Baseball Totals Formula

Forum: Systems & Strategies
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Baseball Totals Formula
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/23/2012 11:41:39 AM
I haven't backtested this whatsoever as it would be very difficult to do so. I had this idea this morning and thought I would track the plays on here. It's a two step process:

First you add the Starting Pitchers WHIPs together.
Then you divide that sum by the total on the game.

If your final quotient is greater than .40 play the OVER.
If your final quotient is less than .25 lay the UNDER

The thought here is this:
The higher a pitcher's WHIP is the better chance more runs will be scored (groundbreaking I know). Here's an exmple:

Pitcher A: WHIP = 1.21
Pitcher B: WHIP = 1.45
Betting Total = 8.5
Sum = 2.66
Quotient = .312

There would be no play there.

Pitcher A: WHIP = 1.15
Pitcher B: WHIP = 1.12
Betting Total = 9.5
Sum = 2.27
Quotient = .234

In this game we have a play on the UNDER.

It's a fairly simple concept and it shouldn't produce a ton of plays as the season goes on, but I think it would be interesting to track. I AM NOT SUGGESTING THAT YOU PLAY THESE PICKS. Just to be clear. Because it's early in the season and WHIPs are nowhere near where they're going to finish, we might get some wacky plays early on.

Today there are 4 games:

White Sox / Athletics U 6.5 (.249)
Yankees / Rangers U 9.5 (.235)
Blue Jays / Royals U 8 (.242)
Braves / Dodgers O 7.5 (.475)

Maybe we have something here, probably we don't, but let's just see what happens. GL
mikkii10 PM mikkii10
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 646
Canada
 
mikkii10
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/23/2012 12:14:35 PM
how is going so far with the system?
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/23/2012 1:58:02 PM
I have no idea. Like I said I have done no backtesting. This thread is basically the backtesting. 
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/24/2012 9:36:11 AM
White Sox / Athletics U 6.5 (.249) (W)
Yankees / Rangers U 9.5 (.235) (L)
Blue Jays / Royals U 8 (.242) (W)
Braves / Dodgers O 7.5 (.475) (W)

Not too bad.

4/24
Indians / Royals O 8.5 (.426)
Mets / Marlins O 6.5 (.545)

That's all for today
bigcountry26 PM bigcountry26
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 100
 
bigcountry26
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/25/2012 8:35:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BCap888:

White Sox / Athletics U 6.5 (.249) (W)
Yankees / Rangers U 9.5 (.235) (L)
Blue Jays / Royals U 8 (.242) (W)
Braves / Dodgers O 7.5 (.475) (W)

Not too bad.

4/24
Indians / Royals O 8.5 (.426)
Mets / Marlins O 6.5 (.545)

That's all for today

So what does the .40 and .25 mean? i mean what made you decide on those numbers? i like the system just want to understand.
PatrickBateman PM PatrickBateman
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 1056
Vermont
 
PatrickBateman
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/8/2013 11:31:40 AM
What ever happened with this?
Cixelsyd PM Cixelsyd
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 286
United States
 
Cixelsyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/11/2013 4:45:21 PM
He went 0-2 on his second day, and probably said screw it. 
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/11/2013 9:56:53 PM
That's exactly what happened.
Forum: Systems & Strategies
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.