MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
A lot of bad luck sprinkled in for the Cuse the last 2 weeks...suffered from some poor play calling too.
Cuse has been good ATS at home in these primetime games in the Marrone/Shafer era.
Dome will be rocking!
I'm biased of course...and I was hoping for 6 too, but I think they can get it done.
MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
A lot of bad luck sprinkled in for the Cuse the last 2 weeks...suffered from some poor play calling too.
Cuse has been good ATS at home in these primetime games in the Marrone/Shafer era.
Dome will be rocking!
I'm biased of course...and I was hoping for 6 too, but I think they can get it done.
UGA....I would play USC up to 13.5 buddy - have the fair line at 17 so would want to cover at least one key number (14).....As always - no more than 2-3% bankroll on any play - GL buddy !
Fresno 3 SD St
Not much to see here - waiting for the total....Fresno got the cash for us last wk.....Played a really tough schedule to start the season - almost over the top - and now have recovered and think they are on an upswing.....Having said that still only beat S utah and NM so need at least one decent win before win back them as favs - this would qualify....HC is 15-1 SU at home - only loss this yr to CORN....Last 3G between these 2....35-28 F 52-40 F 35-28 SD....SD St been a decent road team under HC - 11-7 SU - 0-2 this yr including close one at UNC - a game that does not look as good to us now....We have Fresno as a small fav in this one - so do Sagarin ratings after HF accounted for.....lean Fresno - lean over whatever number pops up unless it is stupid high....PASS for now - unlikely this game makes the card
UGA....I would play USC up to 13.5 buddy - have the fair line at 17 so would want to cover at least one key number (14).....As always - no more than 2-3% bankroll on any play - GL buddy !
Fresno 3 SD St
Not much to see here - waiting for the total....Fresno got the cash for us last wk.....Played a really tough schedule to start the season - almost over the top - and now have recovered and think they are on an upswing.....Having said that still only beat S utah and NM so need at least one decent win before win back them as favs - this would qualify....HC is 15-1 SU at home - only loss this yr to CORN....Last 3G between these 2....35-28 F 52-40 F 35-28 SD....SD St been a decent road team under HC - 11-7 SU - 0-2 this yr including close one at UNC - a game that does not look as good to us now....We have Fresno as a small fav in this one - so do Sagarin ratings after HF accounted for.....lean Fresno - lean over whatever number pops up unless it is stupid high....PASS for now - unlikely this game makes the card
Have Tennessee as a small fav - another team that got the cash for us last wk.....They are officially on the MEGALOCKS MAN CRUSH LIST just a little worried about their QB being banged up - yes he is probable - but my goodnessgraciousalmighty - do not want to see that backup in there again #deerintheheadlights last wk in limited action - Vols really growing on us like that QB, HC, Jalen Hurd is a beast....D scrappy.....We are going to take a pass on this one tho for 3 reasons even tho leanage to Vols.....1) Vols off big game - draining? 2) Florida off bye - helpful ? 3) Florida has beat them 9 straight - yes Miss St beat LSU for the first time in recorded history this yr but that was at dog - dont want to pee into the wind vs that stat as a fav - just how we roll 4) Not buying into the Florida death chat yet - what can you take from a loss to Bama (expected) and killing EMich (expected)..>>Kentucky game looks better now - maybe they are good?? Florida nice balanced offense and #1 in turnover margin + the intangibles we note above.....just have to take a PASS but another game we cant wait to watch
Have Tennessee as a small fav - another team that got the cash for us last wk.....They are officially on the MEGALOCKS MAN CRUSH LIST just a little worried about their QB being banged up - yes he is probable - but my goodnessgraciousalmighty - do not want to see that backup in there again #deerintheheadlights last wk in limited action - Vols really growing on us like that QB, HC, Jalen Hurd is a beast....D scrappy.....We are going to take a pass on this one tho for 3 reasons even tho leanage to Vols.....1) Vols off big game - draining? 2) Florida off bye - helpful ? 3) Florida has beat them 9 straight - yes Miss St beat LSU for the first time in recorded history this yr but that was at dog - dont want to pee into the wind vs that stat as a fav - just how we roll 4) Not buying into the Florida death chat yet - what can you take from a loss to Bama (expected) and killing EMich (expected)..>>Kentucky game looks better now - maybe they are good?? Florida nice balanced offense and #1 in turnover margin + the intangibles we note above.....just have to take a PASS but another game we cant wait to watch
UGA....I would play USC up to 13.5 buddy - have the fair line at 17 so would want to cover at least one key number (14).....As always - no more than 2-3% bankroll on any play - GL buddy !
Fresno 3 SD St
Not much to see here - waiting for the total....Fresno got the cash for us last wk.....Played a really tough schedule to start the season - almost over the top - and now have recovered and think they are on an upswing.....Having said that still only beat S utah and NM so need at least one decent win before win back them as favs - this would qualify....HC is 15-1 SU at home - only loss this yr to CORN....Last 3G between these 2....35-28 F 52-40 F 35-28 SD....SD St been a decent road team under HC - 11-7 SU - 0-2 this yr including close one at UNC - a game that does not look as good to us now....We have Fresno as a small fav in this one - so do Sagarin ratings after HF accounted for.....lean Fresno - lean over whatever number pops up unless it is stupid high....PASS for now - unlikely this game makes the card
NOTE TO SUBSCRIBERS
Just checked up Upside's thread - SD St QB likely out - not playing total now no matter what....strong lean fresno - but need to check out word on the street re backup - 99.9% pass - no way are we playing SD St tho...GL
UGA....I would play USC up to 13.5 buddy - have the fair line at 17 so would want to cover at least one key number (14).....As always - no more than 2-3% bankroll on any play - GL buddy !
Fresno 3 SD St
Not much to see here - waiting for the total....Fresno got the cash for us last wk.....Played a really tough schedule to start the season - almost over the top - and now have recovered and think they are on an upswing.....Having said that still only beat S utah and NM so need at least one decent win before win back them as favs - this would qualify....HC is 15-1 SU at home - only loss this yr to CORN....Last 3G between these 2....35-28 F 52-40 F 35-28 SD....SD St been a decent road team under HC - 11-7 SU - 0-2 this yr including close one at UNC - a game that does not look as good to us now....We have Fresno as a small fav in this one - so do Sagarin ratings after HF accounted for.....lean Fresno - lean over whatever number pops up unless it is stupid high....PASS for now - unlikely this game makes the card
NOTE TO SUBSCRIBERS
Just checked up Upside's thread - SD St QB likely out - not playing total now no matter what....strong lean fresno - but need to check out word on the street re backup - 99.9% pass - no way are we playing SD St tho...GL
Just checked up Upside's thread - SD St QB likely out - not playing total now no matter what....strong lean fresno - but need to check out word on the street re backup - 99.9% pass - no way are we playing SD St tho...GL
CHANGE OUR MIND LIKE A CHICK GAME OF THE WEEK
Fresno -2.5 -125
Ok - we have rules that we like to hold to 95% of the time - crossed this game off means no play - but further review had to play it - pls gambling gods have mercy on us
Will not rehash earlier comments in thread
Summarize
- Fresno improving
- Fresno very good at home
- SD St cannot defend the pass; shredded by UNLV last wk
New Info
- Sd St QB out; True F making first start on road - CROWD WILL BE ROCKING GUY loves this
- Best WR Ruffin out (1136 Y last yr - only returning WR with more than 250Y)
- Leading WR in Y this yr is Q - say he plays - who cares
Matchup favors Fresno - Pass game should have fun; Run game good enough for balance - Almost never bet a game where a new QB making first start - exception is true freshman on the road.....Fresno still better than most think IMO after getting destroyed in early games vs killer teams like USC and Neb.
Just checked up Upside's thread - SD St QB likely out - not playing total now no matter what....strong lean fresno - but need to check out word on the street re backup - 99.9% pass - no way are we playing SD St tho...GL
CHANGE OUR MIND LIKE A CHICK GAME OF THE WEEK
Fresno -2.5 -125
Ok - we have rules that we like to hold to 95% of the time - crossed this game off means no play - but further review had to play it - pls gambling gods have mercy on us
Will not rehash earlier comments in thread
Summarize
- Fresno improving
- Fresno very good at home
- SD St cannot defend the pass; shredded by UNLV last wk
New Info
- Sd St QB out; True F making first start on road - CROWD WILL BE ROCKING GUY loves this
- Best WR Ruffin out (1136 Y last yr - only returning WR with more than 250Y)
- Leading WR in Y this yr is Q - say he plays - who cares
Matchup favors Fresno - Pass game should have fun; Run game good enough for balance - Almost never bet a game where a new QB making first start - exception is true freshman on the road.....Fresno still better than most think IMO after getting destroyed in early games vs killer teams like USC and Neb.
MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
Total was 46, now 45.5 or something.
I was looking into this game as I pre-set UL at -7. I was on ND (book never offered Cuse TT - grr...) and watched. Cuse got FIVE, yes five, turnovers, and still only managed 15 pts. They did end up with 400+ yds on offense, but they had ample opportunities. They beat a Cmich team who was without any playmakers, and Nova. Beat by a decent MD team who sat on a lead, and then a looking ahead ND squad despite the +4 turnover ratio.
As far as UL - is their D legit? Wake had 100 total yards of offense vs UL. -22 on the ground. A very conservative gameplan for new QB Bonnafon (49 rush vs 32 pass) Only wake TD a fumble in the end zone. Lost to a vastly improved VA by 2, squad whose only losses were close to ranked teams. Beat the U, only allowing 70 on grund to Duke J.
Metrics love this Louisville D (ranked 4th in nation ), Cuse is pretty one dimensional - run or nothing at this point. I hate to be "How are they gonna score guy" but how are they gonna score?
Certainly I'll be all over Cuse TT UNDER if offered....
MEGALOCKS COMPUTER COMPLEX spit out 24-21 Cards for this one - Do not see much value here - was hoping for 6+ to take Cuse....L Qb still ? this wk.....L has not given up 300Y yet on D - and as we saw last wk - Cuse offense is not exactly explosive - a lot of difficulty MATRICULATING the ball down the field - Hunt their leading rusher but not super explosive - got a bit banged up LW - and only 1 TD pass....do not see much to go on here - got says Cuse but hard to judge them only beat Creampuff U and CMichigan so far......waiting for total - any way they put up 49-50 ?? PASS for now
Total was 46, now 45.5 or something.
I was looking into this game as I pre-set UL at -7. I was on ND (book never offered Cuse TT - grr...) and watched. Cuse got FIVE, yes five, turnovers, and still only managed 15 pts. They did end up with 400+ yds on offense, but they had ample opportunities. They beat a Cmich team who was without any playmakers, and Nova. Beat by a decent MD team who sat on a lead, and then a looking ahead ND squad despite the +4 turnover ratio.
As far as UL - is their D legit? Wake had 100 total yards of offense vs UL. -22 on the ground. A very conservative gameplan for new QB Bonnafon (49 rush vs 32 pass) Only wake TD a fumble in the end zone. Lost to a vastly improved VA by 2, squad whose only losses were close to ranked teams. Beat the U, only allowing 70 on grund to Duke J.
Metrics love this Louisville D (ranked 4th in nation ), Cuse is pretty one dimensional - run or nothing at this point. I hate to be "How are they gonna score guy" but how are they gonna score?
Certainly I'll be all over Cuse TT UNDER if offered....
Not gonna argue with They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy - Utah St is not going to win the game - but we will try and make a case why taking +21 is a good deal.......
1) We don't care about Chucky playing QB or not. Period. He has not been himself this yr even when playing
CK QB - 92 att 55% 4.6/att 2-4 td-int
DG QB - 62 att 61% 6.3/att 3-2 td-int
CK was not even running well so yes they lose theoretical mobility - but Utah is now well used to life sans-Chucky. Let it go. Our point is not that Chucky is not like D McNabb/Brady/Unitas combo but better than that - just that the QB situation is neutral.....i.e. DG at QB vs banged up Chucky....100% Chucky would obviously be ideal but he is not healthy even if he plays....We did a lot of digging - and the best we could find was that it is a smoke screen getting byu to at least think he might play - but it looks as tho he will try to redshirt and get another yr next yr....just speculation and an fyi for you sickos - FWIW info only could be crap
2) Utah St D is still very good - #9 in yds per play D
3) THE NIBLET - 5'7 Jojo Natson is canning LIGHTNING .....9.3/rush - 8.6 reception...punt return wizard
4) Utah St is #18 in sks/game - BYU is #120 in sacks allowed/game
5) BYU is #124 in penalty yds allowed (Utah St also gets a lot)
6) BYU was outgained 519-332 vs Va at home - gave up 37 first downs...WTF....overall their D is 91st in FD allowed
7) series history - its a rivalry - utah / utah st done so this is the utah game.....Last 5 games Utah St would have covered 21 every time including one outright win and one 3 pt loss.
So yes BYU is good - QB is one of our favs...Just saying +21 might not be a horrible play.
Not gonna argue with They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy - Utah St is not going to win the game - but we will try and make a case why taking +21 is a good deal.......
1) We don't care about Chucky playing QB or not. Period. He has not been himself this yr even when playing
CK QB - 92 att 55% 4.6/att 2-4 td-int
DG QB - 62 att 61% 6.3/att 3-2 td-int
CK was not even running well so yes they lose theoretical mobility - but Utah is now well used to life sans-Chucky. Let it go. Our point is not that Chucky is not like D McNabb/Brady/Unitas combo but better than that - just that the QB situation is neutral.....i.e. DG at QB vs banged up Chucky....100% Chucky would obviously be ideal but he is not healthy even if he plays....We did a lot of digging - and the best we could find was that it is a smoke screen getting byu to at least think he might play - but it looks as tho he will try to redshirt and get another yr next yr....just speculation and an fyi for you sickos - FWIW info only could be crap
2) Utah St D is still very good - #9 in yds per play D
3) THE NIBLET - 5'7 Jojo Natson is canning LIGHTNING .....9.3/rush - 8.6 reception...punt return wizard
4) Utah St is #18 in sks/game - BYU is #120 in sacks allowed/game
5) BYU is #124 in penalty yds allowed (Utah St also gets a lot)
6) BYU was outgained 519-332 vs Va at home - gave up 37 first downs...WTF....overall their D is 91st in FD allowed
7) series history - its a rivalry - utah / utah st done so this is the utah game.....Last 5 games Utah St would have covered 21 every time including one outright win and one 3 pt loss.
So yes BYU is good - QB is one of our favs...Just saying +21 might not be a horrible play.
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