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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Super Systems
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 7/2/2012 2:00:57 PM

So just for the record - i'm terrible at tracking and maintaining threads - but I pormised Irage I would track the MLB Super Systems for a week.

 

MLB SUPER SYSTEMS

So I automated the systems contained in the PDF available from this link:

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbczVFV1ltZXU1alk

Features:

·         Today’s matchups are updated from baseballpress.com when you click the “Update Schedule” button

·         All the data needed for Systems #1- 6 are updated  when you click on the “Update Data” button

You can download the spreadsheet from the link below:

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbYW1QdXBILW8xb00

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#2
Posted: 7/2/2012 2:06:25 PM

System #1

PIT (A)
ATL (A)
STL (A)

NYY is a no play because the TB has a better pitcher on the mound - but may be a play tomorrow depending on the pitching mathcup


System #3

MIL (A)

SEA is a no play since it conflicts with system #6


System #6

CIN (A)

ATL - already played with system #1
STL - already played with system #1

BAL is a no play since it conflicts with system #3

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deland
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#3
Posted: 7/3/2012 3:19:32 AM

Hi degen

thanks for your help

What do you mean with system 6?

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#4
Posted: 7/3/2012 10:13:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by deland:

Hi degen

thanks for your help

What do you mean with system 6?

 

Deland - if you look in the PDF there is a website.  On the website there is a link in the menu that says "Ebook Revisions"   - the original author of the PDF added updates to the system as well as a system #6 - go to the website to get details on system#6.  Latly, make sure you download the latest version of the spreadsheet - IF your spreadsheet does nto have a system #6.  I added it as a later date.

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#5
Posted: 7/3/2012 11:15:55 AM

Yesterday's Results

System #1

PIT (A) - WON
ATL (A) - LOSS
STL (A) – WON


System #3

MIL (A) - WON


System #6

CIN (A) - WON

ATL - already played with system #1
STL - already played with system #1

 

Todays’ Plays

System #1

PIT / STL won yesterday – so we are off the chase.

Note: on the ATL game – according to the system we should lay off the bet where the opponent has a better pitching edge and wait for the next game in the series. So even though ATL is a B game today – we will wait till game 3

System #4

MIL won yesterday – so we are off the chase

SEA won yesterday – so we are off the chase

 

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#6
Posted: 7/3/2012 12:06:07 PM
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DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#7
Posted: 7/4/2012 2:04:51 PM

Yesterday's Results

System #1

We skipped the ATL game due to the pitching matchup – too bad – we would have won – but think about how much we would have lost

Game#3 does not qualify – so it looks like we have to take a loss on ATL – but we are still up – so that’s the good news

 

Today’s Plays

System #2 – Avoid the Series Sweep

NYY (1 game)

MIA (1 game)

 

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#8
Posted: 7/4/2012 8:21:26 PM

Degen,

Can you explain the excel sheet. I assume the blue highlighted teams under the system play columns are the plays and the other team names are filtered out plays? When I updated the sheet today the two highlighted plays under system 2 were LAA and MIA (not NYY and MIA). Can you help me understand?

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#9
Posted: 7/5/2012 2:27:02 AM
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#10
Posted: 7/5/2012 9:12:49 AM
  Hey DG, A couple ?'s 1. did the site work for the bullpen pichers stats ?, 2. do you have any excel type systems for football ? 
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DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 7/5/2012 10:19:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mattymeach31:

Degen,

Can you explain the excel sheet. I assume the blue highlighted teams under the system play columns are the plays and the other team names are filtered out plays? When I updated the sheet today the two highlighted plays under system 2 were LAA and MIA (not NYY and MIA). Can you help me understand?

mattymeach - not sure why it didn't list the right plays on your spreadsheet - it shoul dhave listed NYY and MIA.  Are you sure you updated the schedule and pressed the update data button? 

Can you download the latest version and try again today - and see if it matches up with what I post?

The link is the same - the latest version is V5

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#12
Posted: 7/5/2012 10:25:40 AM
DG you have a PM
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DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#13
Posted: 7/5/2012 10:27:41 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by GSHawk20:

  Hey DG, A couple ?'s 1. did the site work for the bullpen pichers stats ?, 2. do you have any excel type systems for football ? 

GShawk - yeah I should be able to scrape the site you posted to get last 7 days bullpen stats.  I managed to get the data into a spreadsheet automatically with a web query but am still working on formatting, but it seems doable.

As far as football - I have a couple of systems in excel - but not sure how good they are.  On their own they were 50% - so they need some cut filters and addtional handicapping.

these are the links for them:

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/nfl/a/yppsystems.htm

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/nfl/a/NFLpointdiff.htm

I need to redo these in excel - and I will share those at well.  But I think it may good for a high level lean - but need to figure out other things to look at for football.

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#14
Posted: 7/5/2012 10:34:14 AM

Yesterday's Results

System #2 – Avoid the Series Sweep

NYY (1 game) - WON

MIA (1 game) - WON

 

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#15
Posted: 7/5/2012 3:46:33 PM
Today I updated the spreadsheet and got SD in system 4. Is this right?
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#16
Posted: 7/5/2012 3:52:44 PM
Yes that correct MattyM - I was going to post it - but wasn't able to get to a PC - I didn't want to post from my phone
Posted using a mobile device.
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#17
Posted: 7/6/2012 3:16:36 AM
DG, what's the YTD so far for this? Last night was 5-0. Pretty solid night and the thing was SD was against the RPI play.
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#18
Posted: 7/6/2012 8:22:43 AM

Degen,

Is there anyway to backtest these systems or do you have the results of how they have been doing all season/which systems are doing better than others?

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#19
Posted: 7/6/2012 3:39:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mattymeach31:

Degen,

Is there anyway to backtest these systems or do you have the results of how they have been doing all season/which systems are doing better than others?

@ mattymeach - all I did is automate the systems outlined in the PDF - take a look at the PDF that is the first link the thread - it has some backtest data from 2011 - but you're guess is good as mine if it's accurate.  Also - the author of the PDF has a website - where he post updates and results - check that out too - I think it has some record of 2012 - http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/

 

@ BookieCrusher - Unfortunately, I haev not tracked these systems all year - so I don't have YTD - I only have week to date.  And as I mentioned in the beginning of the thread - I am only going to track for a week or so - after that, i'm hoping some motivated individual will take over.  I am horrible at maintaing threads and tracking stuff.

 

 

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#20
Posted: 7/6/2012 3:48:49 PM

YTD Record: 7-1

YTD Units: +5 units

 

Yesterday's Results

 

System #4 – Dominant over 3 years

SDG (A) - WON

 

Today’s Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better now

WAS (A)

Note: OAK and TEX are on the list, but are not plays due to the pitching matchups – they could be plays tomorrow if the pitching matching meets the filter criteria – remember the filter is to skip the game if the pitching matchup is unfavorable

 

System #4 – Dominant over 3 years

No plays – SDG won it’s A game yesterday – so we are off the chase

 

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

NYM (A)

CWS(A)

STL(A)

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#21
Posted: 7/6/2012 4:42:15 PM
   Thanks DG  
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#22
Posted: 7/6/2012 6:34:17 PM
I have the latest spreadsheet, and all the plays mentioned are there.  But, for some reason, the Oakland game isn't even listed in the schedule of games.  Yes, I did click 'Update schedule', but it's not showing up.  Any idea what could be wrong?
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#23
Posted: 7/6/2012 6:43:46 PM
Great job here, DG


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#24
Posted: 7/7/2012 8:55:42 AM
DG, could u post the plays here as well? I cant update the sheet dont know why and I dont have access to a pc most of the time. If that would be okay. I'm assuming Was, Stl are plays right? Any others?
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#25
Posted: 7/7/2012 11:33:41 AM
For some reason when I try to update the spreadsheet, the Debug menu comes up. I also didn't get OAK at a play yesterday but I got ATL as one. Anyone else having problems with this? Does anyone have the plays for today? I would be more than happy to track all of this but for some reason when I update my version 5, I don't get the same plays Degen does.
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