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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Is anyone crazy like me and putting their whole bankroll on...
Riceboi send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 12/16/2011 9:40:44 PM
Packers ML this sunday?  I love juice, do you?
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#2
Posted: 12/16/2011 9:41:37 PM

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.

 

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#3
Posted: 12/16/2011 10:04:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.



Actually, the better bet is the KC moneyline.  As proof, Mike Shackleford agrees:

http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/7516-anybody-else-betting-against-green-bay/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shackleford
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TRAIN69
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#4
Posted: 12/16/2011 10:07:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:



Actually, the better bet is the KC moneyline.  As proof, Mike Shackleford agrees:

http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/7516-anybody-else-betting-against-green-bay/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shackleford

How is KC better value considering the actual odds of them winning this game are probably closer to 20-1.....

"Value" implies you are getting a bargain on a bet. 7-1 on the KC ML isnt a bargain....

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#5
Posted: 12/16/2011 11:27:37 PM
Not worth the juice for a single game. My parlay, Atlanta, Dallas, Giants and Saints, ML'S. Yes all big juice, and yes all winners.
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#6
Posted: 12/16/2011 11:35:37 PM
No way, look at the MLs in some of the college bowl games over the next 2 weeks. That's your ticket to money.
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#7
Posted: 12/16/2011 11:45:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RexR:

No way, look at the MLs in some of the college bowl games over the next 2 weeks. That's your ticket to money.


yeah not doing that again.  lost thousands trying that back with southern miss. -2000  and they lose and look at OK state.
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#8
Posted: 12/17/2011 11:12:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

How is KC better value considering the actual odds of them winning this game are probably closer to 20-1.....

"Value" implies you are getting a bargain on a bet. 7-1 on the KC ML isnt a bargain....



Well, first of all you are way, WAY off if you think the actual odds of Kansas City winning is anywhere NEAR 20-1.  It's easily less than half of that.  The estimated probability of a 17-point underdog winning outright is about 10%.  And you estimate a 14-point dog as only 5%?  No way.

Second, a fair moneyline for a 14-point underdog is right around +607.  And yet +700 for this game is easily available in many places. 

There's your value.
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#9
Posted: 12/17/2011 11:20:49 AM

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

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#10
Posted: 12/17/2011 11:22:57 AM
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#11
Posted: 12/18/2011 3:59:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

will have a ton on it Sunday

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now


Ouch.

Keep posting your tips in future weeks... so we can all fade you!
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#12
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:01:08 PM
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#13
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:01:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

Packers ML this sunday?  I love juice, do you?

Ouch.
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#14
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:05:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.


Crazy... like a fox.


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#15
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:07:25 PM
On Any Given SUNDAY...
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#16
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:12:27 PM
GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

Tenn and gb moneyline.. Wow mr chalk . Don't answer when your bookie calls
Posted using a mobile device.
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#17
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:17:27 PM
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#18
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:04 PM
Any given Sunday
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#19
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:50 PM
THIS HAD TO HURT! ILL LAY ODDS OP DOESNT SHOW IN THREAD...
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#20
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:52 PM
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#21
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:40:27 PM

Zing!

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#22
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:40:51 PM
Still lovin' that juice, sir?
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#23
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:43:48 PM
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#24
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:44:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%



nooooooo gavy noooooo dont do it


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#25
Posted: 12/18/2011 4:44:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

 

Gavinnick did but he one-up on you. He had Ten ML as well.

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