CUP YTD

+29.98 units

Only a profit of 0.7 of a unit last week but thats enough to continue the win streak to 8 races and put me at the door step of the 30 unit mark.
Put too much into this (was down 20 units at one point) to risk much on this race today. Don't like plate racing and like risking my $$ on it even less but taking it easy today.

The Ford advantage on plate tracks is narrowing. Believe Hendrick has made strides in catching up to equal out the cooling advantage of the Roush cars. The Toyotas and Dodges have a lot of power as well, but with all that said this may come down to fuel mileage which makes this even more of a crap shoot.

PLAYS

1 unit Brad Keselowski (-125) over Jimmie Johnson
Kez won here in the spring and was 4th in this race last year, JJ has had no luck on plate tracks lately and even when he does finish his results, except for a few exceptions, have not been spectacular

1 unit Matt Kenseth (-115) over Kyle Busch
1 unit Dale Jr (-115) over Kyle Busch
Basically playing two drivers that have some success on super speedways over feast or famine Busch who has been of the latter of late

1 unit Paul Menard (-125) over Marcos Ambrose
Menard has been a consistent 10th-15th on plate tracks, Ambrose has had no luck at all, 27.2 avg last 5 at Talladega

1 unit Clint Bowyer (-115) under 12.5
Maybe the most consistent driver on the supers

OUTRIGHTS

0.50 unit Clint Bowyer (+1025)
0.50 unit Brad Keselowski (+1100)
0.10 unit Sam Hornish (+7500)

Good luck!