Honda

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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Honda
blairaj PM blairaj
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blairaj
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Posted: 2/29/2012 9:23:26 PM
Full Tournament:
Crane +130 o Bradley
McDowell +120 o Furyk
Jacobson -115 o Oosthuizen
Moore -110 o O'Hair
Karlsson +120 o Poulter
Leishman +135 o Bjorn (2u)
Romero -105 o Vegas (1.5u)
Furyk -105 o Fowler 

Round 1:
Rose -115 o. Oosthuizen (1.5u)
Wilson -115 o. Villegas
Petterson -115 o. O'Hair (1.5u)

Every once in a while you know how you get that gut feeling that there may not be that much statistically to justify?  This week I've got that feeling about Graeme McDowell.  I wish I could get better odds on him, but I'm putting a small amount that would pay 3 units.

I hate betting both on and against somebody (Furyk), but the Fowler fade at -105 was just wayyyy to good to pass up.

Remember last year when they first came back to FL and the high pollen counts?  he struggled and I think even withdrew from a tournament, if I remember right.  Well, the pollen counts are supposed to be high again.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 2/29/2012 9:25:09 PM
pollen counts --- "he" is supposed to be Poulter
stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 2/29/2012 9:35:54 PM
u won't lose a single play as u r the new Mr. golf in the forum
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 2/29/2012 9:45:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stats1:

u won't lose a single play as u r the new Mr. golf in the forum

I guess I'm not sure how to take that stats.  If I've posted something that's offended you, or anyone else, I can assure you that's not been my intent.

stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 2/29/2012 9:50:31 PM
good deal       always like 2 test the new people on here make sure we don't have any texas gamblers or stp2  wish u nothing but the best the rest of the season        what part of fl. u live in?   grew up in Tampa.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 2/29/2012 10:00:41 PM
I live in IN, unfortunately not FL.

I'm actually not new, I was around a long long time ago.  In fact, it was mostly me and lifemisspent (he was expo something or other at the time, and actually is a pretty good golf capper when he puts his mind to it a posts something other than his wild behind longshots) that got covers to start the golf forum, back around 2002.  I took several years off when it got hard to move money offshore, so my original account lapsed and that's why I appear as a newbie.  I couple years ago, I got hooked up with a decent local that takes golf, so I started lurking around here again.
Bluefin PM Bluefin
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Posted: 2/29/2012 10:01:59 PM
BOL seems were all riding Wilson this week Hope he does throw up a bone
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 2/29/2012 10:05:15 PM
Back in the days that I was on here a lot, some of the big names I can remember were:  Wantitall4moi, McNabb, and Clyde.  There were a couple whose names I can't remember - one was a retired HS baseball coach that was very good at bases, and there was a guy that was in the service and got called away to duty, I think his name was redsoxwin (or redsox something), that was ABSOLUTE MONEY in tennis.  He'd post his plays and move lines like crazy.  The very few of us that really followed him made a killing.

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/1/2012 4:16:29 PM
Next time I get a gut feeling, maybe I'd better just hike my leg and fart.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/1/2012 5:38:27 PM
Round 1:
Rose -115 o. Oosthuizen (1.5u)   
Wilson -115 o. Villegas          
Petterson -115 o. O'Hair (1.5u)

3-0, +4.0u

Now that's how to get the florida swing kicked off!!!!!

stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 3/1/2012 5:50:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stats1:

u won't lose a single play as u r the new Mr. golf in the forum
   i told u this card was PERFECT right after i saw it
Bluefin PM Bluefin
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Posted: 3/1/2012 6:13:43 PM
Nice job
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/1/2012 7:41:50 PM
Stats
Blue

This is not normal for me, but I'm gonna play all 3 of the same again tomorrow and adding one more.  All just 1u plays tomorrow, though.

Round 2:
Petterson -130 o O'Hair
Fowler -130 o KT Kim
Wilson -130 o Villegas
Rose -115 o Oosthuizen

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/1/2012 8:59:57 PM
I was close to making this play based on the numbers alone, but scared off by the juice.  Now that I've seen on tv Els miss two putts inside 10 ft., each by nearly a foot, I'm gonna pull the trigger:

Schwartzel -145 o. Els (1.5u)

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/2/2012 6:15:46 PM
Full Tournament: 1-2-2, -1.43
McDowell +120 o Furyk            
Leishman +135 o Bjorn (2U)       
Romero -105 o Vegas (1.5u)       
Furyk -105 o Fowler              
Karlsson +120 o Poulter          

Round 2: (4-1), +3.2
Petterson -130 o O'Hair                    
Fowler -130 o KT Kim              
Wilson -130 o Villegas              
Rose -115 o Oosthuizen          
Schwartzel -145 o Els (1.5u)     

Petterson never trailed til the 18th hole today   But, Leishman made a nice run in the last couple holes to save me a couple units and help even out the last hole shannanigans.

Close to another sweep today, looking forward to the weekend!



blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/2/2012 9:36:16 PM
Round 3
Huh -105 o Pettersson
Love -125 o Duke
Overton -125 o Estes
sugalboy PM sugalboy
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Posted: 3/3/2012 12:08:00 AM
wish i had seen your thread earlier...good luck tomorrow my friend. we have the same picks.. what do you think of the value on rose +135 vs mcilroy? i mean, i know rory is on fire but rose has been playing well in the 1st two rounds... seems like too good of value to pass up? and what do you think of the ben crane vs mcdowell line? mcdowell may have gotten his game back after that 2nd round  will appreciate any input...
iceman67 PM iceman67
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Posted: 3/3/2012 6:02:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blairaj:

Round 3
Huh -105 o Pettersson
Love -125 o Duke
Overton -125 o Estes

I really like Overton,and Huh (bigtime) .   I really don't like Love tommorrow, just think he may press (breakdown) with any early trouble he runs into.   I'm also on Bradley to win @ 11-1 and Walker @ 22-1.

GL with Overton and Huh... 

 

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/3/2012 6:26:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sugalboy:

wish i had seen your thread earlier...good luck tomorrow my friend. we have the same picks.. what do you think of the value on rose +135 vs mcilroy? i mean, i know rory is on fire but rose has been playing well in the 1st two rounds... seems like too good of value to pass up? and what do you think of the ben crane vs mcdowell line? mcdowell may have gotten his game back after that 2nd round  will appreciate any input...

I don't really like Rose at all for Sat., but if that ends up being the same matchup on Sunday, I will look pretty hard at him. I use H2H as a one of my key stats and in the last year Rory is 5-0 against Rose in rd3.  That reverses in rd4, where Rose is 4-0.  For the entire tournament, McIlroy is 10-2.

McDowell and Crane, to me, is a coin-flip.  Both have success here, and both when they get hot can put up some low numbers. I have really liked them both for this tourney and wish they weren't matched against each other, 'cause I'd be looking to play on each of them.

If I do add a dog, it's probably going to be Dicky Pride over Vaughn Taylor.  The only thing that's kept me from pulling the trigger on that one so far is the fact that Pride is paired with Rory, which will be a huge crowd pairing while Taylor is with Harman, a pairing that is more likely to slip under the radar.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/3/2012 6:30:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by iceman67:

I really like Overton,and Huh (bigtime) .   I really don't like Love tommorrow, just think he may press (breakdown) with any early trouble he runs into.   I'm also on Bradley to win @ 11-1 and Walker @ 22-1.

GL with Overton and Huh... 

I made these plays last night before I watched some of the coverage.  And from what I saw, I started liking Love less and less.  What I do really like though is that he tees off 2 groups in front of Duke and is paired with McDowell.  I really like McDowell and I could see that pairing being one that gets hot and feeds off each other today.

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/3/2012 7:11:25 AM
Updating Round 3
Huh -105 o Pettersson (1.5u)
Love -125 o Duke
Overton -125 o Estes
Pride +125 o Taylor (1.5u)
stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 3/3/2012 10:48:13 AM
with u on the overton play bol
iceman67 PM iceman67
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Posted: 3/3/2012 4:00:15 PM
John Huh is dead to me...  even if he somehow skanks this head to head out today, I will never ever ever back him again....
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/3/2012 5:55:57 PM
Round 3: 3-1, +2.3
Huh -105 o Pettersson (1.5u)
Love -125 o Duke                 
Overton -125 o Estes             
Pride +125 o Taylor (1.5u)

Poor, poor effort by Huh.  But another good day for me!!!!

       
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 3/3/2012 5:57:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by iceman67:

John Huh is dead to me...  even if he somehow skanks this head to head out today, I will never ever ever back him again....

I think that's a mistake.  He's looked pretty good, but he's played a lot this year.  I do think I'll lay off him until he takes a week off.
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