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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI DOGS Trial |
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RealityCheck1 |
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#1 Posted: 11/24/2011 8:39:55 AM I noticed this the other night with TOR @ TB and EDM @ NAS
Both TOR and EDM were huge dogs yet they both had a higher RPI then TB and NAS. Both TOR and EDM easily won on the road 7-1 and 6-2
So going to post some plays as a trial and see what happens as the season goes on. This could be a good way to pick some dogs. |
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glefkb01 |
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#2 Posted: 11/24/2011 8:54:28 AM |
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kp4life82 |
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#3 Posted: 11/24/2011 2:39:31 PM
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RealityCheck1 |
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#4 Posted: 11/25/2011 8:53:51 AM Since RPI changes everyday it would be impossible to backtest without a site that keeps those daily stats.
Remember this is a trial, so bet small or don't bet at all.
Todays play
WIN +125
WIN is 2 RPI higher then CAR and they have more goals scored and less against, but they are on the road. |
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glefkb01 |
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#5 Posted: 11/25/2011 9:13:02 AM |
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RealityCheck1 |
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#6 Posted: 11/25/2011 10:48:34 PM  |
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glefkb01 |
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#7 Posted: 11/26/2011 8:25:57 AM |
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RealityCheck1 |
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#8 Posted: 11/26/2011 10:57:41 AM Well we have PHI +104 EDM +108 and FLA +113
But all 3 played last night, so not a good play for the dogs to win, so no plays today. |
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glefkb01 |
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#9 Posted: 11/26/2011 12:00:16 PM Lets just go by the numbers.... Last Saturday dogs were like
9-1 so go with it... dont combine with B2B fade ...
What does the RPI say |
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RealityCheck1 |
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#10 Posted: 11/26/2011 4:17:55 PM Then the plays would be
PHI +104
EDM +108
FLA +113
But as you know teams playing on back to back nights are losing at more then 60%. See how it plays out since it's only a trial. |
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#11 Posted: 11/27/2011 6:38:50 AM |
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#12 Posted: 11/27/2011 1:45:50 PM Hard enough to pick dogs, even harder for the dog to win on B2B nights.
Todays play
TOR +115 |
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#13 Posted: 11/28/2011 5:22:32 PM TOR
4-0
With DAL's goalie out, no plays today |
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Riceboi |
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#14 Posted: 11/29/2011 3:53:19 AM
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FrankShades |
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#15 Posted: 11/29/2011 9:30:13 AM |
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#16 Posted: 11/29/2011 10:20:22 AM http://espn.go.com/nhl/stats/rpi
Updated each day around 9am est |
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#17 Posted: 11/29/2011 11:15:16 AM  |
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#18 Posted: 11/29/2011 1:23:42 PM |
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#19 Posted: 11/29/2011 4:20:58 PM Todays plays
FLA +102
NAS +115
STl +115
OTT +106
PHX +134
This should test the RPI factor. Both FLA and NAS have higher power ranking and have more goals for and less against. STL have a higher power ranking but less goals scored then WAS and less against. OTT has a higher power ranking, more goals scored and more goals against. PHX has a lower power ranking with less goals scored but less goals against. |
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#20 Posted: 11/29/2011 4:52:42 PM
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#21 Posted: 11/29/2011 6:43:31 PM Good eye, skip NAS then.
Todays plays
FLA +102
STL +115
OTT +106
PHX +134 |
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#22 Posted: 11/29/2011 11:30:26 PM
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#23 Posted: 11/30/2011 6:13:34 AM |
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#24 Posted: 11/30/2011 3:10:31 PM Record 8-0
Todays play
MON +102 |
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#25 Posted: 11/30/2011 5:26:20 PM Wednesday, 11/30/2011 (9) MONTREAL vs. (10) ANAHEIM | Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line. | ANAHEIM is 0-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against this season.
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.8, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 7*)
| | Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line. | ANAHEIM is 0-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against poor offensive teams - scoring <=2.55 goals/game this season.
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)
| | Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line. | ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*) | Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line. | ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
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