NHL RPI DOGS Trial

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI DOGS Trial
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#101
Posted: 12/18/2011 12:27:53 PM

How about we set it up like this going forward.  All plays will meet the following criteria, then we will split them up by filter.

Criteria

1) Team has a higher RPI then opponent

2) Team is a true dog, meaning opponent opening line was -110 or greater

3) Team did not play the night before

Once a team has met the above criteria we will then put it in the appropriate filter for that play.  Some teams may be in more then 1 filter.

Fil#1) Team has higher PWR, more goals for and less against then opponent.

Fil#2) Team has a winning record last 5 games (3-2 or better and the record is better then opponents, meaning if both teams are 4-1 in last 5 they are tie and it would not count)

Fil#3) Team has a winning record the last 5 games and opponent has a losing record the last 5 games

 

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#102
Posted: 12/18/2011 2:47:29 PM
No plays today
peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#103
Posted: 12/19/2011 10:12:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

How about we set it up like this going forward.  All plays will meet the following criteria, then we will split them up by filter.

Criteria

1) Team has a higher RPI then opponent

2) Team is a true dog, meaning opponent opening line was -110 or greater

3) Team did not play the night before

Once a team has met the above criteria we will then put it in the appropriate filter for that play.  Some teams may be in more then 1 filter.

Fil#1) Team has higher PWR, more goals for and less against then opponent.

Fil#2) Team has a winning record last 5 games (3-2 or better and the record is better then opponents, meaning if both teams are 4-1 in last 5 they are tie and it would not count)

Fil#3) Team has a winning record the last 5 games and opponent has a losing record the last 5 games

 



Looks good, I'll have more time after tomorrow (my last exam) to start looking into this stuff.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#104
Posted: 12/19/2011 5:27:43 PM
We should also keep track of unofficial plays.  Teams that meet the criteria but don't fit any of the filters.  LA and MIN are examples tonight.
peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#105
Posted: 12/20/2011 10:43:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

We should also keep track of unofficial plays.  Teams that meet the criteria but don't fit any of the filters.  LA and MIN are examples tonight.


Totally agree, as it will help us determine if the filters are actually doing something or not.

Original System: 19-17 now I believe.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#106
Posted: 12/20/2011 5:21:55 PM

Just going to start a new record since yesterday,

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-0

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 1-1

Todays plays

Fil#2 NAS +111

Unofficial NYR -106

 

sambuca frank PM sambuca frank
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quote#107
Posted: 12/20/2011 6:07:58 PM
GOOD LUCK I'M SURE YOUR STATS WILL BE GOOD. SHOW ME OVER 2THOUSAND GAMES SCAM SCAM SCAM THE ONLY FILTER I NEED IS AN AIR CLEANER
doubledime PM doubledime
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quote#108
Posted: 12/20/2011 6:29:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sambuca frank:

GOOD LUCK I'M SURE YOUR STATS WILL BE GOOD. SHOW ME OVER 2THOUSAND GAMES SCAM SCAM SCAM THE ONLY FILTER I NEED IS AN AIR CLEANER

WTF Sammy!!

I always thought a scam was if someone was trying to take your money under deceptive means.  Last I checked RC is not asking you or anyone for any money.  Your post is so wacked out I don't even know why I am spending time answering it.  You actually have the best idea, come back after 2000 games!!!
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#109
Posted: 12/21/2011 4:21:28 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-1

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 2-1

Todays plays

Fil#2 DET +115

Unofficial PHI -120

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#110
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:51:00 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-1

Todays plays

Unofficial

FLA +110

MIN +116

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#111
Posted: 12/25/2011 3:53:23 PM
Might have our first filter 3 play since the record reset.

NJ (-103) vs CAR (-105)

NJ Last 5 - 4-1
CAR Last 5 - 2-3
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#112
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:22:56 PM

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-3

Todays plays

NJ -106 fits filter #1,2, and 3

Unofficial

PHO +125

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#113
Posted: 12/26/2011 10:54:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Record

Fil#1 0-0

Fil#2 0-2

Fil#3 0-0

Unofficial 3-3

Todays plays

NJ -106 fits filter #1,2, and 3

Unofficial

PHO +125



NJ ended actually opening at even with Car both -110, note to self, don't use pinnacle to look at initial lines.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#114
Posted: 12/27/2011 6:52:31 PM
No plays today as STL played last night.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#115
Posted: 12/28/2011 5:45:33 PM

Todays plays

NYR +104 fit filter #1,2 and 3

Unofficial

MIN +115

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#116
Posted: 12/29/2011 5:34:40 PM

NYR

MIN

Todays play

Unofficial

MON -103

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#117
Posted: 12/30/2011 6:25:56 PM

MON

Todays play

Unofficial

DET +107

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#118
Posted: 12/31/2011 1:23:23 PM
COL Last 5 - 4-1
ANA Last 5 - 1-4

COL opened at +100
ANA opened at -120

JS is in for COL, seems like COL uses both so this isn't really a back-up goalie.

COL fits filter #3.

Seems to be the first legit one, I screwed up on a NJ one on 26th since they opened at even, NYR was playing Biron (back-up) on the 28th.

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#119
Posted: 1/1/2012 11:10:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by peter1988:

COL Last 5 - 4-1
ANA Last 5 - 1-4

COL opened at +100
ANA opened at -120

JS is in for COL, seems like COL uses both so this isn't really a back-up goalie.

COL fits filter #3.

Seems to be the first legit one, I screwed up on a NJ one on 26th since they opened at even, NYR was playing Biron (back-up) on the 28th.



COL

So we must be aware of the starting goalie, b2b situations, injuries, all the basics.

There is one unofficial play today.

CGY +125
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#120
Posted: 1/1/2012 11:08:00 PM
Realitycheck... whats up bro!? Im glad u r doing a system check on the NHL rpi. I stopped betting after the 8th week of football, like i do every yr bcuz i cant pick winners after that. lol. Im goin to start the mlb rpi system again. That was great last yr. 1 freakin loss! I made 1K starting with just $100 with it in 4 months. Then I made another 1K in the first 5WKS of football. Then lost $500, cashed out and quit. How is the nhl system working out??? Send me a PM so we can discuss it. If its lacking something maybe i can analyze it and find something. Idk. Glad u started this. I was thinkong of taking a look at the NBA. I havent realy looked at sports because...well...i just havent.i do keep track tho. Keep up the good work...i was sitting in jacuzzi tonight thinking about how well the mlb rpi did last yr. Im glad it didnt disapoint. Rock on and everyone following this thread i gotta tell ya....its worth payong attn to.
Posted using a mobile device.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#121
Posted: 1/2/2012 12:53:34 PM

Well NHL is a different beast.  Don't have the 3/4 game series like MLB.  Chase is too risky.  Labby works, get on some good streaks.  This one started 8-0.  Only thing like I've said before the dogs do well the first 1/3 of season then taper off.  Thats what we've been seeing now.

CLG

Todays plays

NYR +126 Fil#2 and 3 (this game is outside but lets see)

Unofficial

NJ +115

SJ +139

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#122
Posted: 1/3/2012 5:57:22 PM

NYR

SJ

NJ

Todays play

Unofficial

NYI +109

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#123
Posted: 1/4/2012 1:19:11 AM
WIN tomorrow for filter 2 and 3
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#124
Posted: 1/4/2012 5:33:41 PM

NYI

Yes WIN for tonight

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quote#125
Posted: 1/5/2012 2:02:11 PM

WIN

Todays play

Unofficial

DAL +123

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