|Some of you know me and most of you dont. Ive posted for alittle and ive browsed this website for awhile now... Be it as it may you have no reason to take my word on this analysis however I look at it as free advertising for next year. Not everyone here will agree with the final of this analysis however something that everyone here should know is that the regular season is the regular season and numbers don't transfer into the post season. If they did it would be Brady (as much as I hate to admit that) or a Ryan in today's game. But its not.
Posted: 2/3/2013 2:01:55 PM
With that being said. We will look at and provide statistics on just the past three rounds of the playoffs and come to a conclusion with these post season numbers.
Now I break the teams up into four categories in which I have come up with simple yet consistent formulas which I will not get into at the present time cause I have a life and have to get my day on with. The four categories consist of Passing (qb) Rushing (rb) Recieving (wr) and defense(df).
Ravens Passing leaves Flacco with 54.8 comp % over the last three weeks throwing 853 yards for 8 Tds and 0 interceptions.
49ers Passing leaves Kapernick with 63.5 with a total of 649 yards with 3tds and 1 interception.
Ravens Rushing leaves Rice with 64 carries with a total of 247 yards with an average of 3.9 yards per Carrie and 2 Tds this post season.
49ers Rushing leaves Gore Kaepernick and James with 70 carries with just over 460 yards with 6 Tds
Ravens Recieving leaves Boldin, Smith and Pitta with a combined total of 35 receptions with over 600 yards and 7 Tds between the three.
49ers Recieving leaves Crabtree Davis and Moss with a combined total of 26 receptions just under 460 yards and 3 Tds.
Ravens defense is one of the most aggressive physical defenses in the league. I rate there defense (when healthy) an A which divides the opposing teams total points in half. They would be an A+ if younger and healthier.
49ers Defense is the most legitimate defense in the league when it comes to consistency size and aggressiveness. They get a A+ rating which divides the opposing teams total points in half.
With that being said we will take the amount of Tds in the last three weeks of the post season(17). Subtract them by turnovers/interceptions(0) divide that by amount of weeks played(3) and which would give us the total amount of tds scored over the playoff season per week(5.6666666667) Times that by 7(pts per td) then which gives us a total of (39.6666666669). divided by the Niners defenses ranking of an +A(2) which gives us 19.8333333335 Points Per Game for the Baltimore Ravens.
We will take the amount of Tds in the last two weeks of the post season since 49ers had a bye in Round 1. (12). Subtract them by turnovers/interceptions(1) divide that by amount of weeks played(2) and which would give us the total amount of tds scored over the playoff season per week(5.5) Times that by 7(pts per td) then which gives us a total of (38.5). divided by the Ravens defensive ranking of an +A(2) which gives us 19.25 Points Per Game for the San Fransico 49ers.
I believe that the numbers provided indicates that the play for this years SuperBowl in New Orleans is Ravens +4 and Under 47.5. I feel that the score will be somewhere along the lines of 17-21 Ravens. 20-21 Ravens. Or even possibly 24-21 49ers. However the San Fransico 49ers will not cover. And the under is good value although we could possibly see an overtime SuperBowl. If both sides play a perfect game.