Posted: 5/10/2012 5:45:54 PM
Super 15 YTD 46-48 +4.00 units
Well was a good week last weekend and lets hope can keep riding that and have another good one keeping things basic and letting the stats speak for themselves.
Blues/Lions over 54.5 1 unit @ $1.90
Really like the over in tonights game. There has been some bad weather in auckland over the last couple of days but today is a really nice day and going to be very good conditions for tonights game. The lions leaked points last week like crazy against the chiefs but were also good enough to score some themselves. The Blues are not even close to the quaility of the Chiefs and should be a good close game tonight. The Blues are 8-2 on totals and 4-1 in games outside the confrence. The Lions are 4-5 on totals overall but 3-1 in games outside their confrence. So stats like the over as do i.
Bulls Su +1.5 1 unit @ $1.90
Well the Bulls should have far to much for the tahs tonight. The Tahs have been on a slide in recent times and could only manage 6 points against the brumbies last week. The Bulls got a win over the weak rebels but it was not easy. With that in mind i expect them to come out and play a lot better this week. The Bulls are 7-2 Su and 5-4-0 ATS overall. In games outside their confrecne they are 4-1 Su and 2-3 ATS. The Tahs are 4-6 Su and ATS overall and 2-3 Su and 2-2-0 ATS in games outside the confence. So really from that like the Bulls even more.
Just the 2 plays at the moment. I am leaning towards the Lions +10.5 but its a weak lean at the moment. Depending on how i feel and can find a few more good reasons to take the lions i will make it a play.