Posted: 5/24/2012 6:49:30 PM
HEAT -2.5 8 dimes
I am done capping this and just cant get over the input and my capping instincts regarding this series. I want so so badly to side with the Pacers tonight but their are a few logical points here that I must make a priority in this game.
First off the Heat not having Haslem will be a big blow, and still without Bosh and headed into a team that will fight claw and scratch to get the win. No doubt the Pacers play with some fire here. I have watched the last few games to get an idea of this one and the Heat are in a zone now and smell blood. The last game they made a huge statement to the Pacers to not darn with them, and I feel that played a huge role in the diminishing of their psyche. Intimidation is a big deal in Pro. Sports, and the Heat now have a clear mental edge over the Pacers tonight. I think the Pacers will lose focus trying to intimidate them and play "TOUGH" rather then soft all while the Heat just methodically run their offense and play their defense. In the end the Heat take this by 4-7+ points.
Another point I want to make here is that Vegas has made the Pacers around +2 at Home in this series since the start and now in game 6 facing elimination and the Heat have no Haslem and the line opened at -3 for the Heat.....That tells me that they too know that the heat have made up thier minds in this series and have decided to friggin play. I admire the Pacers spirit and they had one hell of a year. But I think that spirit was seriously broken last game by Miami and it wont come back in one game. This will be a great game for Pacers backers until the 4th qtr when the Heat smell blood and the finish line and pull the spines out of their backs.
It took me awhile to decide on this game, and eventually had to throw out stats and numbers and just go with my gut. And my gut tells me not to bet against the Heat on a close out game.
Good Luck to everyone tonight