ONLY........ 205 days / 22 hours / 20 minutes remain............ *until 9/1.....1st game actually 8/27
weekly schedules already up at :
https://lsufootball.net/tvschedule.htm
great opening week.... *a few lines up at 5Dimes wtf....< don't do it.....don't pay THEM 20%.....to allow you to LOAN them money for 6-7 months here's a few.....
Saturday, August 27th California vs. Hawaii (Sydney)
Thursday, September 1st Oregon State at Minnesota South Carolina at Vanderbilt
Friday, September 2nd Colorado vs. Colorado State Kansas State at Stanford
Saturday, September 3rd Boston College vs. Georgia Tech (Dublin) Alabama vs. USC (Arlington) Arizona vs. BYU (Glendale) Clemson at Auburn Eastern Washington at Washington State Georgia vs. North Carolina (Atlanta) Houston vs. Oklahoma LSU vs. Wisconsin Missouri at West Virginia Notre Dame at Texas UCLA at Texas A&M Western Michigan at Northwestern
Monday, Sept 5 Florida State vs. Ole Miss (Orlando)
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
ONLY........ 205 days / 22 hours / 20 minutes remain............ *until 9/1.....1st game actually 8/27
weekly schedules already up at :
https://lsufootball.net/tvschedule.htm
great opening week.... *a few lines up at 5Dimes wtf....< don't do it.....don't pay THEM 20%.....to allow you to LOAN them money for 6-7 months here's a few.....
Saturday, August 27th California vs. Hawaii (Sydney)
Thursday, September 1st Oregon State at Minnesota South Carolina at Vanderbilt
Friday, September 2nd Colorado vs. Colorado State Kansas State at Stanford
Saturday, September 3rd Boston College vs. Georgia Tech (Dublin) Alabama vs. USC (Arlington) Arizona vs. BYU (Glendale) Clemson at Auburn Eastern Washington at Washington State Georgia vs. North Carolina (Atlanta) Houston vs. Oklahoma LSU vs. Wisconsin Missouri at West Virginia Notre Dame at Texas UCLA at Texas A&M Western Michigan at Northwestern
Monday, Sept 5 Florida State vs. Ole Miss (Orlando)
BEST site?.... *m a y b e......no longer Steele......for me anyway
check out the greatness of Bill Connelly at SB Nation... *he's already started a one team / day ...incredibly detailed preview of every stinkin' team....starting at the bottom
FIRST....you gotta LEARN his terminology *warning: it ain't gonna jump out and grab you at first (unless you're a numbers guy)...it's worth the effort to learn it
BEST site?.... *m a y b e......no longer Steele......for me anyway
check out the greatness of Bill Connelly at SB Nation... *he's already started a one team / day ...incredibly detailed preview of every stinkin' team....starting at the bottom
FIRST....you gotta LEARN his terminology *warning: it ain't gonna jump out and grab you at first (unless you're a numbers guy)...it's worth the effort to learn it
That National Champs site is the first to preview 2016 each year *brief intro for top 50 or so.....along with guys leaving early and a rough look at depth charts NOTE: they don't update each depth chart once done....you gotta go to 'early to NFL' section for updates
https://www.nationalchamps.net/
1. Clemson 2. Louisiana State 3. Oklahoma 4. Alabama 5. Stanford 6. Florida State 7. Michigan 8. Iowa 9. Baylor 10. Michigan State 11. Ole Miss 12. Houston 13. Notre Dame 14. Tennessee 15. Ohio State 16. Louisville 17. Oklahoma State 18. North Carolina 19. TCU 20. Utah 21. Oregon 22. Wisconsin 23. Arkansas 24. Southern California 25. Georgia
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
That National Champs site is the first to preview 2016 each year *brief intro for top 50 or so.....along with guys leaving early and a rough look at depth charts NOTE: they don't update each depth chart once done....you gotta go to 'early to NFL' section for updates
https://www.nationalchamps.net/
1. Clemson 2. Louisiana State 3. Oklahoma 4. Alabama 5. Stanford 6. Florida State 7. Michigan 8. Iowa 9. Baylor 10. Michigan State 11. Ole Miss 12. Houston 13. Notre Dame 14. Tennessee 15. Ohio State 16. Louisville 17. Oklahoma State 18. North Carolina 19. TCU 20. Utah 21. Oregon 22. Wisconsin 23. Arkansas 24. Southern California 25. Georgia
******* Maybe most important thing to remember when doing research on a given team ???
BE CRITICAL.......don't be a cheerleader *EVERY team will have made ...(what appear to be) positive changes.....leading us to believe....."WOW they're gonna be MUCH better!!!!" STOP! most every single one will be about the same....only a select few will be much better
From SB Nation...
UNT-
HC Littrell....OC Harrell...DC Mike Ekeler (Georgia...USC....Nebraska).....added Bama #3 QB Alec Morris *also signed 9 transfers....including LB Wm. Johnson (originally Nebraska)....and DT Bryce English (RS LY at Kan St)....offers from Texas....UCLA...Ark...TCU)
UTakEmPoints
OC?....Brent Pease (Boise...Fla).....what's he thinking < left Washington (WR coach) to call plays here DC - Tom Mason (SMU...Hawaii...Nevada) *maybe a team to play on (shade)...Kugler proved he could coach in 2014...injuries killed em in 2015...if RB Jones and QB Leftwich can stay healthy (keep D off field a bit)....run D not bad...pass D was terrible....not bad at HOME shade....vs Army 9/17....FADE big time at Texas 9/10...maybe at LT too 10/1
note: if works out...bet Horns the INSTANT line comes out....don't wait till late in the week watching it climb 25...26....27'.....28....28'.....then get lucky and win the bet.....then proudly proclaim "SEE I TOLD YOU LINE VALUE DON'T MATTER!!!....unless trying to be a Covers legend............. *some got away with that in 2015...it will cost you a lot of cash in the future
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
******* Maybe most important thing to remember when doing research on a given team ???
BE CRITICAL.......don't be a cheerleader *EVERY team will have made ...(what appear to be) positive changes.....leading us to believe....."WOW they're gonna be MUCH better!!!!" STOP! most every single one will be about the same....only a select few will be much better
From SB Nation...
UNT-
HC Littrell....OC Harrell...DC Mike Ekeler (Georgia...USC....Nebraska).....added Bama #3 QB Alec Morris *also signed 9 transfers....including LB Wm. Johnson (originally Nebraska)....and DT Bryce English (RS LY at Kan St)....offers from Texas....UCLA...Ark...TCU)
UTakEmPoints
OC?....Brent Pease (Boise...Fla).....what's he thinking < left Washington (WR coach) to call plays here DC - Tom Mason (SMU...Hawaii...Nevada) *maybe a team to play on (shade)...Kugler proved he could coach in 2014...injuries killed em in 2015...if RB Jones and QB Leftwich can stay healthy (keep D off field a bit)....run D not bad...pass D was terrible....not bad at HOME shade....vs Army 9/17....FADE big time at Texas 9/10...maybe at LT too 10/1
note: if works out...bet Horns the INSTANT line comes out....don't wait till late in the week watching it climb 25...26....27'.....28....28'.....then get lucky and win the bet.....then proudly proclaim "SEE I TOLD YOU LINE VALUE DON'T MATTER!!!....unless trying to be a Covers legend............. *some got away with that in 2015...it will cost you a lot of cash in the future
Best of Luck to everyone .... Going to go off the grid from Covers till June 1st ... Wanted to finish what I started ( football season) ...
Thanks Again Bookie for everything you do here .... Appreciate it
those look pretty good......need to get mine done badly.....
I see no need to EXILE yourself from Covers..............
Look at it this way......anybody that matters won't care most likely *those that will call you out,,, will be the idiots that bounce from thread to thread dropping turds.....adding NOTHING but a foul smell to an already funky forum..............................ha
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
Best of Luck to everyone .... Going to go off the grid from Covers till June 1st ... Wanted to finish what I started ( football season) ...
Thanks Again Bookie for everything you do here .... Appreciate it
those look pretty good......need to get mine done badly.....
I see no need to EXILE yourself from Covers..............
Look at it this way......anybody that matters won't care most likely *those that will call you out,,, will be the idiots that bounce from thread to thread dropping turds.....adding NOTHING but a foul smell to an already funky forum..............................ha
If you haven't already....sign up for the SB Nation morning CFB newsletter.....comes around 8:00a C
I'm trying to do one team / day.....following along with Bill C's countdown........meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing $$$ THEN factoring in changes after spring ends.....most every single team will only change 1-3 points.....a select few maybe 5-10.....gaining/losing a great HC or QB....etc..............
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
If you haven't already....sign up for the SB Nation morning CFB newsletter.....comes around 8:00a C
I'm trying to do one team / day.....following along with Bill C's countdown........meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing $$$ THEN factoring in changes after spring ends.....most every single team will only change 1-3 points.....a select few maybe 5-10.....gaining/losing a great HC or QB....etc..............
Something that has helped me a great deal the last few years....
Is looking into a match-up with greater detail.....largely using Connelly's numbers.....and situational stuff as well *NOT just looking at (raw) rushing or passing numbers
Meaning: OK team A has a strong rushing attack....team B can't stop the run.....bet Team A ?
*But maybe Team B has played a really tough schedule of strong running teams....team A maybe facing weak run D's *OR...maybe team B plays a bend/not break style...giving up a bunch of yards.....but just happens to tough in the RZ...maybe team A struggles to CLOSE drives *related to above....maybe team A struggles to move the chains...survives mostly on BIG PLAYS/long gains....maybe Team B (playing bend/don't break).......is great at stopping the big play?
Our play team A.....has maybe become a no play....or fade even
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
Something that has helped me a great deal the last few years....
Is looking into a match-up with greater detail.....largely using Connelly's numbers.....and situational stuff as well *NOT just looking at (raw) rushing or passing numbers
Meaning: OK team A has a strong rushing attack....team B can't stop the run.....bet Team A ?
*But maybe Team B has played a really tough schedule of strong running teams....team A maybe facing weak run D's *OR...maybe team B plays a bend/not break style...giving up a bunch of yards.....but just happens to tough in the RZ...maybe team A struggles to CLOSE drives *related to above....maybe team A struggles to move the chains...survives mostly on BIG PLAYS/long gains....maybe Team B (playing bend/don't break).......is great at stopping the big play?
Our play team A.....has maybe become a no play....or fade even
........meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing
Good to know I'm not the only one still working on my final 2015 #s as a starting point for 2016.
Will have PR process questions, comments, discussion later. .... Like to compare ideas with what others do (for those that actually do Power Ratings at all).
........meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing
Good to know I'm not the only one still working on my final 2015 #s as a starting point for 2016.
Will have PR process questions, comments, discussion later. .... Like to compare ideas with what others do (for those that actually do Power Ratings at all).
Good to know I'm not the only one still working on my final 2015 #s as a starting point for 2016.
Will have PR process questions, comments, discussion later. .... Like to compare ideas with what others do (for those that actually do Power Ratings at all).
TD
I'm 100% convinced.....that is how it's done
THINK ABOUT IT...... *we're trying to simply PREDICT how a team will perform
Unless there have been massive changes....they're gonna look / perform in 2016....much like they did in 2015....2014 .....etc *WHY?....because most coaches have a given 'philosophy'....and stick with it no matter what.....drives their alumni crazy but helps us out a bunch
The few that DO have a lotta changes.....simply stay away ....until we see what they're about
What I've noticed....is that oddsmakers follow right along with hype as well....making these huge adjustments year to year / week to week even.... *at the end of 2016?....most will end up where they were at the end of 2015 .....those of us that ESTABLISHED their true identity when the year BEGAN.....don't have to do the weekly yo-yo crap.....
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
Good to know I'm not the only one still working on my final 2015 #s as a starting point for 2016.
Will have PR process questions, comments, discussion later. .... Like to compare ideas with what others do (for those that actually do Power Ratings at all).
TD
I'm 100% convinced.....that is how it's done
THINK ABOUT IT...... *we're trying to simply PREDICT how a team will perform
Unless there have been massive changes....they're gonna look / perform in 2016....much like they did in 2015....2014 .....etc *WHY?....because most coaches have a given 'philosophy'....and stick with it no matter what.....drives their alumni crazy but helps us out a bunch
The few that DO have a lotta changes.....simply stay away ....until we see what they're about
What I've noticed....is that oddsmakers follow right along with hype as well....making these huge adjustments year to year / week to week even.... *at the end of 2016?....most will end up where they were at the end of 2015 .....those of us that ESTABLISHED their true identity when the year BEGAN.....don't have to do the weekly yo-yo crap.....
For Total players, just to start a list of teams to look into... I added a couple columns to the Connelly Returning Experience export to also look at his projected Total O & D points combined.
So, a team with high % returning O & low % returning D has the largest projected increase in points scored for & against.
A team with a low % returning O & high % returning D has the largest projected decrease in points scored for & against.
Top teams with projected higher scoring games than 2015:
Georgia Tech +8.9
West Virginia +8.1
Maryland +7.7
Illinois +6.6
Georgia Southern +6.5
Clemson +6.5
Minnesota +5.9
Boise State +5.6
Florida International +5.3
UTEP +5.2
Top teams with projected lower scoring games than 2015:
Arkansas -7.7
Buffalo -7.5
Air Force -7.5
Cal -6
Utah -5.7
Indiana -5.5
TCU -5.1
North Texas -4.7
Michigan State -4.6
Oregon -4.3
Can't say I agree or disagree with anything at this point, just regurgitating Connelly's #s in another format. Not tonight, but eventually will take it a step further to compare with recent O/U records to see if these teams' Totals already favor one side.
For Total players, just to start a list of teams to look into... I added a couple columns to the Connelly Returning Experience export to also look at his projected Total O & D points combined.
So, a team with high % returning O & low % returning D has the largest projected increase in points scored for & against.
A team with a low % returning O & high % returning D has the largest projected decrease in points scored for & against.
Top teams with projected higher scoring games than 2015:
Georgia Tech +8.9
West Virginia +8.1
Maryland +7.7
Illinois +6.6
Georgia Southern +6.5
Clemson +6.5
Minnesota +5.9
Boise State +5.6
Florida International +5.3
UTEP +5.2
Top teams with projected lower scoring games than 2015:
Arkansas -7.7
Buffalo -7.5
Air Force -7.5
Cal -6
Utah -5.7
Indiana -5.5
TCU -5.1
North Texas -4.7
Michigan State -4.6
Oregon -4.3
Can't say I agree or disagree with anything at this point, just regurgitating Connelly's #s in another format. Not tonight, but eventually will take it a step further to compare with recent O/U records to see if these teams' Totals already favor one side.
fast paced O that can't move the ball / underrated... pressure D
#127 O / #15 pace (a play every 21 sec or so) *SO.....likely to get killed vs ANY O that can move the ball FADE....maybe big that 1st Thursday 9/1 at Louisville
WARNING: don't declare .."haha they stink'.. after getting killed by the Cards......NO they don't....vs a weaker team with a smallish / weak OL...the 49'ers can give them a lot of problems *like vs E Michigan at home 9/17.....off Elon (hopefully a semi close game)...........
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
fast paced O that can't move the ball / underrated... pressure D
#127 O / #15 pace (a play every 21 sec or so) *SO.....likely to get killed vs ANY O that can move the ball FADE....maybe big that 1st Thursday 9/1 at Louisville
WARNING: don't declare .."haha they stink'.. after getting killed by the Cards......NO they don't....vs a weaker team with a smallish / weak OL...the 49'ers can give them a lot of problems *like vs E Michigan at home 9/17.....off Elon (hopefully a semi close game)...........
and when I say they don't stink.... *I mean not as much as oddsmakers will (likely) think >> of course they will still stink
After getting hammered at Louisville.....I won't adjust my number for CLT at all....might even raise it a pt or so...if QB / RB compete well....run D slows em down at least
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
and when I say they don't stink.... *I mean not as much as oddsmakers will (likely) think >> of course they will still stink
After getting hammered at Louisville.....I won't adjust my number for CLT at all....might even raise it a pt or so...if QB / RB compete well....run D slows em down at least
meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing $$$ THEN factoring in changes after spring ends.....most every single team will only change 1-3 points.....a select few maybe 5-10.....gaining/losing a great HC or QB....etc..............
I wanted to add to this
topic of how much a team's power rating changes throughout the season. I
do weekly power ratings similar to Sagarin in concept; top teams rate in the
mid to high 90s, etc. I recently (for the most part) finalized my post
2015 season power ratings and I have 38 of 128 teams with preseason to
postseason power ratings that are >+8 or <-8. What's most
interesting to me is that ONLY 13 of 38 (34.2%) teams are from power 5
conferences and 25 of 38 are from non-power 5 conferences (65.8%). So,
the info above from BA is especially true for Power 5 teams. They are
more consistent throughout a full season and from year to year. As a general statement, I
believe this is due to better quality depth with the talent they recruit.
So, as Connelly starts his preview countdown with Conference USA (and
likely the MAC or Sun Belt next), this is a great time to be paying
attention. There is more +/- value
to be found here from one season to another than in the Power 5
conferences. But it certainly is hard
to predict which teams in these conferences will improve or drop off at a high
rate.
A further breakdown of
my numbers above and using a revised cutoff of >+11 or <-11, I have only
3 of 17 power 5 schools in that criteria (Washington +12.3, North Carolina
+11.7, and Clemson +11.3). The other 14 schools all non-power 5.
Revised cutoff again of
>+12.5 or <-12.5 and all 12 teams in that criteria are from non-power 5
conferences. South Florida +20.4,
Connecticut +15.4, Georgia State +13.8, Bowling Green +13.2, Houston +13.1, Old
Dominion -13.1, ULM -13.2, North Texas -13.4, Rice -13.9, ULL -14.3, UTEP
-14.8, Central Florida -21.6. Bottom line, lines are tighter when power 5 teams play on another.
meanwhile establishing a FIRM 2015 Power Ratings.........< a how good/bad were they really type thing $$$ THEN factoring in changes after spring ends.....most every single team will only change 1-3 points.....a select few maybe 5-10.....gaining/losing a great HC or QB....etc..............
I wanted to add to this
topic of how much a team's power rating changes throughout the season. I
do weekly power ratings similar to Sagarin in concept; top teams rate in the
mid to high 90s, etc. I recently (for the most part) finalized my post
2015 season power ratings and I have 38 of 128 teams with preseason to
postseason power ratings that are >+8 or <-8. What's most
interesting to me is that ONLY 13 of 38 (34.2%) teams are from power 5
conferences and 25 of 38 are from non-power 5 conferences (65.8%). So,
the info above from BA is especially true for Power 5 teams. They are
more consistent throughout a full season and from year to year. As a general statement, I
believe this is due to better quality depth with the talent they recruit.
So, as Connelly starts his preview countdown with Conference USA (and
likely the MAC or Sun Belt next), this is a great time to be paying
attention. There is more +/- value
to be found here from one season to another than in the Power 5
conferences. But it certainly is hard
to predict which teams in these conferences will improve or drop off at a high
rate.
A further breakdown of
my numbers above and using a revised cutoff of >+11 or <-11, I have only
3 of 17 power 5 schools in that criteria (Washington +12.3, North Carolina
+11.7, and Clemson +11.3). The other 14 schools all non-power 5.
Revised cutoff again of
>+12.5 or <-12.5 and all 12 teams in that criteria are from non-power 5
conferences. South Florida +20.4,
Connecticut +15.4, Georgia State +13.8, Bowling Green +13.2, Houston +13.1, Old
Dominion -13.1, ULM -13.2, North Texas -13.4, Rice -13.9, ULL -14.3, UTEP
-14.8, Central Florida -21.6. Bottom line, lines are tighter when power 5 teams play on another.
.......So, I must confess, I don’t keep power ratings for all FCS
teams (really just focus on the top conferences that I’m most familiar with
that also play a lot of FBS teams on their non-conference schedule; MVFC, Big
Sky, CAA, etc.).But I have saved the
Sagarin post 2014 and post 2015 ratings for a comparison similar to what I did
above with my own numbers.Note the
slight difference that this FCS comparison is postseason to postseason whereas
my FBS comparison took into account offseason adjustments going into preseason
of 2015 (BTW, if I filter Sagarin’s #s for FBS post ’14 vs. post ’15, there are
50 teams >+8 or <-8 for power ratings, so my offseason adjustments
correctly reduced 12 teams that were borderline “big movers”).So, FCS – there were 11 teams >+7 and 22
teams <-7 when comparing post ’14 to post ’15 Sagarin Ratings.So what, why do I care about FCS
football?For the teams on the list that
played FBS teams in non conference games, the 11 teams that improved +7 or
better were 8-3 ATS vs. FBS teams (4 SU wins as well) and the 22 teams that
were -7 points or more worse than the season before were 4-20 ATS vs. FBS teams.That’s
incredible!There’s certainly some
chicken or the egg, which came first here – did the teams improve so much in
their power rating because of their strong performance vs. FBS teams (and
vice-versa for the teams that were crushed).But I would argue that most of these teams were undervalued / overvalued
based on the previous season’s results.Many
of the ATS margins were not even close.So, I believe there is again some value in knowing (the best one can) in
the offseason which FCS teams are trending up or down due to graduation losses,
coaching changes, D1 transfers, etc.I
hope Phil Steele will release another online FCS preview magazine (apparently I
was one of the few that bought it.His blog
follow up was that sales were not good enough to justify the cost).Anyway, again, there’s value out there in
knowing FCS non-conference opponents as well as non-power 5 teams.
.......So, I must confess, I don’t keep power ratings for all FCS
teams (really just focus on the top conferences that I’m most familiar with
that also play a lot of FBS teams on their non-conference schedule; MVFC, Big
Sky, CAA, etc.).But I have saved the
Sagarin post 2014 and post 2015 ratings for a comparison similar to what I did
above with my own numbers.Note the
slight difference that this FCS comparison is postseason to postseason whereas
my FBS comparison took into account offseason adjustments going into preseason
of 2015 (BTW, if I filter Sagarin’s #s for FBS post ’14 vs. post ’15, there are
50 teams >+8 or <-8 for power ratings, so my offseason adjustments
correctly reduced 12 teams that were borderline “big movers”).So, FCS – there were 11 teams >+7 and 22
teams <-7 when comparing post ’14 to post ’15 Sagarin Ratings.So what, why do I care about FCS
football?For the teams on the list that
played FBS teams in non conference games, the 11 teams that improved +7 or
better were 8-3 ATS vs. FBS teams (4 SU wins as well) and the 22 teams that
were -7 points or more worse than the season before were 4-20 ATS vs. FBS teams.That’s
incredible!There’s certainly some
chicken or the egg, which came first here – did the teams improve so much in
their power rating because of their strong performance vs. FBS teams (and
vice-versa for the teams that were crushed).But I would argue that most of these teams were undervalued / overvalued
based on the previous season’s results.Many
of the ATS margins were not even close.So, I believe there is again some value in knowing (the best one can) in
the offseason which FCS teams are trending up or down due to graduation losses,
coaching changes, D1 transfers, etc.I
hope Phil Steele will release another online FCS preview magazine (apparently I
was one of the few that bought it.His blog
follow up was that sales were not good enough to justify the cost).Anyway, again, there’s value out there in
knowing FCS non-conference opponents as well as non-power 5 teams.
off a really bad year....for them *Bailiff an outstanding HC so look for them to bounce back...but maybe best to stay away early
play on ....as a favorite (#1 since 2012)...18-7 ATS...especially at home 11-3-1 ATS *after a bye (#1) 7-0-1...or off a loss 12-8-1 ATS
Basically (as reminded by BC) ....Rice is a great bet vs teams similar in athletic ability.....a bad one (or avoid/approach with caution)....vs more athletic teams *so note the HORROR story for Texas fans....as it appeared the Owls matched up very well vs the Horns yikes
UTSA
new HC is Frank Wilson from LSU (RB's / top recruiter) *signed a few transfers / JUCO's on D that could help immediately....new OC is a top QB coach / new DC (as always) claims they will be more aggressive! **they do have a nice RB in Williams / decent WR's and OL
Could be improved / could be worse = STAY AWAY
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.
off a really bad year....for them *Bailiff an outstanding HC so look for them to bounce back...but maybe best to stay away early
play on ....as a favorite (#1 since 2012)...18-7 ATS...especially at home 11-3-1 ATS *after a bye (#1) 7-0-1...or off a loss 12-8-1 ATS
Basically (as reminded by BC) ....Rice is a great bet vs teams similar in athletic ability.....a bad one (or avoid/approach with caution)....vs more athletic teams *so note the HORROR story for Texas fans....as it appeared the Owls matched up very well vs the Horns yikes
UTSA
new HC is Frank Wilson from LSU (RB's / top recruiter) *signed a few transfers / JUCO's on D that could help immediately....new OC is a top QB coach / new DC (as always) claims they will be more aggressive! **they do have a nice RB in Williams / decent WR's and OL
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