Tim Hortons Brier

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Author: [Other] Topic: Tim Hortons Brier
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/3/2012 9:30:43 AM

Locked in on two futures.

Alberta +225 and Manitoba at +800.

Locked in on two Brier Matches

Alberta Over Nfl -150 and Manitoba -130 vs BC

Round 1

Mb -1.5, Ont/NB un 12.5, Sask/PEI ov 12.5 and NWT +138 and ov 12.5

Two clear favs in this field, four solid second level teams, then a cast of unknowns. As this gets rolling, I will be playing overs on the lower level teams and unders when BC or Ontario are playing. I know nothing about PEI, so to take NWT who has plenty of experience at +138 works for me. Ontario should cover 2.5 vs NB, but I recall last year, when Gratton beat Howard right out of the gate, so I will stay away from that game.

beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/3/2012 9:34:18 AM
Check that NS not PEI that the Territories are playing.
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/3/2012 10:40:17 AM
I pounded Alberta +225. As I told beamjim, I am biased here, but they are playing so well right now. They dominated the Alberta playdowns which are not easy to win. They just came off that huge win at the skins game. IMO, no team in Canada can touch them right now.

They have a very good shot at being in Sochi in 2014.

For tournament matchups I am on North Ontario -175 > Quebec and Manitoba -130 > BC.
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/4/2012 8:54:40 AM

Don't see a lot that I like this morning. I realize NS had a good start, winning their first two games, but I suspect that if this was Day 1 and BC was playing NS, BC would be -200, so to get them this morning at +105 is a must play. I think MB and NFL is a toss up so took Mb at +130. No totals stand out for me, leans only are all unders except the NO/PEI game.

beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/4/2012 6:24:43 PM
Well side bets looking good so far, but treading water at the picks. Had two big ones that draw hitting the Territories over, but losing out on Howard -1.5. Awaiting lines for the night games.
LeafsNeedD PM LeafsNeedD
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:14:15 PM
What is the featured game on tsn tonight?
gmar55 PM gmar55
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:20:33 PM
Don't know for sure, but I'd guess Sask and Quebec based on what's been on already today.
gmar55 PM gmar55
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:21:16 PM
Any leans for tonight beamjim? I'm sure you're on the PEI/MB Over...
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:21:19 PM
NB/NS
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:23:12 PM
I have no idea the love for the over on Ont/NWT,  I think Howard brings out an early handshake, on the under.
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:26:51 PM
Agreed. On the under as well.

Also taking a shot with PEI +400.
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/4/2012 7:30:42 PM
Yes, love NB/NS over, and will play Sask/Que over also. Torn on the PEI game, so will stay away.
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/4/2012 10:54:53 PM
Wow does Howard look ordinary so far. This is Alberta's tournament to lose.
CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 3/5/2012 12:22:40 AM
Brier gonna go better than Scotties?
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 8:35:22 AM

Playing Sask/NWT over this morning and Ontario -2.5. It's a lot of points, but I suspect they bounce back after the game last night. They have played Desjardins five times and beaten them handliy each time.

 

Also playing under in the Ont game small. 

 

Coverlane, not sure what your asking, if the there will be better quality play at the Brier or if I will do better at the Brier? I hope the answer is both.

beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 1:38:52 PM

Good on Territories and I should have paid more attention to Ang's post on Ontario.

 

Afternoon draw Mb/Bc under and Nfl/Ns over and NS at -160 are my big plays. Small play on the NB/NO under 12.5 since it is +140.

Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/5/2012 1:50:17 PM
NS or NFLD?
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/5/2012 5:04:54 PM
Wow, North Ontario is a mess...
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 5:20:12 PM
Sorry Ang it was NFl at -160. WTf happened to Manitoba after being up 3?
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/5/2012 6:29:59 PM
Why is NWT getting zero respect? They are a decent team. Gushue wins one game and he's -400? Craziness.
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 6:37:46 PM
I agree, for the price NWT is worth it and although NO is struggling, if Quebec can take Ontario to an extra end, why can't NO? Also like the home town team at +2.5 vs Koe. Only fav I like is BC.
Angelus PM Angelus
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Posted: 3/5/2012 6:42:54 PM
Yeah, I am on both NO and NWT. Will probably regret it but hopefully one hits.

I am on AB though. Sask is going to come down to earth now IMO...

Any totals you like?
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 7:05:49 PM

Nothing big, too much juice in the Nfl game, but I think the Alb/Sask and Que/BC games are leaning over for me, but not a big play. NO and Ont no feel for. Good luck Ang.

CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 3/5/2012 7:30:07 PM
beanjim -- hope the answer is both too. I gues what I was referring to was the consistency of the play and if it would be easier to predict plays in the brier
beamjim PM beamjim
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Posted: 3/5/2012 11:52:45 PM

Thanks for responding Covers...it's a good question.

I think this is not as strong a Brier Field as we typically see, so there is some value to the dogs thus far. I was able to get NWT tonight at +360 and was a great shot by Howard in an extra end away from nailing Jacobs at +400. Typically dogs aren't great at the Brier, usually the cream rises to the top more so in mens play, than women's.

This week though, the favs have been no luck. Howard from Ontario is a good example. He is your perennial 9-2 team, maybe loses to one patsy during the week and perhaps a Martin or Stoughton. In the remainder of his games, he usually drills the lower teams. Presently he is 4-1, but has won every game by one point, which is an oddity for him. You could usually count on teams such as him, Martin, Stoughton, to beat the bottom feeders handily and have no problem laying -2.5. This year has not been the case so far.

So right now, I will keep my eyes peeled for some dogs and only play totals when I have a strong feel. I have been playing some of these totals when I have a luke warm feeling and its costing me money.

Two teams, that I am really intrigued to see how they play tomorrow are Nfl and NO. Both of these teams were slated to make the playoffs and are in a tough position. Do they battle back or pack it in? I have also possibly over valued Fowlers skipping ability based on what I have seen thus far.

 

About the only trend holding true so far this Brier, is the Territories over. 5-0 thus far. See you in the morning. 

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