I hit my FSU under 49.5 bet for 1000 & won 1000 at poker last night on 5Dimes. Hit a 5 teamer tonight 1900 to win 1800 (not posted) and have 3700 riding for tomorrow. I'll stop rambling now and post my plays & my reasoning:
5 team Parlay
Villanova -1
Toledo -1
Arkansas -1
LSU -1
Pittsburgh -1
1700 to win 2900.
I think Providence can play Villanova tough for a while but Nova's offense will be too much. I can see this game being a shootout. 81-73 Villanova.
Toledo to win at home vs Northern Illinois. Don't have much info on that one other than that Toledo is the best team in the MAC and playing at home vs a terrible team.
Arkansas has won 9 of 10. Only loss @ Florida by 1. A&M is on back to back road games & have been beaten on the road by double figures 3 times this year including a 21 point loss at Bama. The SEC is super weak this year & Arkansas is the second best team. They have the offense to roll A&M here averaging almost 80 PPG.
LSU is another one of the teams I've had success betting on this year. I like their team and think they've been underrated by Vegas all year long & I think Florida has been very overrated. Auburn has lost 5 straight at home & I'm banking on LSU going in there and winning, also getting revenge for losing to them at home in early Feb. I don't like backing road teams, but I like this play a lot.
Pitt is on a little roll right now and this is a must win for them at home over BC. BC is awful especially on the road so getting the W should be no problem. Although BC is 1-13 in conference & that one win came on the road vs Georgia Tech. Would like to see both these teams lose but Pitt rolls.
8 Team Parlay
Texas +15 (Told myself I'd stay away bc I'm a WVU fan but I can't help myself. Texas owns WVU & has a history of shutting Staten down)
Maryland +17 (Good spot for Maryland to cover. Wisconsin has been great all year but I think they're in for a tough game here. Their offense is averaging a lot less on the road.)
Toledo -1.5 (Toledo is solid & UNI has won one road game in conference all year and that was at 4-10 Ohio)
Miami (OH) +13.5 (The line is telling me Miami Ohio is the play here and it;s a good spot for a home dog. They lost at Kent State by 1 and played them tough. Maybe a little revenge & a SU win here)
LSU +6 (Stated above Auburn has lost 5 straight home games & aren't a good team. LSU has proven that they are a good team on the road this year plenty of times & will win ML. I won't need the 6)
Notre Dame -1 (Notre Dame is a good home team & Syracuse has struggled on the road. Christmas & Gnibje are good but Cooney sucks and just shoots 15 times a game to make 3. Syracuse is playing for absolutely nothing, ND wants that 2 seed & has the guards to shoot over the 2-3 zone)
NC State +17 (Another rare road play I just think NC State gets up for this game and UNC has a kinda let down after 30 point win over GT. NC State lost by 2 at home earlier in year. This is a must win game & they will be in it at the end. 84-79 UNC)
Pitt -1.5 (stated above)
2000 to win 4000.
Postive responses are appreciated.