NHL Opening Game Favorite 94-1 in 2009

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 25 of 30 «  23 24 25 26 27   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL Opening Game Favorite 94-1 in 2009
realtime28 PM realtime28
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 132
 
realtime28
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#601
Posted: 2/4/2012 12:53:23 PM
Senators r gonna lose tn :( My boys r feeling hot, this streak is going to C
46989 PM 46989
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 930
 
46989
Participation Meter
Rookie
quote#602
Posted: 2/4/2012 1:19:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by realtime28:

Senators r gonna lose tn :( My boys r feeling hot, this streak is going to C

I have a funny feeling also. The only way im going to play this game is if im up early today and can blow some cash on it. This game scares me. Sens looked like garbage last night.

spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#603
Posted: 2/4/2012 1:55:24 PM
Ottawa was not a play.  According to covers, the A game  closed at     -127 against the Islanders.  Chase at your peril.
avenue PM avenue
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 5870
 
avenue
Participation Meter
Captain
quote#604
Posted: 2/4/2012 7:08:49 PM
r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#605
Posted: 2/5/2012 10:58:22 AM
So, was it a play. confused now 
gasman33 PM gasman33
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
 
gasman33
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#606
Posted: 2/5/2012 12:26:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by spoutbec:

Ottawa was not a play.  According to covers, the A game  closed at     -127 against the Islanders.  Chase at your peril.

It is a play because it OPENED greater than -145... not the CLOSING line...

...Ottawa is a C Bet tonight...

spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#607
Posted: 2/6/2012 12:15:58 PM
The closing line is what was backtested.  It's one of the drawbacks to this system.  When the odds are borderline, you need to check close to gametime to make sure it's still a play.  I hope Ottawa wins tomorrow for the sake of everyone who bets it, but it will have nothing to do with the record of the system this year.
r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#608
Posted: 2/6/2012 5:10:15 PM
Well, play or no play
therizz PM therizz
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2301
 
therizz
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#609
Posted: 2/6/2012 7:47:11 PM

Guys,

Spoutbec is right.  I was never able to backtest this against opening lines like I did for baseball.  Someone is posting my system on another site and he is doing it using opening odds only.  He has only added 6 or 7 more plays, but one of those have lost.  Play Ottawa at your own risk.  I feel bad posting after people have already started chasing, but am rarely on here anymore due to work.  Hope it hits for those playing it, but if it loses I think we will know for sure moving forward that these plays aren't worth the risk.

realtime28 PM realtime28
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 132
 
realtime28
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#610
Posted: 2/7/2012 12:59:00 AM
Philly game tmrw an A?
r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#611
Posted: 2/7/2012 11:03:52 AM
@28 I believe so, Philly plays 3 at home and is still above -145 now, will recheck at 3:55pm PST
spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#612
Posted: 2/8/2012 3:06:34 PM

DET is opening a homestand tonight starting with EDM.  Odds -240 right now.

 

plays:

DET A

tomorrow:

PHI B

spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#613
Posted: 2/8/2012 8:04:32 PM

The updated system record so far this year:

system to date:

37-0

A games = 24-14

B games = 8-5 (PHI pending)

C games = 5-0

losses=

spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#614
Posted: 2/8/2012 8:35:49 PM

Shoot, I just noticed we missed a play on the NYR on Feb. 5 which was an A win.

system to date:

38-0

A games = 25-14

B games = 8-5 (PHI pending)

C games = 5-0

losses=

I'm going to try and see if I can up with this better from here on.

r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#615
Posted: 2/9/2012 11:25:43 AM
ROLL PHILLY ROLL
r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#616
Posted: 2/9/2012 10:07:48 PM
NICE WIN EVERYONE!!!!!!!
realtime28 PM realtime28
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 132
 
realtime28
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#617
Posted: 2/10/2012 12:35:14 AM
I believe the next series is sat, with pitts playing home to winnipeg
ElPresidente PM ElPresidente
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 8
 
ElPresidente
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#618
Posted: 2/10/2012 12:48:07 PM

I just started following but i think Buffalo is a play today

They are home for the next 3 games and are -163

Can someone confirm if this is right.

 

Thanx

spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#619
Posted: 2/10/2012 2:00:26 PM
This system is only based on the first game of a homestand, which for BUF was the other night against BOS.  It didn't qualify on account of the odds.  BUF might be a good bet tonight (they smoked BOS 6-0 despite being underdogs), but it's not a system play.
spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#620
Posted: 2/11/2012 5:00:10 PM

PIT A

with PHI's B win the other day, that makes the system record

40-0

A games = 26-14

B games = 9-5

C games = 5-0

losses=

The next potential series I'm seeing is VAN on the 13th

r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#621
Posted: 2/11/2012 5:41:41 PM

SEE YOU ALL ON THE 13TH

pratt PM pratt
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 122
 
pratt
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#622
Posted: 2/12/2012 9:16:38 PM
I don't fully understand this yet, but I'll be back tomorrow to get word on if I should play this or not
realtime28 PM realtime28
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 132
 
realtime28
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#623
Posted: 2/12/2012 11:37:24 PM
Nuckers tomorrow
r8drlife PM r8drlife
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 155
 
r8drlife
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#624
Posted: 2/13/2012 2:42:52 PM
Vancouver has a 3 game home stand and opened at -180, r we playin today? I believe so.......
spoutbec PM spoutbec
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 111
 
spoutbec
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#625
Posted: 2/13/2012 4:28:14 PM

Canucks are at -165 now, looking safe as a play.

VAN A

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 25 of 30 «  23 24 25 26 27   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.