Under 52, if I can get it. Looking at 2 units @ 51.5, will do 3 units @ 52...may wait until game time.
Why the under? Denver defense is coming together, think Denver continues to emphasize run game and eating clock. Think Phillp Rivers and company also attempt to establish the run, to try and keep the ball away from Peyton Manning by dominating time of possession. This is going to be a possession game and I don't think Chargers give up much ground, same with the Broncos defense. Clock killer, a lot of screens, ground game emphasis, time of possession.
As far as side, could go either way @ 7.5. Chargers could possibly win as well, but I highly doubt it. I don't feel safe about either side - thinks it will be low scoring regardless.
Under 52, if I can get it. Looking at 2 units @ 51.5, will do 3 units @ 52...may wait until game time.
Why the under? Denver defense is coming together, think Denver continues to emphasize run game and eating clock. Think Phillp Rivers and company also attempt to establish the run, to try and keep the ball away from Peyton Manning by dominating time of possession. This is going to be a possession game and I don't think Chargers give up much ground, same with the Broncos defense. Clock killer, a lot of screens, ground game emphasis, time of possession.
As far as side, could go either way @ 7.5. Chargers could possibly win as well, but I highly doubt it. I don't feel safe about either side - thinks it will be low scoring regardless.
Fade it man, public perception is Manning can't be stopped and that the Broncos will run up 40+ on anybody. Combine that with the fact that they're playing Phillip Rivers in primetime and most people are going to be pounding that total going over all the way to game time. People like you are who will give me my 52/53 total right before kickoff.
Fade it man, public perception is Manning can't be stopped and that the Broncos will run up 40+ on anybody. Combine that with the fact that they're playing Phillip Rivers in primetime and most people are going to be pounding that total going over all the way to game time. People like you are who will give me my 52/53 total right before kickoff.
Some further thought into this game, Denver's defense will not allow Rivers and the Chargers to successfully run and control tempo. I also think Phillip Rivers will struggle to find time, against Broncos pass rush. Finally, this is a home game, in primetime, against a division rival. Last year's loss at home is fresh on the Broncos' players' minds. This game is a must win to control the AFC West and solidify the Broncos bid to win a first round bye into the playoffs.
My feel is Broncos dominate defensively, as well as offensively. Expectation is we see Brock Osweiler again in the fourth quarter.
Chargers 13 - Broncos 33
Broncos-7.5 (-115) : $460 to win $400 Under 51.5 (-110) : $220 to win $200
Some further thought into this game, Denver's defense will not allow Rivers and the Chargers to successfully run and control tempo. I also think Phillip Rivers will struggle to find time, against Broncos pass rush. Finally, this is a home game, in primetime, against a division rival. Last year's loss at home is fresh on the Broncos' players' minds. This game is a must win to control the AFC West and solidify the Broncos bid to win a first round bye into the playoffs.
My feel is Broncos dominate defensively, as well as offensively. Expectation is we see Brock Osweiler again in the fourth quarter.
Chargers 13 - Broncos 33
Broncos-7.5 (-115) : $460 to win $400 Under 51.5 (-110) : $220 to win $200
3 Team Parlay : $270 to win $1500 Chicago Bears+7@New England Patriots St. Louis Rams+7@Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks@Carolina Panthers+5
6 Team Parlay : $150 to win $6075 Chicago Bears+7@New England Patriots St. Louis Rams+7@Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks@Carolina Panthers+5 Philadelphia Eagles+3@Arizona Cardinals Indianapolis Colts-3.5@Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers+1@New Orleans Saints
3 Team Parlay : $270 to win $1500 Chicago Bears+7@New England Patriots St. Louis Rams+7@Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks@Carolina Panthers+5
6 Team Parlay : $150 to win $6075 Chicago Bears+7@New England Patriots St. Louis Rams+7@Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks@Carolina Panthers+5 Philadelphia Eagles+3@Arizona Cardinals Indianapolis Colts-3.5@Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers+1@New Orleans Saints
Denver Broncos went from -7.5 to -8 to -8.5 to -9 to -9.5 and now it's moving back down to 9, to 8.5...steady @ -8. Game time, expect it to be -7.5 at some books...as sharps and big money pound Chargers. The smart bet, without a doubt is Chargers and points...however, as I mentioned, this is a division game, @Mile High, emotions are high, last year's loss @ home fresh on everyone's minds...situational play is Denver Broncos-8 or less...
Also, as mentioned - total is now moving as we approach game time from 51.5 to 52, to 52.5. Expectation is that right before kickoff we see a total of 53.
I may, potentially play a two team parlay on both Broncos-8 and Under 53 for $200 or $300...feel good about both.
Denver Broncos went from -7.5 to -8 to -8.5 to -9 to -9.5 and now it's moving back down to 9, to 8.5...steady @ -8. Game time, expect it to be -7.5 at some books...as sharps and big money pound Chargers. The smart bet, without a doubt is Chargers and points...however, as I mentioned, this is a division game, @Mile High, emotions are high, last year's loss @ home fresh on everyone's minds...situational play is Denver Broncos-8 or less...
Also, as mentioned - total is now moving as we approach game time from 51.5 to 52, to 52.5. Expectation is that right before kickoff we see a total of 53.
I may, potentially play a two team parlay on both Broncos-8 and Under 53 for $200 or $300...feel good about both.
2-6 This week....down 6.5 units, I'm terrible on Sundays - my only hope is Monday and Thursdays.
MNF: Redskins@Cowboys-10
Tonight, going Cowboys@home, can't fade a hot Cowboys team in this spot. Plus Redskins are going with unproven QB...on the road. Laying massive chalk, but I gotta roll with the hot hand.
2-6 This week....down 6.5 units, I'm terrible on Sundays - my only hope is Monday and Thursdays.
MNF: Redskins@Cowboys-10
Tonight, going Cowboys@home, can't fade a hot Cowboys team in this spot. Plus Redskins are going with unproven QB...on the road. Laying massive chalk, but I gotta roll with the hot hand.
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