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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems:
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 7/16/2012 12:58:29 PM
System of the day #1 (NFL):

Favorites of 5 points or less after a dog win of 3 points or less:

45-92 ATS

A similar version of this system is very good in NCAA as well:

Teams with line from +2 to -2.5 are 46-83 ATS after a dog win of 3 points or less. They are also 75-114 ATS if their dog win was by 5-16 points.

Check this thread daily for more football systems !


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#2
Posted: 7/17/2012 4:29:03 AM
System of the day #2 (NFL):

Teams after scoring 7-9 points and covering by 2.5 or more at home are 48-22 ATS in the NFL.

Slightly different system applies to the NCAA:

Teams after scoring 3-9 points away and covering by 1.5 or more are 43-19 ATS.
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#3
Posted: 7/17/2012 8:22:14 PM
Betting on every Packers, Patriots and 49ers ATS game could be useful system.
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#4
Posted: 7/17/2012 10:07:15 PM
Thanks for this.

Wondering where everyone is getting these ATS facts...
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#5
Posted: 7/18/2012 1:47:01 AM
System of the day #3:

NFL home dogs after a road dog win are 77-36 ATS if their opponent won at home last week.

NCAA:

Home dogs after a road dog win are 40-17 ATS if their opponent played at home last week and either won as dog or lost as favorite.
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#6
Posted: 7/18/2012 2:15:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SlumdogPicks:

Thanks for this.

Wondering where everyone is getting these ATS facts...


I have thousands of them...
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Niners13 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#7
Posted: 7/18/2012 7:06:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GunShard:

Betting on every Packers, Patriots and 49ers ATS game could be useful system.


Niners might get inflated spreads and not cover them.
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#8
Posted: 7/18/2012 7:32:06 PM
The problem with these systems are they all have certain situations assigned to them..and if you looked hard enough you could probably find a counter system for the opposite team..

Something like..

Play on a team who rushes for more than 200 yds and has 50 more rushing yards than the opponent and cover as a road dog..

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#9
Posted: 7/18/2012 8:29:48 PM
49ers 9-7 team this year. Last year was a lucky year. Seahawks will win the West.
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#10
Posted: 7/18/2012 8:29:49 PM
49ers 9-7 team this year. Last year was a lucky year. Seahawks will win the West.
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#11
Posted: 7/18/2012 11:00:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by misshatfield:

49ers 9-7 team this year. Last year was a lucky year. Seahawks will win the West.


I would argue the inverse.  They were very unlucky not to make it to the Super Bowl due to a pair of special teams blunders. 
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#12
Posted: 7/19/2012 12:49:42 AM
System of the day #4:

NFL favorites with 6 or less days of rest after OT game as a dog:

38-64 ATS

NCAA OT system: NCCA road teams with 6 or less days of rest after home OT win:

39-64 ATS
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#13
Posted: 7/19/2012 5:23:14 AM
Teams that are home before a bye week and are favored by between (and including) 6.5 and 13.5 points are 27-3 ATS.

The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.
Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater
are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents
Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0
ATS vs. divisional opponents.
Since 1997 week 1 away teams getting 10 points or more are 6-0 ATS vs.
conference opponents.
Play on: Chiefs +15.5

Since 2000 week 1 losers of the previous Super Bowl are 0-10 ATS

Since 1998 week 1 divisional away favorites of greater than 3 points
with an over/under line of not more than 43 are 6-0 ATS
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#14
Posted: 7/19/2012 12:04:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mafioso:

Teams that are home before a bye week and are favored by between (and including) 6.5 and 13.5 points are 27-3 ATS.

The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.
Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater
are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents
Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0
ATS vs. divisional opponents.
Since 1997 week 1 away teams getting 10 points or more are 6-0 ATS vs.
conference opponents.
Play on: Chiefs +15.5

Since 2000 week 1 losers of the previous Super Bowl are 0-10 ATS

Since 1998 week 1 divisional away favorites of greater than 3 points
with an over/under line of not more than 43 are 6-0 ATS

Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.

Thanks for your feedback bud !!!
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#15
Posted: 7/19/2012 12:06:40 PM


Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.

Thanks for your feedback bud !!!
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#16
Posted: 7/20/2012 1:40:25 AM
System of the day (Friday):

NFL:
Dogs with min.regular rest after 3+pts dog OT win by 3+pts:

39-13 ATS

NCAA: not so successifull...

Road teams with line <11 and >-11 after winning by 3 or less as favorites in OT: 7-33 ATS
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#17
Posted: 7/24/2012 12:03:11 AM
STOP WASTING TIME ON SYSTEM.. THERE IS NO SUCH THING IS A SYSTEM PLAY.. IM GLADLY TO FADE EVERY SINGLE SYSTEM PLAYS. WILL WILL LOOKING AND FADING SOON. $$$$$ quote
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