A lot of money going on that 13, gotta wonder why? Has some speed works. But never raced. Going to need a quick start to gain favor from its post position.
A lot of money going on that 13, gotta wonder why? Has some speed works. But never raced. Going to need a quick start to gain favor from its post position.
Program is 3 fer 4 so far. Can't complain. But no wins. Wished I would have bet on every race. But I'm mostly working on tweaking my formulas today. Got a long season ahead of us.
Program is 3 fer 4 so far. Can't complain. But no wins. Wished I would have bet on every race. But I'm mostly working on tweaking my formulas today. Got a long season ahead of us.
Those outside positions in that last race didn't quite look so intimidating when they loaded them up with all those scratches. That 13 jumped right out to the lead, too. Nice effort all the way around the track.
Those outside positions in that last race didn't quite look so intimidating when they loaded them up with all those scratches. That 13 jumped right out to the lead, too. Nice effort all the way around the track.
I was asked why my program changes before a race. Good question. Here's why:
First, I enter data in two to three phases depending on the type of race. Then I run my program. It does a massive quantity of calculations and takes several seconds to run, sometimes up to 30 seconds. I enter the most important data first, the info that my program weighs most heavily...and I enter the initial odds. Then I run the data and get a preliminary forecast. After that, I enter the lesser important data, and new odds. Etc. Time permitting, I continue to look at history, and other info and try to update the odds.
Each time, things change. My program is heavily odds dependent. A substantial change on one horse odds can change everything because the odds are considered (as is everything) both individually and collectively.
Thus, I get changes all the way up until the horses are loading which, if I wager, is about when I try to make my bet.
I was asked why my program changes before a race. Good question. Here's why:
First, I enter data in two to three phases depending on the type of race. Then I run my program. It does a massive quantity of calculations and takes several seconds to run, sometimes up to 30 seconds. I enter the most important data first, the info that my program weighs most heavily...and I enter the initial odds. Then I run the data and get a preliminary forecast. After that, I enter the lesser important data, and new odds. Etc. Time permitting, I continue to look at history, and other info and try to update the odds.
Each time, things change. My program is heavily odds dependent. A substantial change on one horse odds can change everything because the odds are considered (as is everything) both individually and collectively.
Thus, I get changes all the way up until the horses are loading which, if I wager, is about when I try to make my bet.
My program ranks ALL the horses from first to last. I normally put up only the top 3 or 4. It can handle up to 20 non-coupled entries and up to 3 runners in one coupled entry and up to 2 runners in a second coupled entry...up to a total of 23 runners.
My program ranks ALL the horses from first to last. I normally put up only the top 3 or 4. It can handle up to 20 non-coupled entries and up to 3 runners in one coupled entry and up to 2 runners in a second coupled entry...up to a total of 23 runners.
Each time it runs, it calculates 42 different scenarios and methods of evaluating winners. The methods range from a simple speed average of key races to advanced multi-regression analysis...and everything in between. Depending on many factors, it selects one of the methods as the "most likely" for this race and then ranks the horses from first to last (well, actually, last to first, but thats a distinction without much of a difference in this case).
Each time it runs, it calculates 42 different scenarios and methods of evaluating winners. The methods range from a simple speed average of key races to advanced multi-regression analysis...and everything in between. Depending on many factors, it selects one of the methods as the "most likely" for this race and then ranks the horses from first to last (well, actually, last to first, but thats a distinction without much of a difference in this case).
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