Hey guys, whats happening ? Let's take a look at where the teams stand after 13-16 games.
POWER RATING I
This power rating is geared heavier towards FG %.
1. Lynx 10.19
2. Sky 6.95
3. Mercury 5.08
4. Liberty 3.4
5. Shock 1.57
6. Mystics 1.46
7. Sun (-.63)
8. Fever (-1.16)
Lynx easily the class of the league.
We need to keep in mind Mercury played just half their games with big gun Griner and are likely a bit better than the credit given here.
POWER RATING II
This rating is more balanced between FG% and reb, and stronger reb teams will fare well here with weak reb teams being punished.
1. Lynx 56.43
2. Liberty 54.18.....very strong reb team
3. Sky 53.7
4. Shock 53.27
5. Mercury 50.52......very weak reb team
6. Mystics 49.16
7. Sun 48.76
8. Fever 48.27
Again the Lynx easily the class of the league and our favorite to win the title.
Teams with the common denominators of past champs..................
Lynx and Sky.
Mercury are a very weak reb team but with Griner back make make a run to improve their reb.
Liberty are the rare team where simple FG% differential could fool one. They out-shot their opps by a huge 5.1%, excellent and are a strong reb team, very strong balance.
However, they get destroyed in 3 pt shooting %, they get destroyed in the TO battle and they get out-shot at the FT line.
When we factor in 2 pt shooting, 3 pt shooting, TO's and FT's their differential drops from a whopping 5.1% all the way down to .19%, very, very mediorce.
They likely have very little chance to win the title but could win the conference and get to the finals.
At this point I'd side with the Lynx and Sky in the final.
We take a small 2 or 3 unit play on the Lynx to win the title.
The great unknown at this point is....injuries. We'll add to our play as the season progresses assuming there are no injuries and the Lynx continue to play at a very high level.
I'd take a small 1 or 2 unit play on the Sky to win the conference, I don't see that out there at this point,. not sure if the books offer conference title odds, if we find it take it.
We'll continue to track the teams as the season progresses and make any adjustments down the road.
Best Of Luck Guys.................................