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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Second game of 2 game NFL Road Trip 2010
kenkean89 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 10/12/2011 7:28:57 PM
at a quick glance, looks like the eagles are the only play this week. the saints did'nt cover last week, but they are on a 3 game in a row road trip........
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#77
Posted: 10/22/2011 6:30:54 PM
some ugly plays this week. Looks like: St Louis, Indy, and Houston....can someone doublecheck? Thanks.
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#78
Posted: 10/23/2011 10:29:21 AM
All 3 of those should be plays. I did not double check the rest of the teams.
I personally will not be betting on STL. Like Oak in the MLB they do not care for our systems (this yr).
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#79
Posted: 10/23/2011 3:40:15 PM

Hey Stick, the plays are Houston and St. Louis. Indy is not a play, as they are in the middle of a three game road trip. GL.

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#80
Posted: 10/23/2011 11:51:46 PM
in week 4 the jets were in the middle of a 3-game road trip.  so if we eliminate teams on a 3-game road trip, this system is 6-5 ATS for this season.

it looks like SD -3.5 and WAS +4.5 are the plays next week.
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#81
Posted: 10/28/2011 2:14:52 PM
hey DJ, are you sure it's only 6-5 this year?? Seems like its been a bit better than that, but i could be wrong. San Diego is a play, but not sure about the Skins as they play Buf at a neutral site?? Does that constitute a "road" game??
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#82
Posted: 11/3/2011 12:48:11 AM

Week 2 - SEA +14

Week 3 - BAL-5JAC+3.5KC+15, GB-4

Week 4 - NE-4.5ATL-4PIT+3.5

Week 5 - NONE

Week 6 - PHI -3

Week 7 - STL +14HOU+3

Week 8 - WAS +4, SD -3

6-7 ATS YTD

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#83
Posted: 9/16/2012 6:02:16 PM
If anybody's interested 2011 finished the season at 16-12 for a 57% win rate. I think that's in line with all the previous years.
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#84
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:54:24 PM
This week:

Detroit
KC

Good Luck.
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#85
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:18:48 PM
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#86
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:21:32 PM
Dan, im trying to get greedy here but ever looked at how they would look as two team teasers?? Don't know if someone has done that but maybe something to keep track of.

Detroit (+2.5)
K.C. (+14.5)

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#87
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:05:03 AM
NYJ also this week
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#88
Posted: 9/19/2012 11:11:07 AM
Has anyone come up with some common denominators to filter out some of the losers?
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#89
Posted: 9/21/2012 3:08:19 AM

hardy this is on my list to try and get it hitting over 90% after im done with what im working on now this is top priority

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#90
Posted: 9/21/2012 3:11:57 AM

havent looked back yet at all but what if you start with the obvious and only play teams who have a better record than the team they are against

that would eliminate all this week plays tho right?

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#91
Posted: 9/21/2012 7:49:53 PM

ok so i moved this up in priority and heres what i found, i only backchecked the plays that kirby posted.

Road team favs with better record or equal records over .500 are 3-1 ATS

Home team with better record or equal records under .500 are 4-2 ATS

that gives us a record of 7-3 vs the old record of 6-7

ALSO

unders in these games hit at 10-3, if the road team is the underdog they are 6-1, if the road team is the underdog and the total is 43 or less they are 3-0

heres the plays i like using these trends:

DET -3.5

NO -9

KC/NO UNDER 53

JETS ARE A NO PLAY FOR ME

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#92
Posted: 9/21/2012 8:21:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

ok so i moved this up in priority and heres what i found, i only backchecked the plays that kirby posted.

Road team favs with better record or equal records over .500 are 3-1 ATS

Home team with better record or equal records under .500 are 4-2 ATS

that gives us a record of 7-3 vs the old record of 6-7

ALSO

unders in these games hit at 10-3, if the road team is the underdog they are 6-1, if the road team is the underdog and the total is 43 or less they are 3-0

heres the plays i like using these trends:

DET -3.5

NO -9

KC/NO UNDER 53

JETS ARE A NO PLAY FOR ME


It's should be interesting. I'll play 'em.
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#93
Posted: 9/22/2012 9:18:03 AM

kirby im looking back at the 2010 plays that are posted, can you post the rest of the plays from 2011?

 

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#94
Posted: 9/22/2012 9:45:25 AM

If you're talking about the plays that finished off the year after they stopped posting them on this thread they were:

Week 9  CLE +10.5 lost 12-30 to HOU                                 

Week 10 STL+2.5 beat CLE 13-12

Week 11 BUF+3 lost to MIA 8-35

Week 12 ARI +1 beat STL 23-20  BUF +9.5 lost to NYJ 24-28 CAR -3.5 beat IND 27-19

Week 14 STL +9 lost to SEA 13-30 OAK +11.5 lost to GB 16-46 ATL -3 beat CAR 31-23 PHI +3 beat MIA 26-10

Week 15 NE -7 beat DEN 41-23

Week 16 JAC +8.5 lost to TEN 16-23

Week 17 TB +10 lost to ATL 24-45 SD +2.5 beat OAK 38-26 CHI +1.5 beat MIN 17-13

Last 15 games of the season 10-5

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#95
Posted: 9/23/2012 5:03:24 PM

thanks kirby

as you can tell i need to back check more as all my posted plays were wrong!!

really sorry to anyone who followed them wont post anymore plays until back check is all done

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#96
Posted: 9/23/2012 5:30:45 PM

ok so now i guess i got the under correct!

 

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#97
Posted: 9/24/2012 12:47:32 PM
2-1 or 1-1-1 depending on the Jet's number.

This week: SF

Good Luck.
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#98
Posted: 9/24/2012 1:37:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Dan, im trying to get greedy here but ever looked at how they would look as two team teasers?? Don't know if someone has done that but maybe something to keep track of.

Detroit (+2.5)
K.C. (+14.5)




When I first posted this, i thought it was only going to be two teams, but since it was three, we could've done a three team teaset (10 pts), which would have looked like this:

Detroit( +3.5)
KC (+19)
Jets (+9)

1-0 on teasers

Since this week, we only have SF, no teaser will be in play.
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#99
Posted: 9/30/2012 4:21:44 PM
SF winner makes it 3-1 this year under the original premise.
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#100
Posted: 9/30/2012 11:58:32 PM
Seattle and TN on tap for this week. If Chicago doesn't cover Monday night, they will be a play.

Good Luck.
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