HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LW irrespective of site order (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 307-307 (.500)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 80-75 (.516)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 159-145 (.523)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 40-30 (.571)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 285-329 (.464)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 75-80 (.484)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 152-152 (.500)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 36-34 (.514)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1339 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LW @ HH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LW with site order HH (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 164-122 (.573)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 41-29 (.586)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 84-64 (.568)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 20-12 (.625)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 129-157 (.451)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 31-39 (.443)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 74-74 (.500)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 16-16 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1339 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 2: The Pittsburgh Penguins hosted and shut out the
Ottawa Senators 1-goal-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series
1332 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a series record of 14-13
and a Game 3 record of 17-10, while the Ottawa Senators have a series
record of 9-6 and a Game 3 record of 10-5. The sole goal in series 1332
Game 2 was by the home team (Pittsburgh) at 13:05 into the third period.
Series 1332 Game 2 is thus most similar to series 1134 Game 7 (Tampa
Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins, 2011 NHL Semifinals), in which the host
Bruins scored the only goal of the game at 12:27 into the third period.
Boston would proceed to win the 2011 NHL championship. In their last 11
best-of-7 NHL playoff series tied 1-game-all after two games, the Ottawa
Senators had their series outcome determined by their Game 3 outcome (7
wins, 4 losses).