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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 20 bucks to 4k in a MLB week with -1 runline
louris54 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 4/11/2013 4:06:46 PM
Alright this is just a little project i am doing with a small side bankroll i have set aside and am willing to lose and have some fun with. This is by no means a proven winning system or an attempt at a successful chase system which i cannot stress enough.
More or less this is betting a heavy favorite system with a -1 runline which will bring down the juice significantly. Basically its trying to take 20 bucks (or whatever you decide for your original wager and doubling every winning bet till you win whatever set money goal you choose. For example if you start with your original 20 dollars betting one heavy favorite a day your will come out with a little over 1k in profit if you win 6 in a row. 7 in a row u got 2k. And so on. It all depends on what you decide your stopping point to be. Now obviously its still hard to win 6-8 in a row even while betting heavy favorites, but we all know we have those great weeks where we can get on those crazy streaks and this is just a fun way to capitalize on that and come out with a big score. A friend of mine did this with a similar small bankroll he was willing to lose and gamble with and went up to 5k FOUR times throughout last years mlb season with an original 20 dollar bet. I will limit my plays to usually 1 favorite a day...somedays even none if theres nothing i like. Obviously our plays involve the Verlanders, Kershaws, etc and fading horrible teams such as the Astros, Marlins, and Padres ALOT. I personally will be stopping after i win 7 in a row and will start over.
Again, this is just a shits and giggles little side project that i will be doing and anyone can follow along/give game advice if they wish. Use this with money u can afford to lose!!!! As great as it can be grinding out slow profit in an mlb season, i like doing something on the side to get the heart going a bit and have a little fun.
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#2
Posted: 4/11/2013 4:11:09 PM
4-11 (First Play)

Dodgers -1   $24.00 to win $40.00

Zach Grienke pitching against the Padres. Enough said.
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#3
Posted: 4/11/2013 4:12:18 PM
Sorry, thats 24.00 to win 20.00
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#4
Posted: 4/12/2013 1:55:33 AM
Game 1: (24.00 to win 20.00)  Dodgers-1 PUSH

Well first games a push which ill take considering it took a weird turn with the bench clearing brawls and Greinke getting thrown out.
Ill try again to get the first one on Friday. Right now im thinking of playing Kershaw vs the Dbacks, or maybe Cain vs the Cubs. I also like the pitching matchups in favor of the angels over the Astros but my god the Angels are so bad right now. Hitting 1 for a million with runners in scoring position. Any thoughts on most favorable game to take on Fri feel free to add.
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#5
Posted: 4/12/2013 1:34:41 PM
Alright i like my chances with Matt Cain against the Cubbies today. Only thing im really worried about are the elements...(supposed to be freezing in Chicago again) but the Giants are playing good ball now. Might try another game tonight, we'll see.

Game 1: (21.00 to win 20.00)  Giants -1
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#6
Posted: 4/12/2013 5:45:51 PM
I thought you were doing heavy favs?  Why not just home teams?  Like LAA could be a play tonight....
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#7
Posted: 4/12/2013 5:55:07 PM
A quick look and in the first week you would of had 4 in a row then a push then a loss with heavy home favs.  Then starting again you would be 3 in a row with tonight being game 4 on LAA...  I think I might give this a try for fun...
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#8
Posted: 4/12/2013 6:32:44 PM
Game 1: Giants-1 (Loss 4-3)

Hey moneymachineman im glad u get the point of this and are willing to have some fun with it.  Yeah alot of the games will be heavy home favs but i dont think it should necessarily set in stone. Again, we can always discuss on here who the most favorable play would be so feel free. And yes the Angels are definitely a play for tonight. Unfortunately the giants couldnt hold on to the lead in the 9th...so hopefully the Angels bats will wake up in a BIG way and we can get off the ground here!

Game 1 Tonight: Angels-1
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#9
Posted: 4/12/2013 7:33:56 PM
Hey guys, I want to play. Sounds fun. How did you get the game at -1. I can only get it at -1.5
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#10
Posted: 4/12/2013 7:48:13 PM
Glad to have ya on board.

Basically you turn it into a -1 runline between the ML and the -1.5 runline
If that doesnt help just google it...lots of info out there


http://sportsobjective.com/wordpress/?page_id=3167
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#11
Posted: 4/12/2013 8:48:59 PM
I like the way you think louris.  I've had the idea of starting small and doubling bets with a set target for a while but haven't found the right scenario to follow.  I think you may be on to something.  Good luck.
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#12
Posted: 4/12/2013 9:14:36 PM
Thanks capper...we'll see what happens...should be fun and interesting at the very least. Feel free to chime in here anytime to discuss any thoughts on the most favorable play of each day
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#13
Posted: 4/12/2013 11:18:59 PM
Angels just a joke so far...unbelievable. Lot of interesting options for saturdays game. Lot of aces on the mound. Any thoughts feel free to share
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#14
Posted: 4/13/2013 12:19:37 AM
Well...I see the Cards and Angels as the biggest fav's for Saturday. If Angels don't come back and win tonight I'd steer VERY far away from them until they win! Don't care if they are -300! That STL line concerns me a bit though.....I think the value is with Gallardo and Brewers there. Gallardo +150/+160?? I'll take that all day!! STL is hot though! 

My play would be the Nationals with Strasburg to bounce back and tie the series with the Braves! Big, big early season division series for both teams...ATL got away with a win Friday in comeback fashion. I see Strasburg pitching very well and Nats getting enough runs off Hudson. 
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#15
Posted: 4/13/2013 1:06:52 AM
Good points winnerz im thinking maybe strasburg and bounceback win for the braves. I am NOT touching the angels for a LONG while. Just horrid right now. To be honest tomorows a tough call, lot of games could go either way. Gallardo with those odds are great but milwaukees bats and bullpen are NOT trustworthy right now. Cant pick on the astros cause theyre playing the triple A astros in la angel uniforms, the cubbies have samardzija going for them tomorrow so no play there, AND the marlins are throwing out fernandez tomorrow who looked absolutely nasty his last start.
I kind of like the rangers tomorrow maybe. Ogando has been lights out his first 2 starts and Saunders numbers against Texas are terrible.
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#16
Posted: 4/13/2013 4:22:29 AM
Mets with Harvey on the mound.  Can't see the Twins hitters touching this guy.
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#17
Posted: 4/13/2013 12:47:32 PM
Very true Bruin...Mets playing well right now too. I think the best way to go today is one of 3 options....Strasburg and the Nationals...Ogando and the rangers...or harvey and the Mets.
Me personally im leaning towards the Rangers. Good luck to whichever team you pick and hopefully you'll have your game 1 victory

Game 1: Mets-1 Nats-1 or Rangers-1
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#18
Posted: 4/13/2013 3:05:19 PM
After a little more research im gonna go with Cueto vs the Pirates. Numbers/matchups are off the charts good, which is all we can really do and hope for the best

Game 1: Reds-1  (24.00 to win 20.00)
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#19
Posted: 4/13/2013 3:21:19 PM
Another thing to think about with this project are 2 team parlays. If you took a heavy fav and a dog you like and parlay that u would only have to win 3-4 in a row to get a nice Payday. You could risk even less too. If you started with a 5 or 10 dollar bet and win 4 in a row betting 2 team parlays, (say 1 game betting a heavy fav at -150 AND a dog/rl with +140) it would add up VERY quick. Obviously harder to hit 2 team parlays but u would only have to win 3-4 in a row to turn a big payday. Maybe u even put back the original bet into your bankroll if you win the first parlay and keep going to game 2 with your profit from game 1. I dont know, could be fun
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#20
Posted: 4/13/2013 3:29:52 PM
Example with 2 team parlays using 1 game at -150 and 1 game at +140

Game 1: 10.00 to win 29.00
Game 2: 39.00 to win 113.00
Game 3: 152.00 to win 439.00
Game 4: 591.00 to win 1771.00

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#21
Posted: 4/13/2013 7:06:30 PM
Alright trying to have a little fun with this 2 team parlay action project, i am close to being off the ground with it...bet 10 to win 32 with the Tigers RL and Mets ML Parlay.
So assuming and hoping the tigers hold on to win here, im gonna keep the original 10 dollar wager and roll with the 32 and see if i can hit two-three in a row.

So for the "B game" Parlay game tonight im gonna go with.. 

Rockies ML/Reds RL (32.00 to win

Also gonna start a new game 1 parlay tonight...

Rangers ML/Dodgers ML 10.00 to win 26.00


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#22
Posted: 4/13/2013 9:44:24 PM
you said your buddy has done this, post his plays.
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#23
Posted: 4/13/2013 11:16:22 PM
I like doing parlay chases. Been working on some with success so far. Do you mind if I post mine here?
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#24
Posted: 4/13/2013 11:26:56 PM
It was through a casino sportsbook here in Vegas Bulichm, cant exactly ask him to dig up and find his old mlb betting tickets from a year ago, orgnanize them, and create a spreadsheet for you. You can believe me or not, either way im just trying to do this for fun
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#25
Posted: 4/13/2013 11:31:57 PM
No I mean like if he does this again post his plays when he begins
Posted using a mobile device.
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