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Author: [Props & Futures] Topic: MLB Season Win Totals
VLR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.com |
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#1
Posted: 3/22/2011 6:04:54 PM
Haven't made any plays yet, but I like to use Baseball Prospectus win projections to see if there is any value with the lines.  There were 8 that had at least a 3.5  win difference

Baltimore 80.3       76.5  (-105)

Cleveland  74.6       71.5  (-110)

LA Angels   77.2      83.5  (-120)

Phillies   91.3           97.5   (-130)

Houston    67.5        71.5  (-110)

LA Dodgers   87.3      83.5   (-110)

Colorado   83.1          86.5  (-115)

San Diego  79.2         75.5  (-110)


Any thoughts?  Initially I really like Angels and Phillies Under.  2 big public names with inflated numbers.  Also like Baltimore over, tough division but Showalter had them playing great at end of last year and always tacks up reg season wins
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#2
Posted: 3/22/2011 7:35:32 PM
Props isnt the most popular page I see, especially since Oscar bets are still on front page 
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#3
Posted: 3/29/2011 1:44:24 AM
gl youre gonna need it
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#4
Posted: 3/29/2011 1:44:39 AM
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#5
Posted: 3/29/2011 1:44:59 AM
tryin to get off that prospect status
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#6
Posted: 3/29/2011 1:45:12 AM
can you dig it?
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#7
Posted: 3/29/2011 3:47:14 AM
yea, im thinkin choppin it down to 3.

phils under

angels under


orioles over
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#8
Posted: 3/30/2011 1:08:35 PM
I miss that small Asian girl you had for an avatar
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#9
Posted: 3/30/2011 1:13:21 PM
 #45041 - Philadelphia Phillies/Regular Season Wins u96½ (-130)$390.00$300.00
 #45029 - Los Angeles Dodgers/Regular Season Wins o83½ (+100)$300.00$300.00
 #45027 - Anaheim Angels/Regular Season Wins u83½ (-105)$525.00$500.00
 #45023 - Houston Astros/Regular Season Wins u71½ (+105)$300.00$315.00
 #45005 - Baltimore Orioles/Regular Season Wins o76½ (-115)$345.00$300.00
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#10
Posted: 3/30/2011 4:07:11 PM
Saw a few Angels over plays, I dont get it
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#11
Posted: 3/30/2011 4:44:02 PM
Added:

Nick Fairley wont be 1st overall pick -200
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#12
Posted: 3/30/2011 4:44:32 PM
Just hope I don't get tebowed like last year
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#13
Posted: 3/30/2011 4:44:46 PM
Effin McDaniels
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#14
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:03:05 PM
Angels juice down to -105 makes it a must play
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#15
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:03:37 PM
should of locked Phils in when it was at 97.5  injuries knocked it down a game
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#16
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:40:43 PM
grats on that rookie status
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#17
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:40:56 PM
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#18
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:41:12 PM
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#19
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:41:28 PM
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#20
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:41:42 PM
i hate baseball
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#21
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:42:01 PM
wors sport to watch.
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#22
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:42:23 PM
im not sure that will stop me from blindly placing bets
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#23
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:43:04 PM
crap im not even halfway there
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#24
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:43:24 PM
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#25
Posted: 3/30/2011 5:43:37 PM
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