 AM
This system is perfect this year (NYG +6.5 vs Philly, NE -9 vs Jets, Philly +5 vs New Orleans,
and Seattle +9 versus Chicago
 
line is only indy -3, if indy wins the game, they cover it (imho)
 
giants covered, but lost the game, philly covered but lost the game, seattle covered but lost the game
 
if the line was indy -7, then it would be a stronger play
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:43:23 AM
roofus,
 
Four out of the six games fell on three points this year.
 
Buy the hook if it makes you feel better, but a smarter play would be New England ML.
 
The SMARTEST play of all is just stick to the system.
tico'sgodfather PM tico'sgodfather
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:49:54 AM
Like the system alot, good luck ToM any thoughts on the Saints/Bears game???
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 11:51:55 AM
Tico,
 
Saints are just too fast for Chicago right now.
 
I want to see what the weather is going to be, before making a final decision though.
roofustheempero PM roofustheempero
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Posted: 1/15/2007 12:01:30 PM

 brady when he is indoors 10-0, 19-1 art turf 12-1 playoffs, or belichick when it comes to revenge games

 
 
EDDIEW PM EDDIEW
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Posted: 1/15/2007 12:04:09 PM
Just remember Brady is wearing 2 of his 3 SB rings because of Venateri  and he's with Indy now
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 12:24:09 PM
Eddie,
 
You can easily reverse Vinatieri with Brady in your statement
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 12:25:01 PM
roofus
 
Nice
jingy77 PM jingy77
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Posted: 1/15/2007 1:12:30 PM
past results have nothing to do with future results regarding statistics, is the theory, past outcomes have nothing to do with future results.  Mostly true in sports gambling, but there are exceptions to this rule i believe.
Tarheelz PM Tarheelz
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Posted: 1/15/2007 1:17:52 PM
Mr. Bator is a mole.
TomCurtisNY PM TomCurtisNY
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Posted: 1/15/2007 1:33:04 PM
Bubs,
 
It did cross my mind that he may trying to drive the line in his favor
by posting opposite of what he is really betting, but I do not really
believe it.
 
 
DogHouse PM DogHouse
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Posted: 1/15/2007 1:45:00 PM
i broke one of my cardinal rules TWICE this playoff season.... Never EVER bet against Brady and Belicheck in the playoffs!
 
I would rather not bet the game than lose more money!
 
I totally respect Bator... but I can't in good concience bet against him again.
EDDIEW PM EDDIEW
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Posted: 1/15/2007 1:45:30 PM
You can easily reverse Vinatieri with Brady in your statement}}
 
 
Yes but brady isn't playing for Indy like Vinatieri is    AND BTW How many home games has Indy lost this year??  Think I heard zero    Be careful and good luck
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