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[MLB Betting] Topic: September Dogs - Starting with $4k |
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herbshack |
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#101 Posted: 9/15/2012 11:02:43 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack: For today September 14th:
#929 Baltimore Orioles +138 ($59 to win $81.42) Lost
over the Oakland Athletics
Passing today.
New Bankroll: +$4,361.03(from $4000) |
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pauliswilling |
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#102 Posted: 9/15/2012 9:04:17 PM ticket#5292397
Sep 15 08:05 PM
Sep 15 08:05 PM
| Internet | 09/15/2012 07:10 PM |
MLB
MLB
| parlay (2 teams)
[1977] 1H SEATTLE MARINERS +165
( J VARGAS -L / S FELDMAN -R )
[1977] TOTAL O5-120 (1H SEATTLE MARINERS Vrs 1H TEXAS RANGERS)
( J VARGAS -L / S FELDMAN -R )
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ticket#5290734
Sep 15 07:12 PM
| Internet | 09/15/2012 06:40 PM |
MLB
| straight bet
[957] TOTAL O8½-115 (NEW YORK METS Vrs MILWAUKEE BREWERS)
( J MEJIA -R / S MARCUM -R ) |
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herbshack |
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#103 Posted: 9/16/2012 11:36:34 AM
#929 Baltimore Orioles +136 ($118 to win $160.48) over the Oakland Athletics
*List: Wolf |
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pauliswilling |
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#104 Posted: 9/16/2012 11:41:48 AM |
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herbshack |
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#105 Posted: 9/16/2012 12:09:51 PM
**The O's new starter, old timer Randy Wolf is one of MLB's most useful starters because as a Dog he's a whopping 40-29 +24.18 units in his career. Again, that's a 58% clip for a dog.
Why the Brewers traded him away and still want to pay his salary I do not know. Sure he's 7-17 this season and looks old and washed up. My opinion though is that Brewer's management doesn't know how to use him. In Buck though I trust.
The A's now got a whopping increase in playoffs odds to 96.8% while the O's need to work today sitting at a 52.9% chance.
Simply put, the effect of this particular game has much more impact on the O's than the A's. Precisely, if the O's lose they'll drop to 47% odds of playoffs and if they win they'll be sitting real nice at 63.7% chances. The worst the A's could fall to here is about 2% lower.
Worse bets have been made  |
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herbshack |
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#106 Posted: 9/16/2012 12:11:13 PM
*Sorry, very key typo here. I meant to add that it is that record against plus .500 opponents. That's exactly why he's so useful. |
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herbshack |
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#107 Posted: 9/16/2012 1:49:22 PM |
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halofan |
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#108 Posted: 9/16/2012 1:55:31 PM |
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herbshack |
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#109 Posted: 9/16/2012 7:56:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:
The Astros are my next closest Dog bet for today fyi.
The lowly Astros beat Halladay SU. Go dogs. |
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herbshack |
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#110 Posted: 9/16/2012 7:57:19 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack: For Sunday, September 16th:
#929 Baltimore Orioles +136 ($118 to win $160.48) WINNER! over the Oakland Athletics
*List: Wolf
New Bankroll: +$4,521.51(from $4000) |
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gbpackman |
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#111 Posted: 9/16/2012 8:52:25 PM  |
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#112 Posted: 9/17/2012 11:38:37 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by gbpackman: |
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YoungProfit27 |
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#113 Posted: 9/17/2012 12:30:32 PM |
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Denson7 |
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#114 Posted: 9/17/2012 12:59:16 PM |
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pauliswilling |
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#115 Posted: 9/17/2012 5:56:37 PM |
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Pendo |
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#116 Posted: 9/17/2012 6:46:06 PM
Gimme a 'D' for Dog
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gbpackman |
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#117 Posted: 9/17/2012 7:54:45 PM |
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herbshack |
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#118 Posted: 9/17/2012 8:35:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by gbpackman:
No picks today?
Sorry yall; I'm passing today. I forgot to post up...but trust me if I had one I'd be here.
Anyways, my closest one is on Seattle (home dog) tonight, but I just don't know if I can bet against my O's. A little emotion involved there so maybe some of you will take a stab.
Food for thought though: This season the O's are 45-36 55.6% +14.94 units off of a win. Usually a team is worth a second look when they're off a win (to fade), but Baltimore seems to be the freak team of 2012 that I don't want to bet against while they're rolling. |
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herbshack |
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#119 Posted: 9/17/2012 8:38:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Pendo:
Gimme a 'D' for Denver
Gimme a 'D' for Dog
 Yes. This could be close. A few beers deep, I've got the game on and ready for kickoff, but this is EXACTLY the kind of game I'd pass on betting. Too marquee.
Go Broncos though; for some reason I always hate how cock the Falcons get at home--and love when they get blown out at home. Peyton has a few things to prove I think more than anyone: he doesn't want to be old and washed up and go out all 'tarded like Brett recently did. |
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herbshack |
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#120 Posted: 9/17/2012 8:43:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Denson7: Congrats on the hits and plays bro. You are doing a hard thing and doing it well. I always rely on heavy favorites to win some money back as my dogs don't always hit for me. You are in the Green, while just betting dogs.
Thanks Denson. I've been doing this a long time, and will admit that while this is the prime time to bet dogs in the MLB season, we're sure as hell lucky hitting dogs at such a rate.
Take this to the bank though for the rest of your gambling career: The money is in what gives you that gut twister.
Example: What NFL play stunk the most last week? I'd say +13.5 against the New England Patriots at home. It ended in an upset. These are the sort of plays I like. No one thought Arizona had a chance here and they won SU! |
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herbshack |
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#121 Posted: 9/18/2012 5:27:00 PM
Current Bankroll: +$4,521.51(from $4000) |
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herbshack |
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#122 Posted: 9/19/2012 12:10:31 PM For Wednesday, September 19th:
#981 Toronto Blue Jays +196 ($61 to win $117.73)over New York Yankees
(That's GM #1 @ 1:05 ET) |
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herbshack |
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#123 Posted: 9/19/2012 3:54:25 PM
#979 Baltimore Orioles +140 ($122 to win $170.80) over the Seattle Mariners |
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herbshack |
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#124 Posted: 9/19/2012 3:55:36 PM |
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bbkdta |
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#125 Posted: 9/19/2012 9:55:55 PM  |
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