the Dog Days of August are a time in which savvy run line players can make a fortune. The object is to look at super-surgers (those teams with playoff motivation)
against towel-tossers (the teams who have little hope to make the
promised playoff land). With the road team, having a historically
higher percent chance to cover the run line on the road, it only makes
sense to look to fade the towel-tossers when they are at home.
Using 5 of the worst teams in the National League as our sample, here is how that situation has played out.
*28-3 … Place MLB picks against Atlanta, Philly, Miami, Milwaukee and
Colorado on the run line in games where they are a home underdog.
But wait! This situation was equally successful on the road.
*28-5 … Place MLB picks against the same 5 teams on the run line (Atlanta, Philly, Miami, Milwaukee and Colorado) when they are a road underdog.
*56-8 (87.5%) winners … simply by playing against 5 of the worst
teams in the National League when they have taken the field in August of
2015 when they are installed as the underdog.
the Dog Days of August are a time in which savvy run line players can make a fortune. The object is to look at super-surgers (those teams with playoff motivation)
against towel-tossers (the teams who have little hope to make the
promised playoff land). With the road team, having a historically
higher percent chance to cover the run line on the road, it only makes
sense to look to fade the towel-tossers when they are at home.
Using 5 of the worst teams in the National League as our sample, here is how that situation has played out.
*28-3 … Place MLB picks against Atlanta, Philly, Miami, Milwaukee and
Colorado on the run line in games where they are a home underdog.
But wait! This situation was equally successful on the road.
*28-5 … Place MLB picks against the same 5 teams on the run line (Atlanta, Philly, Miami, Milwaukee and Colorado) when they are a road underdog.
*56-8 (87.5%) winners … simply by playing against 5 of the worst
teams in the National League when they have taken the field in August of
2015 when they are installed as the underdog.
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