Last year Clemson covered and almost won...
Although both teams are pretty much the same this year...
This year Clemson is better than they were last year...
This year Bama is not as good (mostly offensively) as they were last year...
So
Clemson wins or at least covers again.
This is not the best argument and if you need proof just go to the NFL. A lot can change from one year to the next even with almost the same personnel.
Fact is Washington is a decent team and although Bama did not blow them out they still won. Square Clemson backers remember the Ohio St shutout and that Bama was not all that impressive against the Huskies.
And therein lies the problem in handicapping NCAAF, that type of thinking. Based on ratings and matchups top Vegas oddsmakers have Bama as a 9-10 point favorite. But they cannot make the line 9 because every square laying down a $50 bet remembers only what happened last week.
Watch this line go from -6 now back up to -7 before kickoff, all from sharp money.
BOL
Last year Clemson covered and almost won...
Although both teams are pretty much the same this year...
This year Clemson is better than they were last year...
This year Bama is not as good (mostly offensively) as they were last year...
So
Clemson wins or at least covers again.
This is not the best argument and if you need proof just go to the NFL. A lot can change from one year to the next even with almost the same personnel.
Fact is Washington is a decent team and although Bama did not blow them out they still won. Square Clemson backers remember the Ohio St shutout and that Bama was not all that impressive against the Huskies.
And therein lies the problem in handicapping NCAAF, that type of thinking. Based on ratings and matchups top Vegas oddsmakers have Bama as a 9-10 point favorite. But they cannot make the line 9 because every square laying down a $50 bet remembers only what happened last week.
Watch this line go from -6 now back up to -7 before kickoff, all from sharp money.
BOL
It’s amazing. The line opened at Ala -6 and the total opened at 53, and for the pass week the line has held steady at 6.5 and 51.5. Clemson is the consensus pick of over 60% of the bettors and 94% of bets on the money line. Seems logical that the line should be dropping, but its not. If you believe Vegas wants the players to end the college football season on a wining note, then by all means bet Clemson. I won’t. Alabama wins and covers in a low scoring affair.
It’s amazing. The line opened at Ala -6 and the total opened at 53, and for the pass week the line has held steady at 6.5 and 51.5. Clemson is the consensus pick of over 60% of the bettors and 94% of bets on the money line. Seems logical that the line should be dropping, but its not. If you believe Vegas wants the players to end the college football season on a wining note, then by all means bet Clemson. I won’t. Alabama wins and covers in a low scoring affair.
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