Posted: 7/19/2012 12:04:25 PM
Originally Posted by mafioso
Teams that are home before a bye week and are favored by between (and including) 6.5 and 13.5 points are 27-3 ATS
The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.
Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater
are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents
Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0
ATS vs. divisional opponents.
Since 1997 week 1 away teams getting 10 points or more are 6-0 ATS vs.
Play on: Chiefs +15.5
Since 2000 week 1 losers of the previous Super Bowl are 0-10 ATS
Since 1998 week 1 divisional away favorites of greater than 3 points
with an over/under line of not more than 43 are 6-0 ATS
Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.
Thanks for your feedback bud !!!