Posted: 5/14/2011 9:02:32 PM
Abraham has no prayer in this fight. Zero. That said laying -600 is dumb. The play is Ward -15.5 pts handicap at -115. Any ITD winner is a win, as well as 117-111, 117-111, 116-112 cards. NO WAY the fight is any closer than that on the cards.
I dont believe Ward will go for the KO, I believe he will do what he has to do to win the rds and then get out of harm's way. He knows AA's only chance is by 1 punch KO so he wont stay in the pocket all night. He will fight inside but not all night long...he has to be respectful of the fact that AA is capable of ending this fight in a split second so he wont go to war with Abraham, he will just box his balls off.
I could see a cut stoppage due to a headclash at some point after Rd 8 tho...so if this ends inside the distance I believe it will be due to some BS like that, or an AA DQ late out of frustration....
$500 to win $430 on this wager, as well as a $50 poke on Ward in Rds 7-12 at +781.
Easy cash tonight.