Good Luck to everyone. Hoping to double my money this year, People don't believe me when I do this year after year so I am gonna document on this great website. If I have time I will write up my picks as well.
One Future: (5u)Kentucky to win NCAA Tourney +130
Day 1:
(1u) Notre Dame ML (-850) + Iowa St 1H ML (-525) + Baylor ML (-460) = (-161)
(1u) Iowa St 1H -8
(1u) Notre Dame/Northeastern Over 66 1h (-105)
(1u) Iowa State -14 (-109)
(1u) Texas ML (-130)
(1u) Ohio State ML (-182)
(3u) UCLA ML (+165)
- UCLA is playing very good basketball right now winning 4 of 5, with the only loss coming to Zona. I know the tournament made a mistake letting UCLA in, but it is done now and these players have to have that all important chip on their shoulders. SMU's first trip in 2 decades, congrats to Larry Brown, but here is no proven correlation between NIT success and NCAA success. Best team in a two bid conference... not 3rd round material just yet.
Good Luck to everyone. Hoping to double my money this year, People don't believe me when I do this year after year so I am gonna document on this great website. If I have time I will write up my picks as well.
One Future: (5u)Kentucky to win NCAA Tourney +130
Day 1:
(1u) Notre Dame ML (-850) + Iowa St 1H ML (-525) + Baylor ML (-460) = (-161)
(1u) Iowa St 1H -8
(1u) Notre Dame/Northeastern Over 66 1h (-105)
(1u) Iowa State -14 (-109)
(1u) Texas ML (-130)
(1u) Ohio State ML (-182)
(3u) UCLA ML (+165)
- UCLA is playing very good basketball right now winning 4 of 5, with the only loss coming to Zona. I know the tournament made a mistake letting UCLA in, but it is done now and these players have to have that all important chip on their shoulders. SMU's first trip in 2 decades, congrats to Larry Brown, but here is no proven correlation between NIT success and NCAA success. Best team in a two bid conference... not 3rd round material just yet.
TERRIBLE START. but I cant be the only one. I dont think anyone could see UAB coming, but Georgia State was even more shocking. Pavin the way for #1 seeds
TERRIBLE START. but I cant be the only one. I dont think anyone could see UAB coming, but Georgia State was even more shocking. Pavin the way for #1 seeds
huge goaltend... what a blown dumbass call, but it saved me from losing it all today. I am appaled at how wrong I have been about everygame. but the account is not looking as bad as it was before ucla cleared.
3u Plays 1-0 +4.95
1u Plays 1-6-1 -6.25
I am fade bait at this point, but hoping I can get a run going into tomorrow.
(1u) NC ST ML (-135)
(2u) Stephen F. Austin/Utah Over 67.5 2H (-105)
(3u) Kentucky/Hampton Over 134 (-103)
- Why Take an over on a seemingly straightforward win for Kentucky? Because I have seen Hampton in action. The only reason they won against Manhattan was because of the fact that Manhattan had there worst shooting day at the worst time. Hampton cannot matchup against Kentucky. There are plenty of teams that can in this tourney, but not them. Kentucky will run, and Hampton will learn quickly that if they have any shot they need to score and play uptempo and fall back on D when shots are in the air. If Kentucky shoots 40% this goes over with no issues. 35% then it should be on the nose. To make it clear, I believe every game Kentucky plays in this tourney will go over. Its how Calipari built his "platoon" offense. Everything has been in prep for this 6 game stretch.
huge goaltend... what a blown dumbass call, but it saved me from losing it all today. I am appaled at how wrong I have been about everygame. but the account is not looking as bad as it was before ucla cleared.
3u Plays 1-0 +4.95
1u Plays 1-6-1 -6.25
I am fade bait at this point, but hoping I can get a run going into tomorrow.
(1u) NC ST ML (-135)
(2u) Stephen F. Austin/Utah Over 67.5 2H (-105)
(3u) Kentucky/Hampton Over 134 (-103)
- Why Take an over on a seemingly straightforward win for Kentucky? Because I have seen Hampton in action. The only reason they won against Manhattan was because of the fact that Manhattan had there worst shooting day at the worst time. Hampton cannot matchup against Kentucky. There are plenty of teams that can in this tourney, but not them. Kentucky will run, and Hampton will learn quickly that if they have any shot they need to score and play uptempo and fall back on D when shots are in the air. If Kentucky shoots 40% this goes over with no issues. 35% then it should be on the nose. To make it clear, I believe every game Kentucky plays in this tourney will go over. Its how Calipari built his "platoon" offense. Everything has been in prep for this 6 game stretch.
Why am I laying huge chalk for very little profit? Because its gut check time for me. There was a moment yesterday that if there was no goaltending call I would have lost all my bankroll for this tourney. Kansas SHOULD WIN.
Why am I laying huge chalk for very little profit? Because its gut check time for me. There was a moment yesterday that if there was no goaltending call I would have lost all my bankroll for this tourney. Kansas SHOULD WIN.
- Looking deeper and deeper into New Mexico States season, I dont think the Wac champion should get an auto bid. So terrible, every team with horrible out of conference records and a majority of the teams New Mexico beat to get to 20 wins would get blown out by 50 to Kansas. Eyes are off of Kansas because of the bracket they are in, but all season long they have been the cream of the crop in a very competitive conference. The only explanation I can think of for the Big 12 failure in the tournament is because of the fact these teams beat each other up all season that they are a little drained at this point in the season.
- Looking deeper and deeper into New Mexico States season, I dont think the Wac champion should get an auto bid. So terrible, every team with horrible out of conference records and a majority of the teams New Mexico beat to get to 20 wins would get blown out by 50 to Kansas. Eyes are off of Kansas because of the bracket they are in, but all season long they have been the cream of the crop in a very competitive conference. The only explanation I can think of for the Big 12 failure in the tournament is because of the fact these teams beat each other up all season that they are a little drained at this point in the season.
- Will Indiana push Tempo?... I hope so... Wichita State not playing conference ball anymore. Would love to see stats on their tempo in out of conference play. Bet it is significantly higher. I will likely take the halftime line as well. But wanna see some minutes of this game first.
- Will Indiana push Tempo?... I hope so... Wichita State not playing conference ball anymore. Would love to see stats on their tempo in out of conference play. Bet it is significantly higher. I will likely take the halftime line as well. But wanna see some minutes of this game first.
-This is a bad number but the tempo is good in what will be tight game. Admittedly pressing here, tryin to get the bankroll up. But I see fouls pushin it over late, just like Georgia/Mich St.
-This is a bad number but the tempo is good in what will be tight game. Admittedly pressing here, tryin to get the bankroll up. But I see fouls pushin it over late, just like Georgia/Mich St.
There are only two plays left on the radar. Albany and Gonzaga. Albany will be a 2H play if there is a play. I wanna see how they match up against Oklahoma, I think Oklahoma is fade bait this tourney, but that doesn't mean that they aren't capable of blowing out an Albany team that just can't defend without fouling. The Gonzaga play is all about the number, want -16.5 or better and will wait till tip. Hopefully some money comes in on NDSU late.
There are only two plays left on the radar. Albany and Gonzaga. Albany will be a 2H play if there is a play. I wanna see how they match up against Oklahoma, I think Oklahoma is fade bait this tourney, but that doesn't mean that they aren't capable of blowing out an Albany team that just can't defend without fouling. The Gonzaga play is all about the number, want -16.5 or better and will wait till tip. Hopefully some money comes in on NDSU late.
- I like the Zags for all of the same reason I liked Kansas this morning. It is a fact that the Zags have not really been tested late in this season, but NDSU is not a test. They are a mediocre team from a mediocre conference that doesnt really deserve a bid. Size wise its absurd, very much like Kentucky and Hampton. I worry about the backdoor cover, but the spread based on talent should be 25 or more. I dont want to look back on this match and regret not going a little larger.
- I like the Zags for all of the same reason I liked Kansas this morning. It is a fact that the Zags have not really been tested late in this season, but NDSU is not a test. They are a mediocre team from a mediocre conference that doesnt really deserve a bid. Size wise its absurd, very much like Kentucky and Hampton. I worry about the backdoor cover, but the spread based on talent should be 25 or more. I dont want to look back on this match and regret not going a little larger.
Good luck, brotha. I don't want you to feel as though you're just talking to yourself.
no worries bro... Thanks for the luck..
A little bad luck with OSU today. Up 8 with 3:45 left in 1H and end up losing the play. But its been good so far. Got a little aggressive and it largely paid off. Got the Zags bet pending. Would feel terrible if I lost that one, but hoping for the best. cant really ask for too much though, even if gonzaga doesnt cover it was a good day. Can't really do much better than 14-2.
TODAY:
3u Plays 1-0 +.53u
2u Plays 3-1 +3.8u
1u Plays 10-1-1 +9u
OVERALL:
3u Plays 3-0 +8.48u
2u Plays 3-2 +1.7u
1u Plays 13-7-2 +4.75
19-9-2 +1.60u
PENDING:
(5u)Kentucky to win NCAA Tourney +130
(3u) (Risk) Gonazaga To Reach Sweet 16 -300
(3u) Gonzaga -16.5 v NDSU (-118)
Thinking of adding to the Kentucky play, but the priority is to reach the goal first, that way the kentucky bet can feel like a free play.
Good luck, brotha. I don't want you to feel as though you're just talking to yourself.
no worries bro... Thanks for the luck..
A little bad luck with OSU today. Up 8 with 3:45 left in 1H and end up losing the play. But its been good so far. Got a little aggressive and it largely paid off. Got the Zags bet pending. Would feel terrible if I lost that one, but hoping for the best. cant really ask for too much though, even if gonzaga doesnt cover it was a good day. Can't really do much better than 14-2.
TODAY:
3u Plays 1-0 +.53u
2u Plays 3-1 +3.8u
1u Plays 10-1-1 +9u
OVERALL:
3u Plays 3-0 +8.48u
2u Plays 3-2 +1.7u
1u Plays 13-7-2 +4.75
19-9-2 +1.60u
PENDING:
(5u)Kentucky to win NCAA Tourney +130
(3u) (Risk) Gonazaga To Reach Sweet 16 -300
(3u) Gonzaga -16.5 v NDSU (-118)
Thinking of adding to the Kentucky play, but the priority is to reach the goal first, that way the kentucky bet can feel like a free play.
- I have to take the contrarian view on what is happing in Portland right now. From the pathetic scoring first half you would have to think I am crazy, but this is not my first rodeo. The refs simply did not call fouls in the first half. Its not that they let them play, they deliberately kept the whistle in their pocket for what ever reason. There were numerous fouls throughout the first half but only 8 were called total. I know that this will change in the 2nd, and the kids will not adjust and it will get ugly. I still feel confident that the over 140 will hit.
- I have to take the contrarian view on what is happing in Portland right now. From the pathetic scoring first half you would have to think I am crazy, but this is not my first rodeo. The refs simply did not call fouls in the first half. Its not that they let them play, they deliberately kept the whistle in their pocket for what ever reason. There were numerous fouls throughout the first half but only 8 were called total. I know that this will change in the 2nd, and the kids will not adjust and it will get ugly. I still feel confident that the over 140 will hit.
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