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[Tennis] Topic: Joker versus Nadal |
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Gavinnick |
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#1 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:54:31 AM let the comments begin :
Leaning Joker ...even though line smells fishy as hell......
can the #1 tennis player in the world win as a +260 dog?
WTF are the books trying to pull here....
either A:
This is an obvious Nadal win.
Or B:
The books figure no one will expect Joker to beat Nadal as such a big dog ( this angle rarely hits I dont track it, but a higher ranked player as a +250 dog is very rare)
On paper it has to be closer then this, doesnt it? I mean for christ sakes Joker is capable
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gridironguy |
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#2 Posted: 6/9/2012 1:03:05 PM
at -330, the play is clearly a mathematically driven on to bet Rafa or no play
+270ish on Djoko is simply too short a number
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Gavinnick |
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#3 Posted: 6/9/2012 1:38:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy:
for me, if healthy and no injury occurs during the match, RAFA is an 85% favorite to win 3 sets before djoko does, so basically 5.5 to 1 or so,
at -330, the play is clearly a mathematically driven on to bet Rafa or no play
+270ish on Djoko is simply too short a number
I have to agree with you ......However, that is from the books perspective.....In sports there is a rare reverse trap (the books) say : well since it will be close and everybody thinks Nadal lets put Nadal at -330 and make the bettors pay up......Or tie Up Sharapova and Nadal together in all the parlays....knowing alot of people would rather take the 2 favorites and parlay them for the finals.....
 One Thing for sure ....NO F-ing way Nadal is -330 favorite in my book .........I give him -220 at most.........
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Gavinnick |
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#4 Posted: 6/9/2012 5:23:41 PM Well I am goning with the over 36.5 -130 for the Final .....square as it gets .....but I see Joker getting a set if he loses, and if Nadal losses its going 5 sets
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clepto |
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#5 Posted: 6/9/2012 5:36:08 PM |
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sammy_ny |
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#6 Posted: 6/9/2012 5:36:09 PM |
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Zephyr_10 |
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#7 Posted: 6/9/2012 6:13:17 PM |
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Gavinnick |
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#8 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:08:53 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by sammy_ny:
I like Nadal to win 3-0 or 3-1. If Nadal wins the 1st set, forget about it as he will bury Joker deep in a hole.. only chance joker has is winning the first set. But I still like Nadal to win this one. I am going with Nadal and the spread. gl all
 If Joker losses the first set its over?
Geez the love for Nadal is just sickening |
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gridironguy |
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#9 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:35:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:
If Joker losses the first set its over?
Geez the love for Nadal is just sickening
that guys comment is lame, absolutely insane and lame.
yes, i am clearly a rafa fan, but i expect no less than 4 sets, and i believe at least 1 of the 4 goes 7-6 and another 7-5. 5 sets would be no surprise. this will be a fierce tennis chess game and battle. overall, i just think rafa will win 3 sets before joker can, at this venue, at his current form, all things considered in the burgeoning rivalry the last 16-17 mos between these 2
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PeachyRider |
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#10 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:39:40 PM |
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BMA |
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#11 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:47:18 PM  Nadal has a 51-1 win-loss record at Roland Garros and has dropped just 35 games to reach the final here, which is the fewest games he has ever lost en route to a grand slam final.
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BMA |
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#12 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:48:40 PM |
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WickedD |
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#13 Posted: 6/9/2012 11:49:33 PM
But joker with what's at stake, the guy is mentally tough.
No bet.
GL.
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BMA |
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#14 Posted: 6/10/2012 12:25:58 AM |
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BMA |
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#15 Posted: 6/10/2012 12:31:32 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BMA:
it is important to note that the odds the BOOKS set are not based on the true
probability of Nadal or Joker winning, but rather what the general betting
public perceive the true probability to be.
#
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CurtisSumpter |
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#16 Posted: 6/10/2012 1:08:55 AM |
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Budget_Baller |
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#17 Posted: 6/10/2012 1:31:21 AM
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#18 Posted: 6/10/2012 1:31:47 AM
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#19 Posted: 6/10/2012 3:18:16 AM
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Professional1 |
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#20 Posted: 6/10/2012 3:53:39 AM |
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juveunits |
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#21 Posted: 6/10/2012 4:28:55 AM |
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need2cover |
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#22 Posted: 6/10/2012 4:39:41 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Professional1:
There is only one way to bet this match otherwise u r a friggin fool!
How would you bet it? I don't want to be a fool. |
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TheSnake9 |
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#23 Posted: 6/10/2012 5:55:13 AM
I have 550 to win 500 on Nadal future to win the Roland Garros and I have just added more on him today.
Let the rich get richer! I've been dominating ATP/WTA. Let the good times continue buddy.
Nole get smashed by the clay court specialist!
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MrSungiWilsons |
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#24 Posted: 6/10/2012 6:08:57 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy:
for me, if healthy and no injury occurs during the match, RAFA is an 85% favorite to win 3 sets before djoko does, so basically 5.5 to 1 or so,
at -330, the play is clearly a mathematically driven on to bet Rafa or no play
+270ish on Djoko is simply too short a number
Say it.. say whoever bets on Joker is "insane" just like you did to everone who was betting Timothy Bradley yesterday night.
Pleaaaaseeee say it ! |
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BMA |
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#25 Posted: 6/10/2012 6:38:36 AM
"I'm sure the guys...thank God they're not playing all the tournaments on clay. He's amazing," said 18-times grand slam champion
"Nobody can be counted as a favourite against Nadal on clay, no matter what the ranking is." |
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