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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 40% parlay system (5-0 this weekend)
C-C send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 9/20/2010 12:25:00 PM

i only found 5 games that fell into the 40% + parlay system.

all 5 games hit

4 (favorite and over) $50 parlay paid out 4 x $80=$320

1 (dog and under)..$50 parlaly paid out 1 x $80= $80

over all winnings on $50 parlays = $400......

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#2
Posted: 9/20/2010 5:41:57 PM
whats the 40% parlay system?
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#3
Posted: 9/21/2010 6:40:18 AM
seems to be interesting

could u post your picks for next week?

thanks
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#4
Posted: 9/21/2010 11:15:08 AM

its pretty simple

take all the totals (college only), divide by 40%, if the # is under the line then you have a 40% + parlay system

example : ohio state -31 /  total 44 (thats about 70%)

parlay ohio state and over

parlay whoever they played (ohio i think) and under.

well, ohio state won, covered, and the game went over.

if you played $50 on each parlay then you lost $50 on the dog and under, you won $130 on the favorite and over.

total winnings $80.

i believe the system so far this year is 18wins , 1 push, 2 losses (dont hold me to that but its pretty close.)

the higher the % # is the better the odds, but nothing less than 40%,

another good example: say the total is set at 54, well 54 x 40%=21.6 ( if the line is higher than 21.6, say 27 , then you have a good shot at hitting one of the parlays, you cant win both, you can loose both,

most offshore places do not allow this, you have to have a local book, but be careful on how you call in the parlays, i spread them out throughout the day, i call in one side, my buddy calls in the other side, very carefully and we switch it up every now and then, no big money , just enough to have fun,

it does get harder throughout the year.

but try it for fun, when the totals come out tomorrow just look at the lines in the 20-30 range, then do the % on the totals,

it has made alot of money this year so far.

quote
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#5
Posted: 9/21/2010 1:59:59 PM

Well if I understand your post correctly games to look at this week are (using preliminary lines):

Bowling Green and under +24.5, 58.5 with Michigan and over -24.5

Ball St and under +28.5, 46.5 with Iowa and over -28.5, 46.5

E. Michigan and under +43.5, 54.5 with Ohio St and over -43.5

USC and over -24.5, 57.5 with Washington St. and under +24.5

New Mexico St. and under +21.5, 48.5 with Kansas and over -21.5

San Jose St and under +33.5, 51.5 with Utah and over -33.5, 51.5

W. Kentucky and under +27, 59.5 with S. Florida and over -27.5

That would be 14 parlays of teams and the total. At most 7 could win.

Do I have the right idea?

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#6
Posted: 9/21/2010 4:07:03 PM

your on the right track.

im only going to play the system 45% or better

it gets harder as the year goes on.

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#7
Posted: 9/21/2010 6:03:56 PM
OK so divide by 45%. Thanks.
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#8
Posted: 9/21/2010 6:11:34 PM

That leaves:

Ball St and under with Iowa and over

E. Michigan and under with Ohio St and over

San Jose St and under with Utah and over

W. Kentucky and under with S. Florida and over

That is dueable. Thanks for the insight. Have to wait to see what the lines are.

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#9
Posted: 9/22/2010 7:59:53 PM
There's already two threads on this
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#10
Posted: 9/22/2010 9:03:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JMon:

There's already two threads on this
where??? 
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#11
Posted: 9/23/2010 5:02:53 AM
Topic: 2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread
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#12
Posted: 9/23/2010 6:13:51 AM
LMAO, serious...only one of the top threads in systems and strategies...and they have back tested it results are pretty consistent all year
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#13
Posted: 9/25/2010 11:06:28 PM

well,, i played the over 45% games, 4 of them.

iowa,,, lost both sides ($50 each lost $100)

ohio st..... on a $50 each,, fav and over cashed in +$80

utah.....$50 fav and over cashed in + $80

south florida......$50 fav and over cashed in + $80

not a bad day just playing pocket change....

this is a close guess as to the years standings that is stated in the above post

21 parlay wins

1 push

3 loosers...

add it up,,, darn good payout......

 

i know there were other 40% parlays that won today,, im just upping mine to 45% and up......

the one looser,, that was a close one,, total fell 45,, i had 46.. oh well

 

 

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#14
Posted: 9/25/2010 11:11:49 PM
no offense but this has been around...

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=100820445&page=11
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#15
Posted: 9/26/2010 12:57:02 AM

no garbage... i know its been around, i have been playing this system for years... just trying to help out some people that dont know about it.

 

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#16
Posted: 9/26/2010 1:09:05 AM

so start another thread

 

 

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#17
Posted: 9/26/2010 1:31:11 AM
what thread do you think your on... this is a NEW thread...
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#18
Posted: 9/26/2010 2:00:10 PM
Thanks C-C I went 3-1 also.
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#19
Posted: 9/26/2010 11:23:04 PM
y is every1 starting threads about these plays u cant bet on them at any book because they already kno its a winning system
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#20
Posted: 9/27/2010 7:35:23 AM
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#21
Posted: 9/27/2010 4:52:38 PM
then just play on 2 different books   
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#22
Posted: 9/28/2010 2:08:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JMon:

There's already two threads on this
in this thead c-c post his plays the other tread not post the plays......
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#23
Posted: 9/28/2010 3:54:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by C-C:

its pretty simple

take all the totals (college only), divide by 40%, if the # is under the line then you have a 40% + parlay system

example : ohio state -31 /  total 44 (thats about 70%)

parlay ohio state and over

parlay whoever they played (ohio i think) and under.

well, ohio state won, covered, and the game went over.

if you played $50 on each parlay then you lost $50 on the dog and under, you won $130 on the favorite and over.

total winnings $80.

i believe the system so far this year is 18wins , 1 push, 2 losses (dont hold me to that but its pretty close.)

the higher the % # is the better the odds, but nothing less than 40%,

another good example: say the total is set at 54, well 54 x 40%=21.6 ( if the line is higher than 21.6, say 27 , then you have a good shot at hitting one of the parlays, you cant win both, you can loose both,

most offshore places do not allow this, you have to have a local book, but be careful on how you call in the parlays, i spread them out throughout the day, i call in one side, my buddy calls in the other side, very carefully and we switch it up every now and then, no big money , just enough to have fun,

it does get harder throughout the year.

but try it for fun, when the totals come out tomorrow just look at the lines in the 20-30 range, then do the % on the totals,

it has made alot of money this year so far.

ok maybe im just tired but are you saying to multiply by 40% or divdide the line by the total? the post seems to say 2 different things. please advise.

 

Thanks

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#24
Posted: 9/29/2010 10:24:59 AM

here is an example for a play this week:

TCU -33 / total 54

i take 54 x 45% = 24.3 (thats the lowest the line could be, of course the line is 33 so that puts this in the 61% range, usually 45% or higher is easier to win.

some guys just stay 40% or better, i believe the longer into the season the higher the percentage the better the plays.

WEEK 5 PLAYS

with that said, there are 4 plays of 45% or higher

TCU/COLORADO STATE  33/54     61%

UCLA / WASHINGTON STATE  27/51  53%

BOISE ST / NEW MEXICO ST. 43/60-   71%

AUBURN / UL MONROE   35/53     66%

there are 2 other games that fall in the 40% range:

LSU -16 / 42     about 38 % (line could change to push 40%)

SOUTH FLORIDA -22 / 50-    43-44% (line could push it to 45%)

if i missed one let me know...

 

good luck to all this weekend...

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#25
Posted: 9/29/2010 7:40:02 PM
I thought that most books don't let you parlay same games.
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