Is anyone crazy like me and putting their whole bankroll on...

Forum: NFL Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Is anyone crazy like me and putting their whole bankroll on...
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 12/16/2011 9:40:44 PM
Packers ML this sunday?  I love juice, do you?
choiOi PM choiOi
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Posted: 12/16/2011 9:41:37 PM

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.

 

Ed-Collins PM Ed-Collins
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Posted: 12/16/2011 10:04:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.



Actually, the better bet is the KC moneyline.  As proof, Mike Shackleford agrees:

http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/7516-anybody-else-betting-against-green-bay/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shackleford
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 12/16/2011 10:07:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:



Actually, the better bet is the KC moneyline.  As proof, Mike Shackleford agrees:

http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/7516-anybody-else-betting-against-green-bay/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shackleford

How is KC better value considering the actual odds of them winning this game are probably closer to 20-1.....

"Value" implies you are getting a bargain on a bet. 7-1 on the KC ML isnt a bargain....

dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 12/16/2011 11:27:37 PM
Not worth the juice for a single game. My parlay, Atlanta, Dallas, Giants and Saints, ML'S. Yes all big juice, and yes all winners.
RexR PM RexR
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Posted: 12/16/2011 11:35:37 PM
No way, look at the MLs in some of the college bowl games over the next 2 weeks. That's your ticket to money.
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 12/16/2011 11:45:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RexR:

No way, look at the MLs in some of the college bowl games over the next 2 weeks. That's your ticket to money.


yeah not doing that again.  lost thousands trying that back with southern miss. -2000  and they lose and look at OK state.
Ed-Collins PM Ed-Collins
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Posted: 12/17/2011 11:12:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

How is KC better value considering the actual odds of them winning this game are probably closer to 20-1.....

"Value" implies you are getting a bargain on a bet. 7-1 on the KC ML isnt a bargain....



Well, first of all you are way, WAY off if you think the actual odds of Kansas City winning is anywhere NEAR 20-1.  It's easily less than half of that.  The estimated probability of a 17-point underdog winning outright is about 10%.  And you estimate a 14-point dog as only 5%?  No way.

Second, a fair moneyline for a 14-point underdog is right around +607.  And yet +700 for this game is easily available in many places. 

There's your value.
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 12/17/2011 11:20:49 AM

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

andreagassi6969 PM andreagassi6969
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Posted: 12/17/2011 11:22:57 AM
Ed-Collins PM Ed-Collins
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Posted: 12/18/2011 3:59:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

will have a ton on it Sunday

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now


Ouch.

Keep posting your tips in future weeks... so we can all fade you!
chillinmcm PM chillinmcm
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:01:08 PM
football_007 PM football_007
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:01:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

Packers ML this sunday?  I love juice, do you?

Ouch.
Ed-Collins PM Ed-Collins
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:05:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Ain't nothing crazy about it....only crazy if you bet KC ML.


Crazy... like a fox.


SCROG PM SCROG
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:07:25 PM
On Any Given SUNDAY...
monopoly PM monopoly
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:12:27 PM
GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

Tenn and gb moneyline.. Wow mr chalk . Don't answer when your bookie calls
Posted using a mobile device.
BarcsHasBite PM BarcsHasBite
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:17:27 PM
MoPinkie PM MoPinkie
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:04 PM
Any given Sunday
MrBogey PM MrBogey
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:50 PM
THIS HAD TO HURT! ILL LAY ODDS OP DOESNT SHOW IN THREAD...
Trinitiyy PM Trinitiyy
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:19:52 PM
bandit25 PM bandit25
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:40:27 PM

Zing!

Derrrty19 PM Derrrty19
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:40:51 PM
Still lovin' that juice, sir?
CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:43:48 PM
Howdoiplayxx PM Howdoiplayxx
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:44:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%



nooooooo gavy noooooo dont do it


bunny651 PM bunny651
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Posted: 12/18/2011 4:44:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

GB ML all yr for me ......

\

 

will have a ton on it Sunday

 

another Tip is Tenn. ML......Been on the ML all yr against the Colts, why stop either of them now 100%

 

Gavinnick did but he one-up on you. He had Ten ML as well.

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