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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Above .500 teams vs Sub .500 teams
mindtides
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#1
Posted: 1/15/2012 5:19:08 PM
The core of the system will be based on any .500 + team coming off of at least 1 straight up loss playing a sub .500 team at home, it will be ATS and 1st halfs will be played in any sport that has halfs as well as the whole game. There are a few other factors involved in the plays that I will discuss should this do well.... plays to come soon.
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#2
Posted: 1/16/2012 5:49:06 PM
Ok. Will still include plays based on system above, but I will also include plays based on Home teams with a better record than opp. and favorable hm vs opp. away stats.

1/16

1H LA LAKERS -2-105

LA LAKERS -3½-110

MISSOURI -15-110

1H MISSOURI -9-115

1H PORTLAND ST -5½-110

PORTLAND ST -9-110

1P WINNIPEG +115


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mindtides
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#3
Posted: 1/17/2012 4:29:53 AM
1/16       

Record : 5-2

1H LA LAKERS -2-105

LA LAKERS -3½-110

MISSOURI -15-110

1H MISSOURI -9-115

1H PORTLAND ST -5½-110

PORTLAND ST -9-110

1P WINNIPEG +115
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mindtides
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#4
Posted: 1/17/2012 4:32:58 AM
The Winnipeg play was a spot play which I will also throw in the mix as well.
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#5
Posted: 1/17/2012 8:30:07 AM
great start.
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mindtides
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#6
Posted: 1/17/2012 11:43:01 AM

1/17

Houston -7

Houston 1H -4

Purdue -10.5

Purdue 1H -6

Kentucky 1H -9

Colorado St. 1H -3.5

 

 

NBA [512] HOUSTON -7-110

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#7
Posted: 1/17/2012 5:34:44 PM
Adding some NHL period plays, I am using a combination of statistical data and the good old gut feeling for these.

1P WINNIPEG +115

2P CAROLINA +135

2P TAMPA BAY +120

2P LOS ANGELES +115

3P EDMONTON -105

3P OTTAWA -115

3P DALLAS +105

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mindtides
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#8
Posted: 1/18/2012 5:27:37 AM

1/17

Houston -7

Houston 1H -4

Purdue -10.5

Purdue 1H -6

Kentucky 1H -9

Colorado St. 1H -3.5


Will be laying off the volume of NHL period plays from now on, only playing my strongest leans on plays from -115 or less.


1P WINNIPEG +115

2P CAROLINA +135 push

2P TAMPA BAY +120

2P LOS ANGELES +115 push

3P EDMONTON -105

3P OTTAWA -115

3P DALLAS +105 push


Record : 10-7



quote
mindtides
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#9
Posted: 1/18/2012 1:10:43 PM

PHILADELPHIA -5½-110

ATLANTA -2-110

1H ATLANTA -1-110

SOUTH FLORIDA -7-110

1H SOUTH FLORIDA -3½-115

 TOLEDO -8½-110

1H TOLEDO -4½-115

RICE -4½-110

1H RICE -2½-110

WISCONSIN -10-110

1H WISCONSIN -5½-115

1H OHIO -3-110

1H IOWA STATE -4½-110

 

quote
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#10
Posted: 1/18/2012 2:40:18 PM

Adding:

 

3P WASHINGTON -110

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mindtides
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#11
Posted: 1/18/2012 10:43:26 PM

PHILADELPHIA -5½-110

ATLANTA -2-110

1H ATLANTA -1-110

SOUTH FLORIDA -7-110

1H SOUTH FLORIDA -3½-115

 TOLEDO -8½-110

1H TOLEDO -4½-115

RICE -4½-110

1H RICE -2½-110

WISCONSIN -10-110

1H WISCONSIN -5½-115

1H OHIO -3-110 push

1H IOWA STATE -4½-110

3P WASHINGTON -110 push


Record: 18-11

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mindtides
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#12
Posted: 1/19/2012 6:28:09 PM
1/19

NHL[2002] 2P COLUMBUS EV
NHL[3007] 3P PITTSBURGH -105
CBB[594] OREGON ST -2-110
CBB[598] EASTERN KENTUCK -11-110
CBB[624] WEBER ST -16½-110
CBB[1548] 1H MIDDLE TENN ST -8-115
CBB[1558] 1H NC STATE -9½-105
CBB[1582] 1H CAL SANTA BARB -8½-115
CBB[1594] 1H OREGON ST -1-115
CBB[1598] 1H EASTERN KENTUCK -6-115
CBB[1624] 1H WEBER ST -9½-110
quote
mindtides
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#13
Posted: 1/20/2012 5:22:53 AM
1/19

NHL[2002] 2P COLUMBUS EV
NHL[3007] 3P PITTSBURGH -105
CBB[594] OREGON ST -2-110
CBB[598] EASTERN KENTUCK -11-110
CBB[624] WEBER ST -16½-110
CBB[1548] 1H MIDDLE TENN ST -8-115
CBB[1558] 1H NC STATE -9½-105
CBB[1582] 1H CAL SANTA BARB -8½-115
CBB[1594] 1H OREGON ST -1-115 push
CBB[1598] 1H EASTERN KENTUCK -6-115
CBB[1624] 1H WEBER ST -9½-110


Record: 23-16
quote
mindtides
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#14
Posted: 1/20/2012 5:38:43 PM
1/20

NBA[818] SAN ANTONIO -11-110

NBA[1818] 1H SAN ANTONIO -6-110

NHL[2051] 2P MONTREAL +115

NHL[2054] 2P CAROLINA -115

CBB[1844] 1H CLEVELAND ST -5½-115

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#15
Posted: 1/20/2012 8:07:29 PM
mindtides am i missing something , Montreal a +.500 team ? it isnt right ? isnt the system supposed to be about backing +.500 teams after a loss, Montreal is well below the +.500 mark overall this season in NHL, or are you referring to its home stats ? 
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mindtides
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#16
Posted: 1/20/2012 9:02:55 PM
No you are not, sorry I was not clear about the nhl period plays, I wrote a few nights ago, that these were based on a combination of statistical (period)data and the good old gut feeling for these. Maybe I should start another thread for these?
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mindtides
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#17
Posted: 1/21/2012 6:58:20 AM
1/20

NBA[818] SAN ANTONIO -11-110

NBA[1818] 1H SAN ANTONIO -6-110

NHL[2051] 2P MONTREAL +115

NHL[2054] 2P CAROLINA -115

CBB[1844] 1H CLEVELAND ST -5½-115

Record: 26-18
quote
mindtides
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#18
Posted: 1/21/2012 12:10:38 PM
1/21


NBA[510] MEMPHIS -9½-110

CBB[560] AUBURN +1-110

CBB[642] COLUMBIA -3-110

CBB[740] MONTANA ST -2½-110

NBA[1502] 1H ATLANTA -4-110

NBA[1510] 1H MEMPHIS -5½-105

CBB[1560] 1H AUBURN PK-105

CBB[1612] 1H LASALLE -8-115

CBB[1642] 1H COLUMBIA -1½-110

CBB[1658] 1H CAL POLY SLO -7-115

CBB[1678] 1H WICHITA ST -10-115

CBB[1692] 1H NEVADA -6-110

CBB[1706] 1H OREGON ST -5½-105

CBB[1724] 1H MOREHEAD ST -6½-105

CBB[1740] 1H MONTANA ST -1½-105

NHL[1003] 1P PHILADELPHIA -115




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mindtides
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#19
Posted: 1/21/2012 3:45:14 PM
Adding:

NHL[1023] 1P DALLAS -110

NHL[1027] 1P COLORADO +110

NHL[3015] 3P FLORIDA +110

NHL[3017] 3P TAMPA BAY +115
quote
mindtides
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#20
Posted: 1/22/2012 6:35:25 AM
1/21


NBA[510] MEMPHIS -9½-110

CBB[560] AUBURN +1-110

CBB[642] COLUMBIA -3-110

CBB[740] MONTANA ST -2½-110

NBA[1502] 1H ATLANTA -4-110

NBA[1510] 1H MEMPHIS -5½-105

CBB[1560] 1H AUBURN PK-105

CBB[1612] 1H LASALLE -8-115 

CBB[1642] 1H COLUMBIA -1½-110

CBB[1658] 1H CAL POLY SLO -7-115

CBB[1678] 1H WICHITA ST -10-115

CBB[1692] 1H NEVADA -6-110
 
CBB[1706] 1H OREGON ST -5½-105

CBB[1724] 1H MOREHEAD ST -6½-105

CBB[1740] 1H MONTANA ST -1½-105

NHL[1003] 1P PHILADELPHIA -115 push

NHL[1023] 1P DALLAS -110

NHL[1027] 1P COLORADO +110 push

NHL[3015] 3P FLORIDA +110

NHL[3017] 3P TAMPA BAY +115


Record: 38-24

quote
mindtides
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#21
Posted: 1/22/2012 11:47:09 AM
1/22


Hitting better than 65% ATS so far.

NBA[806] MIAMI -9½-110

CBB[850] YOUNGSTOWN STAT -2½-110

CBB[852] CLEVELAND STATE -5½-110

CBB[854] MINNESOTA U -5½-110

NHL[1054] 1P PHILADELPHIA -105

CBB[1844] 1H INDIANA U -8-115

CBB[1850] 1H YOUNGSTOWN STAT -1-115

CBB[1852] 1H CLEVELAND STATE -3-110

CBB[1858] 1H NORTHERN IOWA -5-115

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#22
Posted: 1/22/2012 1:38:48 PM
nice progess mind, but i wish you could seperate the system picks from the "feel strongly about" picks, would help us understand which one is making the dough better 
good luck for today
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mindtides
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#23
Posted: 1/22/2012 2:31:46 PM
ok, from now on I will only include the "system" plays described in the first 2 posts.
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mindtides
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#24
Posted: 1/22/2012 8:50:40 PM
1/22



NBA[806] MIAMI -9½-110

CBB[850] YOUNGSTOWN STAT -2½-110

CBB[852] CLEVELAND STATE -5½-110

CBB[854] MINNESOTA U -5½-110

NHL[1054] 1P PHILADELPHIA -105

CBB[1844] 1H INDIANA U -8-115

CBB[1850] 1H YOUNGSTOWN STAT -1-115

CBB[1852] 1H CLEVELAND STATE -3-110

CBB[1858] 1H NORTHERN IOWA -5-115


Record: 44-27
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#25
Posted: 1/23/2012 12:10:36 PM
Thanks for posting your system mindtides, I'm going to try tailing it for a bit =) BOL to everyone. 
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