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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI DOGS Trial
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#101
Posted: 12/18/2011 12:27:53 PM

How about we set it up like this going forward.  All plays will meet the following criteria, then we will split them up by filter.

Criteria

1) Team has a higher RPI then opponent

2) Team is a true dog, meaning opponent opening line was -110 or greater

3) Team did not play the night before

Once a team has met the above criteria we will then put it in the appropriate filter for that play.  Some teams may be in more then 1 filter.

Fil#1) Team has higher PWR, more goals for and less against then opponent.

Fil#2) Team has a winning record last 5 games (3-2 or better and the record is better then opponents, meaning if both teams are 4-1 in last 5 they are tie and it would not count)

Fil#3) Team has a winning record the last 5 games and opponent has a losing record the last 5 games

 

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#102
Posted: 12/18/2011 2:47:29 PM
No plays today
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peter1988 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#103
Posted: 12/19/2011 10:12:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

How about we set it up like this going forward.  All plays will meet the following criteria, then we will split them up by filter.

Criteria

1) Team has a higher RPI then opponent

2) Team is a true dog, meaning opponent opening line was -110 or greater

3) Team did not play the night before

Once a team has met the above criteria we will then put it in the appropriate filter for that play.  Some teams may be in more then 1 filter.

Fil#1) Team has higher PWR, more goals for and less against then opponent.

Fil#2) Team has a winning record last 5 games (3-2 or better and the record is better then opponents, meaning if both teams are 4-1 in last 5 they are tie and it would not count)

Fil#3) Team has a winning record the last 5 games and opponent has a losing record the last 5 games

 



Looks good, I'll have more time after tomorrow (my last exam) to start looking into this stuff.
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#104
Posted: 12/19/2011 5:27:43 PM
We should also keep track of unofficial plays.  Teams that meet the criteria but don't fit any of the filters.  LA and MIN are examples tonight.
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#105
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:43:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

We should also keep track of unofficial plays.  Teams that meet the criteria but don't fit any of the filters.  LA and MIN are examples tonight.


Totally agree, as it will help us determine if the filters are actually doing something or not.

Original System: 19-17 now I believe.
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Posted: 12/20/2011 5:21:55 PM

Just going to start a new record since yesterday,

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-0

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 1-1

Todays plays

Fil#2 NAS +111

Unofficial NYR -106

 

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sambuca frank
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Posted: 12/20/2011 6:07:58 PM
GOOD LUCK I'M SURE YOUR STATS WILL BE GOOD. SHOW ME OVER 2THOUSAND GAMES SCAM SCAM SCAM THE ONLY FILTER I NEED IS AN AIR CLEANER
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#108
Posted: 12/20/2011 6:29:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sambuca frank:

GOOD LUCK I'M SURE YOUR STATS WILL BE GOOD. SHOW ME OVER 2THOUSAND GAMES SCAM SCAM SCAM THE ONLY FILTER I NEED IS AN AIR CLEANER

WTF Sammy!!

I always thought a scam was if someone was trying to take your money under deceptive means.  Last I checked RC is not asking you or anyone for any money.  Your post is so wacked out I don't even know why I am spending time answering it.  You actually have the best idea, come back after 2000 games!!!
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#109
Posted: 12/21/2011 4:21:28 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-1

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 2-1

Todays plays

Fil#2 DET +115

Unofficial PHI -120

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#110
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:51:00 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-1

Todays plays

Unofficial

FLA +110

MIN +116

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#111
Posted: 12/25/2011 3:53:23 PM
Might have our first filter 3 play since the record reset.

NJ (-103) vs CAR (-105)

NJ Last 5 - 4-1
CAR Last 5 - 2-3
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#112
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:22:56 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-3

Todays plays

NJ -106 fits filter #1,2, and 3

Unofficial

PHO +125

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#113
Posted: 12/26/2011 10:54:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-3

Todays plays

NJ -106 fits filter #1,2, and 3

Unofficial

PHO +125



NJ ended actually opening at even with Car both -110, note to self, don't use pinnacle to look at initial lines.
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#114
Posted: 12/27/2011 6:52:31 PM
No plays today as STL played last night.
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#115
Posted: 12/28/2011 5:45:33 PM

Todays plays

NYR +104 fit filter #1,2 and 3

Unofficial

MIN +115

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#116
Posted: 12/29/2011 5:34:40 PM

NYR

MIN

Todays play

Unofficial

MON -103

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#117
Posted: 12/30/2011 6:25:56 PM

MON

Todays play

Unofficial

DET +107

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#118
Posted: 12/31/2011 1:23:23 PM
COL Last 5 - 4-1
ANA Last 5 - 1-4

COL opened at +100
ANA opened at -120

JS is in for COL, seems like COL uses both so this isn't really a back-up goalie.

COL fits filter #3.

Seems to be the first legit one, I screwed up on a NJ one on 26th since they opened at even, NYR was playing Biron (back-up) on the 28th.

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#119
Posted: 1/1/2012 11:10:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by peter1988:

COL Last 5 - 4-1
ANA Last 5 - 1-4

COL opened at +100
ANA opened at -120

JS is in for COL, seems like COL uses both so this isn't really a back-up goalie.

COL fits filter #3.

Seems to be the first legit one, I screwed up on a NJ one on 26th since they opened at even, NYR was playing Biron (back-up) on the 28th.



COL

So we must be aware of the starting goalie, b2b situations, injuries, all the basics.

There is one unofficial play today.

CGY +125
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bettor2win
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Posted: 1/1/2012 11:08:00 PM
Realitycheck... whats up bro!? Im glad u r doing a system check on the NHL rpi. I stopped betting after the 8th week of football, like i do every yr bcuz i cant pick winners after that. lol. Im goin to start the mlb rpi system again. That was great last yr. 1 freakin loss! I made 1K starting with just $100 with it in 4 months. Then I made another 1K in the first 5WKS of football. Then lost $500, cashed out and quit. How is the nhl system working out??? Send me a PM so we can discuss it. If its lacking something maybe i can analyze it and find something. Idk. Glad u started this. I was thinkong of taking a look at the NBA. I havent realy looked at sports because...well...i just havent.i do keep track tho. Keep up the good work...i was sitting in jacuzzi tonight thinking about how well the mlb rpi did last yr. Im glad it didnt disapoint. Rock on and everyone following this thread i gotta tell ya....its worth payong attn to.
Posted using a mobile device.
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Posted: 1/2/2012 12:53:34 PM

Well NHL is a different beast.  Don't have the 3/4 game series like MLB.  Chase is too risky.  Labby works, get on some good streaks.  This one started 8-0.  Only thing like I've said before the dogs do well the first 1/3 of season then taper off.  Thats what we've been seeing now.

CLG

Todays plays

NYR +126 Fil#2 and 3 (this game is outside but lets see)

Unofficial

NJ +115

SJ +139

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#122
Posted: 1/3/2012 5:57:22 PM

NYR

SJ

NJ

Todays play

Unofficial

NYI +109

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#123
Posted: 1/4/2012 1:19:11 AM
WIN tomorrow for filter 2 and 3
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#124
Posted: 1/4/2012 5:33:41 PM

NYI

Yes WIN for tonight

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Posted: 1/5/2012 2:02:11 PM

WIN

Todays play

Unofficial

DAL +123

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