BRIDGE PLAYS: REG SEASON 19-13 BOWLS 6-3 TOTAL 25-16 61%
Let’s
start with much thanks to the readers, posters, writers and exciters on the
forum. We started posting Week 4 and we learned a lot, won a little and had a
fun ride with all of you. No official play on the Natty, I’ll just have a
little fun money on this one but I’ll share a few of my thoughts.
To start with Clem was never a team I took
in much this year so off the bat were a little more in the dark w them than we'd
like. Also didn't take in much of MSU/Bama so more difficulty for me looking
at this one. We did play a few bama games this year.
What's clear for Clem's D is they will need to slow down Bama’s run while
maintaining integrity in the D backfield. Maybe then bama is a little less
efficient on O. - Bama’s shown they can do 350 yds of offense and
put a team's light's out because they lull w the run then pick great spots to
pass but also make yards up in other areas – (see a few stat notes in the next
post on that)... and it kills teams… mistakes seem to give bama’s O more trouble
than DEEZ do. If they do that maybe they also make Bama pass more than
they want to. Bama went over 30Att’s against MSU… hit 81% completions but run
not exactly forced to pass. Far and away the highest comp.% MSU gave up this
year. It’s been under 30att’s since all the way back with Ark and they still
hit 72% in that one but much closer game, lower total. Against Miss, 59
Att’s…54% and they were in desperation mode for much of the game, clearly
not their game plan. I would have expected a dynamic O like Okla to have
survived better with their rush getting shut down (67yds)…then again, they also
had 67 rush yds against Texas. Anyway Clem cut off Okla’s legs and the body
fell. Maybe a good strategy. Questions remain, are
Clem’s DB’s athletic enough to not creep up or otherwise get out of position? That
would be a big help if they hold big plays off the edge/safeties keep them
bottled up in the middle.. And will Shaq Lawson be available?... he’s a guy
they might want playing.
Bama’s
D is great at moving team’s off their game plan particularly with that Rush D and it’s deadly when teams are one-dimensional and forced to find ways to move the ball. Bama rush D gave up
>100 total rush yds twice .UGA (could only run) and Tenn (did get some
traction passing, but only 14 points)… Everyone else under 2YPC.. YIKES… also
bama gave up > 20 points only twice, Ole Miss (5TO’s) and A&M’s very
strong D effort helped get the O a few points and Kirk took a kick for a TD
also. We did see a couple decent 2 dimensional offenses like Ark and Tenn keep
the game close… not because they scored, just didn’t just hand the ball back to
Bama every 4 plays.. Florida survived for a little while with unexpected big
pass plays and Bama miscues...all that is neat but none of these are exactly a
game plan. So you kindof see the pieces that might get Clem points in this game
and they have more than a few pieces between the rush, pass, mobile QB, various
WR options including a big tight end option (35 rec's but 7 TD's!) and a good
OL. So this should be the most complete O Bama's faced and should make for some
opportunities others didn't have. Does this keep Bama’s O off the field? Maybe
Kiff makes calls he normally wouldn’t make with Clem landing some scores
early?... IDK.. I would expect Clem to work much quicker than the other teams
and maybe the best bet is a higher total.
7 points
feels like an accurate line and untimely mistakes or miscues might make or
break it. Total is 51.5 which seems a shade low. The line and total dictate win
for Bama 29-22.
Can’t
count out Clem for a win though especially since the O should be more dynamic
than anything bama has seen this year. I
think Clem’s best shot is with their offense making bama move faster than they want and vice versa if we're to feel strong about bama taking this by a TD they gotta play their game,
control the ball and wear out that Clem D late. So for now can only say we lean Clem
and the Over, Bama and the Under…Captain Obvious couldn't have said it
better. Haha.
BRIDGE PLAYS: REG SEASON 19-13 BOWLS 6-3 TOTAL 25-16 61%
Let’s
start with much thanks to the readers, posters, writers and exciters on the
forum. We started posting Week 4 and we learned a lot, won a little and had a
fun ride with all of you. No official play on the Natty, I’ll just have a
little fun money on this one but I’ll share a few of my thoughts.
To start with Clem was never a team I took
in much this year so off the bat were a little more in the dark w them than we'd
like. Also didn't take in much of MSU/Bama so more difficulty for me looking
at this one. We did play a few bama games this year.
What's clear for Clem's D is they will need to slow down Bama’s run while
maintaining integrity in the D backfield. Maybe then bama is a little less
efficient on O. - Bama’s shown they can do 350 yds of offense and
put a team's light's out because they lull w the run then pick great spots to
pass but also make yards up in other areas – (see a few stat notes in the next
post on that)... and it kills teams… mistakes seem to give bama’s O more trouble
than DEEZ do. If they do that maybe they also make Bama pass more than
they want to. Bama went over 30Att’s against MSU… hit 81% completions but run
not exactly forced to pass. Far and away the highest comp.% MSU gave up this
year. It’s been under 30att’s since all the way back with Ark and they still
hit 72% in that one but much closer game, lower total. Against Miss, 59
Att’s…54% and they were in desperation mode for much of the game, clearly
not their game plan. I would have expected a dynamic O like Okla to have
survived better with their rush getting shut down (67yds)…then again, they also
had 67 rush yds against Texas. Anyway Clem cut off Okla’s legs and the body
fell. Maybe a good strategy. Questions remain, are
Clem’s DB’s athletic enough to not creep up or otherwise get out of position? That
would be a big help if they hold big plays off the edge/safeties keep them
bottled up in the middle.. And will Shaq Lawson be available?... he’s a guy
they might want playing.
Bama’s
D is great at moving team’s off their game plan particularly with that Rush D and it’s deadly when teams are one-dimensional and forced to find ways to move the ball. Bama rush D gave up
>100 total rush yds twice .UGA (could only run) and Tenn (did get some
traction passing, but only 14 points)… Everyone else under 2YPC.. YIKES… also
bama gave up > 20 points only twice, Ole Miss (5TO’s) and A&M’s very
strong D effort helped get the O a few points and Kirk took a kick for a TD
also. We did see a couple decent 2 dimensional offenses like Ark and Tenn keep
the game close… not because they scored, just didn’t just hand the ball back to
Bama every 4 plays.. Florida survived for a little while with unexpected big
pass plays and Bama miscues...all that is neat but none of these are exactly a
game plan. So you kindof see the pieces that might get Clem points in this game
and they have more than a few pieces between the rush, pass, mobile QB, various
WR options including a big tight end option (35 rec's but 7 TD's!) and a good
OL. So this should be the most complete O Bama's faced and should make for some
opportunities others didn't have. Does this keep Bama’s O off the field? Maybe
Kiff makes calls he normally wouldn’t make with Clem landing some scores
early?... IDK.. I would expect Clem to work much quicker than the other teams
and maybe the best bet is a higher total.
7 points
feels like an accurate line and untimely mistakes or miscues might make or
break it. Total is 51.5 which seems a shade low. The line and total dictate win
for Bama 29-22.
Can’t
count out Clem for a win though especially since the O should be more dynamic
than anything bama has seen this year. I
think Clem’s best shot is with their offense making bama move faster than they want and vice versa if we're to feel strong about bama taking this by a TD they gotta play their game,
control the ball and wear out that Clem D late. So for now can only say we lean Clem
and the Over, Bama and the Under…Captain Obvious couldn't have said it
better. Haha.
- Punt
ret yards: Bama 585… Clem, 41.... wtf? - INTs
and ret yds: Bama 18 for 462… Clem 16 for 137... hidden yards... - TFL’s
For/Against: Bama 101/92….Clem 117/64.. lower TFLs against Clem than expected. - Sacks
For/Agains: Bama 50/21…. Clem 43/16 - same comment - 3rd
Down % on O/D: Bama 36/27... Clem 48/25… - Def PBUs/QB
Hurries: Bama: 73/70…11 QB hurries on Fla on 26 Att’s!!!.....Clem 46/37…0 QB
hurries against Okla on 43 ATT’s but 5 sacks.
- FG’s:
Bama: 73%, Clem 86% - TO Margin: Bama +9…(-5 against Ole Miss, only 2 int’s in the last 8 games!!!)... Clem -1…and were +2 and +3 against FSU and ND respectively.
So a few hidden yards noted for bama, some good looking offensive stats for Clem, Clem prob cannot survive losing the TO battle....
- Punt
ret yards: Bama 585… Clem, 41.... wtf? - INTs
and ret yds: Bama 18 for 462… Clem 16 for 137... hidden yards... - TFL’s
For/Against: Bama 101/92….Clem 117/64.. lower TFLs against Clem than expected. - Sacks
For/Agains: Bama 50/21…. Clem 43/16 - same comment - 3rd
Down % on O/D: Bama 36/27... Clem 48/25… - Def PBUs/QB
Hurries: Bama: 73/70…11 QB hurries on Fla on 26 Att’s!!!.....Clem 46/37…0 QB
hurries against Okla on 43 ATT’s but 5 sacks.
- FG’s:
Bama: 73%, Clem 86% - TO Margin: Bama +9…(-5 against Ole Miss, only 2 int’s in the last 8 games!!!)... Clem -1…and were +2 and +3 against FSU and ND respectively.
So a few hidden yards noted for bama, some good looking offensive stats for Clem, Clem prob cannot survive losing the TO battle....
a huge key in this game will be the health of Watson, I'm concerned if they use him too much early he could get hurt, I thought he was used on his feet way too often against OU, that's very risky, his arm is what can be a weapon against Bama, his feet won't help as much against that defensive line IMO
a huge key in this game will be the health of Watson, I'm concerned if they use him too much early he could get hurt, I thought he was used on his feet way too often against OU, that's very risky, his arm is what can be a weapon against Bama, his feet won't help as much against that defensive line IMO
a huge key in this game will be the health of Watson, I'm concerned if they use him too much early he could get hurt, I thought he was used on his feet way too often against OU, that's very risky, his arm is what can be a weapon against Bama, his feet won't help as much against that defensive line IMO
Thanks for dropping in buddy and kickin the knowledge . Hope to see you get a natty thread going always good convos you get going
Agreed on Watson...where will a QB draw go where it's not a big huge risk and broken play runs could be a disaster too. Could get Colt McCoy Syndrome pretty quick. I guess I like the threat to run combined with other weapons they have... they can take Dak's draws and the pass out of the game leaving nowhere to turn but Clem seems to have a few more tools in the belt from what I've seen at least. Will be interesting if they can keep bama on their toes at all or if it's just biz as usual.... especially in the 2nd half.
Also, I just reminded myself Kirby Smart will be settling into his new spot at UGA soon and sounds like he's been busy, UGA announced he hired 3 coaches which no way he's taking that lightly like "bing bang boom you're hired" what with in person interviews, etc, also a brief appearance at the tax slayer bowl, and the more unlikely team is now the opponent on not a month notice. I figure Saban & Co have a solid transition plan for him make sure they do what they have to and be fair to him to do UGA stuff but it just seems one coaching job is enough in that biz... so not a hard edge here but prepared to kill like w MSU, mayyybe a shade less prep on his part?... another thing I'll look for early because that guy is always spot on. Good luck buddy!
a huge key in this game will be the health of Watson, I'm concerned if they use him too much early he could get hurt, I thought he was used on his feet way too often against OU, that's very risky, his arm is what can be a weapon against Bama, his feet won't help as much against that defensive line IMO
Thanks for dropping in buddy and kickin the knowledge . Hope to see you get a natty thread going always good convos you get going
Agreed on Watson...where will a QB draw go where it's not a big huge risk and broken play runs could be a disaster too. Could get Colt McCoy Syndrome pretty quick. I guess I like the threat to run combined with other weapons they have... they can take Dak's draws and the pass out of the game leaving nowhere to turn but Clem seems to have a few more tools in the belt from what I've seen at least. Will be interesting if they can keep bama on their toes at all or if it's just biz as usual.... especially in the 2nd half.
Also, I just reminded myself Kirby Smart will be settling into his new spot at UGA soon and sounds like he's been busy, UGA announced he hired 3 coaches which no way he's taking that lightly like "bing bang boom you're hired" what with in person interviews, etc, also a brief appearance at the tax slayer bowl, and the more unlikely team is now the opponent on not a month notice. I figure Saban & Co have a solid transition plan for him make sure they do what they have to and be fair to him to do UGA stuff but it just seems one coaching job is enough in that biz... so not a hard edge here but prepared to kill like w MSU, mayyybe a shade less prep on his part?... another thing I'll look for early because that guy is always spot on. Good luck buddy!
- Odds tilting toward clemmy and 5 dimes showing +6.5 yet the cash is (reportedly) flowing in on bama eh?.... well that's weeeeeird.
- Shaq Lawson probable per Don Best's inj report. Injured early against Okla.
- Clemson got NCAA waiver to practice as much as they want. I'd imagine they were just doing that anyway.
- Kirby stackin his UGA staff w Mel Tucker, Bama's DB's coach announced today so at least 4 coaches hired in the last week for him. Chip Kelly interviewing w retained bama coaching staff... .seems like a few non-Natty related activities goin on...
- Odds tilting toward clemmy and 5 dimes showing +6.5 yet the cash is (reportedly) flowing in on bama eh?.... well that's weeeeeird.
- Shaq Lawson probable per Don Best's inj report. Injured early against Okla.
- Clemson got NCAA waiver to practice as much as they want. I'd imagine they were just doing that anyway.
- Kirby stackin his UGA staff w Mel Tucker, Bama's DB's coach announced today so at least 4 coaches hired in the last week for him. Chip Kelly interviewing w retained bama coaching staff... .seems like a few non-Natty related activities goin on...
Launched a few bucks on Clem +7. Again not offish Bridge Plays since we can't get confident enough but think the risk particularly Bama -7 is just too much and would be weary of hitting that line. Even Bama at -6.5 i just can't do it so takin Clem +7 now or might be stuck under a TD by game time.
Also hit the ML and Over for very bite sized amounts. Might launch bigger on O/U in-game, I think we need to see the tempo early is Clem spreading the ball around? Are mixing up the run and pass? Is bama on their heels a bit? If it starts looking like all Kirby's UGA work last week put a ding in their game plan we prob launch over because I fully expect Kiffin to depart from a heavy run plan and start trying to air it out with Coker (aka the bottom half of his play card)
BUUUT... If instead we see those bama DT's/LB's pressure Watson early... are the corners all over those WR's? Does the Clem OL just not stack up?... I don't think their O figures out how to pass block bama later in the game and expect them to rely more on their run game late. that's when I'd launch it Under.. maybe clear my Clem bet if I can check all those boxes because clemmy can't be one dimension and stick around in this one.
Good luck and hope we close out this year with those CHA CHINGING soundz raining down!
Launched a few bucks on Clem +7. Again not offish Bridge Plays since we can't get confident enough but think the risk particularly Bama -7 is just too much and would be weary of hitting that line. Even Bama at -6.5 i just can't do it so takin Clem +7 now or might be stuck under a TD by game time.
Also hit the ML and Over for very bite sized amounts. Might launch bigger on O/U in-game, I think we need to see the tempo early is Clem spreading the ball around? Are mixing up the run and pass? Is bama on their heels a bit? If it starts looking like all Kirby's UGA work last week put a ding in their game plan we prob launch over because I fully expect Kiffin to depart from a heavy run plan and start trying to air it out with Coker (aka the bottom half of his play card)
BUUUT... If instead we see those bama DT's/LB's pressure Watson early... are the corners all over those WR's? Does the Clem OL just not stack up?... I don't think their O figures out how to pass block bama later in the game and expect them to rely more on their run game late. that's when I'd launch it Under.. maybe clear my Clem bet if I can check all those boxes because clemmy can't be one dimension and stick around in this one.
Good luck and hope we close out this year with those CHA CHINGING soundz raining down!
Watch out for an in-game under w some value bake in if we see that Clem OL unable to handle theze bama boyz up front. Can't go too low but if we can't fear low 40's and if the mood is right...maybe high 30's. ... 2 teams over 20 pts on bama this year and could very welll stay that way if it's just not working out for dem dabo boyz. GL and Let's Close this season out w some fun!
Watch out for an in-game under w some value bake in if we see that Clem OL unable to handle theze bama boyz up front. Can't go too low but if we can't fear low 40's and if the mood is right...maybe high 30's. ... 2 teams over 20 pts on bama this year and could very welll stay that way if it's just not working out for dem dabo boyz. GL and Let's Close this season out w some fun!
BRIDGE PLAYS: REG SEASON 19-13 BOWLS 6-3 TOTAL 25-16 61%
No Offish play on Clem as mentioned so the record just stands .... Although we were on Clem +7 for a few bucks and in the end, what did we say?... Bama never saw anything like Watson, and bama couldn't cover all the options the O had and WOW the D which was very impressive throughout...I struggle to understand how either side was certain in this one... clearing a TD or even the 6.5 just ain't a gimme between diff conferences and 100% new matchups never seen by either team. SEC did kill'em in the end, almost litterally, and I will say there may be something to the whole "SEC schedule" argument because everyone on Clem would be dead by Week 4.
Also, was that a little tooooo Mooosey for some at the end?... sure I feel a little dirty BUT +7 was in hand for about 99% of the game and I recall another team besides Clem scored a TD (insurance variety) w about a minute left... whatever you call it one side was destined to feel dirty after this one. But in the end, tough one to call, we leaned and bet right, would do it again today if Clem weren't all in intensive care.
Hope you enjoyed the thread, thanks to the readers and posters who dropped in. Special shouts to UGA, Lion, Mega, Wahoo, a few others who call me on my BS.. and everyone else making the forum BETTER FOR THE BETTORS because this place would obviously suck if you weren't here..... Welp, I'm now entering emotional dormancy so time to hibernate and I'll see you next year..
BRIDGE PLAYS: REG SEASON 19-13 BOWLS 6-3 TOTAL 25-16 61%
No Offish play on Clem as mentioned so the record just stands .... Although we were on Clem +7 for a few bucks and in the end, what did we say?... Bama never saw anything like Watson, and bama couldn't cover all the options the O had and WOW the D which was very impressive throughout...I struggle to understand how either side was certain in this one... clearing a TD or even the 6.5 just ain't a gimme between diff conferences and 100% new matchups never seen by either team. SEC did kill'em in the end, almost litterally, and I will say there may be something to the whole "SEC schedule" argument because everyone on Clem would be dead by Week 4.
Also, was that a little tooooo Mooosey for some at the end?... sure I feel a little dirty BUT +7 was in hand for about 99% of the game and I recall another team besides Clem scored a TD (insurance variety) w about a minute left... whatever you call it one side was destined to feel dirty after this one. But in the end, tough one to call, we leaned and bet right, would do it again today if Clem weren't all in intensive care.
Hope you enjoyed the thread, thanks to the readers and posters who dropped in. Special shouts to UGA, Lion, Mega, Wahoo, a few others who call me on my BS.. and everyone else making the forum BETTER FOR THE BETTORS because this place would obviously suck if you weren't here..... Welp, I'm now entering emotional dormancy so time to hibernate and I'll see you next year..
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