UNDERDOG SYSTEM

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: UNDERDOG SYSTEM
bikemcr PM bikemcr
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:15:26 PM
Great to see you are playing this again this year . Followed you last year and will so again .
ktan23 PM ktan23
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:34:41 PM
hey semperfi nice work! I do the same system but I do favorites as well! check out my thread when you get a chance! BOL 

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101317496
over-dosed PM over-dosed
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Nevada
 
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Posted: 4/9/2012 12:37:19 PM
Looking forward to a profitable season! Thank you for your hard work and sharing.

Bol to all
McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 4/9/2012 3:55:55 PM
The Royals' series price is even. So prob no big dog odds. I just hit a decent gm1 with the Marlins. 

The O's should have some good odds this series...any leans on them? Thx
radunham PM radunham
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Posted: 4/9/2012 4:03:52 PM
I like the Giants by your double up method getting +150 in the first game. Giants 0-3 and Rockies coming off 2 straight loses.
semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/9/2012 5:23:32 PM

McShady,

Actually like the O's as well, saw the plus 190 for the series.  O's should be able to get at least one ,but, I had to pass because the O's starters the first two nights scare me.  Both Matusz and Arrieta have struggled against the Yanks at Camden Yards and then the Yanks have CC off a loss in game 3. I think there is a better than 60/40 chance yankees sweep here so I just had to stay off.    I did however find one more series I like a lot.....

Cards +130 so they should be Dogs in all three, and I like the chip on the shoulder mentality they have right now. Westbrook had some solid Spring numbers and I love the sinkerball in the cold night air in Cincy.....    

ADDING:

St. Louis +100    Bet one  100 to win 100 

semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/9/2012 10:38:29 PM

White Sox and Cards both winners.  Need KC for the sewwp.

YTD  Series  4-0  +420

Overall         4-2 

Bet 1......3-1     Bet 2.....0-1     Bet 3......1-0

Let's go Royals

bikemcr PM bikemcr
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Posted: 4/10/2012 6:21:31 AM
Great start semperfi !
Cheddbay PM Cheddbay
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Posted: 4/10/2012 7:37:02 AM
GL - I like the idea 
McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 4/10/2012 9:18:55 AM
Great start for you Semper...build that bankroll and thx for the feedback and picks. 
McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 4/10/2012 9:21:29 AM
And do you ever get the feeling that when CHASING a west coast game you should take the UNDER as well? Haha. Seems like every time 
semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/10/2012 10:36:26 AM

2-1 to start the week...I'll take it!

YTD   4-0 Series Record   +320

Overall   4-3

TODAY:

BET 2  KC +105    200 to win 210     

I may have a series that starts today up later!  Just confirming some pitching stats. 

 

GOOD LUCK 

nuggins PM nuggins
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Posted: 4/10/2012 10:49:04 AM
can't go wrong ridin' w/ a Jarhead...

BOLA... i'm in
semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/10/2012 11:38:33 AM

ADDING: NO SERIES PLAY JUST GAME 1 only

TB RAYS come to Detroit off a sweep of the Yanks and are now a +150 to win this series. I think the Rays have the ptiching edge in game 1 with Moore and Porcello yeilding a 5.60 plus Home  ERA at Comerica Park last season.   

TB RAYS    EVEN     55 to win 50   

Good Luck

DoublePsycho PM DoublePsycho
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Posted: 4/10/2012 2:22:44 PM
BOL Semperfi I have been looking for a site that gives ump trends without having to do all the research myself, I dont mean to sound lazy, but I just dont have the time to do it all. Do you know of any such site or software that may be available? It may help you also, not that there is anything wrong with your system, you were just talkin about adding new filters. The trends on umps helps me tremendously. Just a tid-bit I wanted to throw at you guys. Thanks in advance if there is a site you know of.BOL again and will be following you on some series for sure.
semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/11/2012 9:27:49 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DoublePsycho:

BOL Semperfi I have been looking for a site that gives ump trends without having to do all the research myself, I dont mean to sound lazy, but I just dont have the time to do it all. Do you know of any such site or software that may be available? It may help you also, not that there is anything wrong with your system, you were just talkin about adding new filters. The trends on umps helps me tremendously. Just a tid-bit I wanted to throw at you guys. Thanks in advance if there is a site you know of.BOL again and will be following you on some series for sure.

Being an amateur umpire myself, I truly understand the value of an umpire, however, I feel they tend to help with over/under wagers than sides.  I focus on starting pitching and I know umpires can have an affect on that as well, but, I feel that trying to pin point home plate ump with any given starter is too difficult and may not be worth the effort. By the way , if you do see a trend on a umpire with a certain starter, please post what you find. That would be greatly appreciated.  

semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 4/11/2012 9:32:22 AM

YTD SERIES RECORD  5-0 + 530

OVERALL    5-3

Straight plays  0-2, -100

Will start working on series that start on Friday.  Most likely will post on Friday morning......love the days off, means we are winning early! 

Good Luck, see you Friday! 

radunham PM radunham
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Posted: 4/11/2012 10:31:13 AM
nuggins PM nuggins
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Posted: 4/11/2012 10:45:55 AM
Shrimp n Fries
bikemcr PM bikemcr
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Posted: 4/11/2012 10:59:32 AM
Thanks again for sharing system and plays semperfi .
MIKECOUU78 PM MIKECOUU78
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Posted: 4/11/2012 10:59:58 AM
McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 4/11/2012 12:50:19 PM
Great opening week. Looking fwd to Friday's plays!
BigWaveDave PM BigWaveDave
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Ontario
 
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Posted: 4/12/2012 1:09:54 PM
Semperfi19,

Remember you from the other site that a previous member here went to.................
What was the record for the chases last season??

Good Luck and continued success this year and beyond.
DoublePsycho PM DoublePsycho
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Posted: 4/12/2012 2:29:52 PM
Thanks for the response Semperfi. Will be glad to post anything that I see that is really out of the norm with the ump trends. BOL with your wagers..
qbbearcat PM qbbearcat
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Posted: 4/12/2012 2:37:59 PM
I like the idea behind this system but seems like it would be hard to keep making a profit in the long run unless you keep avoiding sweeps.  As an example if you hit your first 6 series all on the first game and go up 6U or so...if that 7th series is a sweep you lose 7U and then all your profits go away.  It's great if you can keep avoiding sweeps but my only point is it doesn't take very many to make your profits disappear quickly.
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