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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL Opening Game Favorite 94-1 in 2009
realtime28 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
realtime28
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#601
Posted: 2/4/2012 12:53:23 PM
Senators r gonna lose tn :( My boys r feeling hot, this streak is going to C
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46989 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#602
Posted: 2/4/2012 1:19:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by realtime28:

Senators r gonna lose tn :( My boys r feeling hot, this streak is going to C

I have a funny feeling also. The only way im going to play this game is if im up early today and can blow some cash on it. This game scares me. Sens looked like garbage last night.

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spoutbec send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#603
Posted: 2/4/2012 1:55:24 PM
Ottawa was not a play.  According to covers, the A game  closed at     -127 against the Islanders.  Chase at your peril.
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#604
Posted: 2/4/2012 7:08:49 PM
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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#605
Posted: 2/5/2012 10:58:22 AM
So, was it a play. confused now 
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#606
Posted: 2/5/2012 12:26:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by spoutbec:

Ottawa was not a play.  According to covers, the A game  closed at     -127 against the Islanders.  Chase at your peril.

It is a play because it OPENED greater than -145... not the CLOSING line...

...Ottawa is a C Bet tonight...

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spoutbec send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#607
Posted: 2/6/2012 12:15:58 PM
The closing line is what was backtested.  It's one of the drawbacks to this system.  When the odds are borderline, you need to check close to gametime to make sure it's still a play.  I hope Ottawa wins tomorrow for the sake of everyone who bets it, but it will have nothing to do with the record of the system this year.
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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#608
Posted: 2/6/2012 5:10:15 PM
Well, play or no play
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#609
Posted: 2/6/2012 7:47:11 PM

Guys,

Spoutbec is right.  I was never able to backtest this against opening lines like I did for baseball.  Someone is posting my system on another site and he is doing it using opening odds only.  He has only added 6 or 7 more plays, but one of those have lost.  Play Ottawa at your own risk.  I feel bad posting after people have already started chasing, but am rarely on here anymore due to work.  Hope it hits for those playing it, but if it loses I think we will know for sure moving forward that these plays aren't worth the risk.

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realtime28 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#610
Posted: 2/7/2012 12:59:00 AM
Philly game tmrw an A?
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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#611
Posted: 2/7/2012 11:03:52 AM
@28 I believe so, Philly plays 3 at home and is still above -145 now, will recheck at 3:55pm PST
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#612
Posted: 2/8/2012 3:06:34 PM

DET is opening a homestand tonight starting with EDM.  Odds -240 right now.

 

plays:

DET A

tomorrow:

PHI B

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#613
Posted: 2/8/2012 8:04:32 PM

The updated system record so far this year:

system to date:

37-0

A games = 24-14

B games = 8-5 (PHI pending)

C games = 5-0

losses=

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#614
Posted: 2/8/2012 8:35:49 PM

Shoot, I just noticed we missed a play on the NYR on Feb. 5 which was an A win.

system to date:

38-0

A games = 25-14

B games = 8-5 (PHI pending)

C games = 5-0

losses=

I'm going to try and see if I can up with this better from here on.

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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#615
Posted: 2/9/2012 11:25:43 AM
ROLL PHILLY ROLL
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#616
Posted: 2/9/2012 10:07:48 PM
NICE WIN EVERYONE!!!!!!!
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realtime28 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#617
Posted: 2/10/2012 12:35:14 AM
I believe the next series is sat, with pitts playing home to winnipeg
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#618
Posted: 2/10/2012 12:48:07 PM

I just started following but i think Buffalo is a play today

They are home for the next 3 games and are -163

Can someone confirm if this is right.

 

Thanx

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#619
Posted: 2/10/2012 2:00:26 PM
This system is only based on the first game of a homestand, which for BUF was the other night against BOS.  It didn't qualify on account of the odds.  BUF might be a good bet tonight (they smoked BOS 6-0 despite being underdogs), but it's not a system play.
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spoutbec send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#620
Posted: 2/11/2012 5:00:10 PM

PIT A

with PHI's B win the other day, that makes the system record

40-0

A games = 26-14

B games = 9-5

C games = 5-0

losses=

The next potential series I'm seeing is VAN on the 13th

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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#621
Posted: 2/11/2012 5:41:41 PM

SEE YOU ALL ON THE 13TH

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#622
Posted: 2/12/2012 9:16:38 PM
I don't fully understand this yet, but I'll be back tomorrow to get word on if I should play this or not
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realtime28 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#623
Posted: 2/12/2012 11:37:24 PM
Nuckers tomorrow
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r8drlife send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#624
Posted: 2/13/2012 2:42:52 PM
Vancouver has a 3 game home stand and opened at -180, r we playin today? I believe so.......
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#625
Posted: 2/13/2012 4:28:14 PM

Canucks are at -165 now, looking safe as a play.

VAN A

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