Season: 20-11
Well the lines are getting super sharp now and we need to be really smart on our plays because Vegas is almost bang on with the spreads especially. Just my thoughts on the games. Stars @ Liberty starts in 4 hours so I thought I would post now with my thoughts
Stars @ Liberty: (Current line +9 and 145)
Stars in a terrible scheduling spot. Liberty coming off a succesful road trip where they picked up 2 wins from 3 games which is brilliant for the Liberty after their previous struggles on the road. Stars in shambles. Missing McBride and Perkins still. Line is quite big. By memory I cannot remember seeing the Liberty this much of a fav vs any team at all. The funny thing is, the Stars have won the 6 vs the Liberty dating back to 2012 season. Not too bad. New look Liberty side this season though with the 2nd best defense efficiency in the league and the Stars are ranked 9th in that stat. Liberty's offense always struggles and they are ranked 9th but the Stars aren't better, ranking 11th in offense efficiency. I do not see anyone on the Stars team stopping Charles or Prince. But in saying that, this game is a NO play for me. Just don't like either team right now.
Schedule: Liberty stay at home after this game to face the Sun
Stars head home after this game to face Shock and then back on the road to Sky and then back home for Indy. Strange schedule.
Mystics @ Sky
Now this game has me wondering.. Why are the Mystics only +5 when the Sun were +7.5 at Chicago the other day? Sun were 1st in the East before that game and got pumped. The Lynx were first in the west when they visited Chicago and lost as well. Yet Vegas is only given the Sky -5 to cover against a Mystics team that is coming 4th in the East, yo-yo-yoing from home to the road and haven't played for some time. Interesting. Very interesting. Sky may want revenge for the flogging the Mystics game them not too long ago by the Sky aren't a very good revengeful team. Heavily leaning Mystics in this game as I think they have the Sky's number both on the court, on the bench and with their coach. Give me Thibault as a coach anyday of the week over Pokey.
Schedule: Sky heads out to Minny after this game to face the Lynx which could be a big look a head game for the Sky as we all know, Minny is the best team in the league and all teams like to play hard against the Lynx.
Mystics however head back home to face the Fever and then the Sun. They haven't played for 5 days now and this game will be the Sky's 3rd in 5 nights.
Sparks @ Storm: (Current line is Storm +1.5 & 146)
How can anyone back any of these 2 terrible teams? I am not laying any money at all on either of these teams until one of them shows me something that is worthy. Sparks are terrible on the road. I thought they may have turned a corner with Nneka and Toliver coming back but Agler couldn't organise a sh@g in a br0thel. This guy just does not understand how to run an offensive play. Storm on the other hand are atrocious. Last in the league on offense efficency and 2nd last in defense efficiency. The only team that has worse defense that the Storm is the Sparks LOL. This game is a complete coin flip and I have no opinion at all on this game.
Shock @ Fever (Current line is Shock +3 and 159.5)
My favorite team, the Shock up against a hot Indy team that is finding their mojo under new coach and new offense. Their defense is starting to gel as well. Shock playing well without Diggins before hand and now they got Sims back which is awesome and can really help them make a push for the top 2 in the West. If anything, i would take the over in this game but I have sucked at totals this season and generally stay away. The Shock can definitely get an upset win here but one thing that really puts me back in my chair is the Shock's 2 point offense. Last in the league, hitting just 40% of their shots. Fever are knocking down 45.3%. 3 pointers, the Shock are ranked 3rd and the Fever 1st in the league. I think this will be a great battle but I have to say I lean the Fever in this game. Just think its a really good spot for them at home.
Schedule:
Fever head out to face the Mystics, Sun and Stars before coming back home. They may want a big win in this game before they head out.
Shock are going to SA after this game to face the Stars before going home to face the Lynx.
BOL forum, will make a play soon as these games start at 1am Sydney time which is just insane..